👀 Copy Legendary Investors' Portfolios in One ClickCopy For Free

GLOBAL MARKETS-Asian shares steady as investors weigh U.S. recession risk; kiwi plunges

Published 27/03/2019, 06:05 pm
GLOBAL MARKETS-Asian shares steady as investors weigh U.S. recession risk; kiwi plunges
EUR/USD
-
USD/JPY
-
AUD/USD
-
NZD/USD
-
UK100
-
US500
-
FCHI
-
DE40
-
JP225
-
HK50
-
LCO
-
CL
-
IXIC
-
US3MT=X
-
US10YT=X
-
SSEC
-
MIAPJ0000PUS
-
CSI300
-
DAX
-

* Asian stock markets: https://tmsnrt.rs/2zpUAr4

* Spreadbetters expect firmer open for European stocks

* Investors ponders implications of inverted U.S. yield curve

* Kiwi dollar dives as central bank flags possible rate cut

By Hideyuki Sano and Tomo Uetake

TOKYO, March 27 (Reuters) - Asian shares held steady on Wednesday as investors tried to come to terms with a sharp shift in U.S. bond markets and the implications for the world's top economy.

Financial spread-betters expect London's FTSE .FTSE Frankfurt's DAX .DAX and Paris's CAC .FCHI to gain between 0.2 and 0.4 percent when they open.

MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan .MIAPJ0000PUS ticked up 0.1 percent, while Japan's Nikkei average .N225 lost 0.2 percent.

Chinese stocks outperformed their Asian peers on expectations that Beijing would roll out more measures to support growth after data showed industrial profits shrank the most since late 2011. mainland's benchmark Shanghai Composite .SSEC rose 0.5 percent, the blue-chip CSI 300 .CSI300 climbed 0.8 percent, and Hong Kong's Hang Seng .HSI advanced 0.6 percent.

Wall Street's main indexes tallied solid gains on Tuesday but finished below their session highs in a reflection of the underlying concerns about the economic outlook.

The S&P 500 .SPX gained 0.72 percent while the Nasdaq Composite .IXIC added 0.71 percent. .N

The 10-year U.S. Treasuries yield US10YT=RR rose as high as 2.432 percent from Monday's 15-month low of 2.377 percent, though the yield curve remained inverted, with three-month bills US3MT=RR yielding 2.461 percent, more than 10-year bonds.

The inversion spooked many investors as this phenomenon has preceded every U.S. recession over the past 50 years, triggering a dramatic selloff in stock markets globally late last week and a stampede into longer-dated U.S. government debt.

"While the markets now got out of the extreme nervousness about the U.S. yield curve, there is no denying that U.S. data has been soft of late, hardly dispelling worries about the outlook," said Hirokazu Kabeya, chief global strategist at Daiwa Securities.

The silver lining for stock bulls is that in the past, it has usually taken many months before the United States slipped into recession after the curve was first inverted.

Yet the signs from a raft of economic data, including a set of indicators on Tuesday, were not encouraging.

Home building USHST=ECI fell more than expected in February as construction of single-family homes dropped to near a two-year low, while the consumer confidence index by the Conference Board USCONC=ECI fell unexpectedly. are entering a new phase in markets as the U.S. monetary policy cycle has come to a turning point, from rate hikes to rate cuts," said Akira Takei, bond fund manager at Asset Management One.

"Not all market participants have changed their mind-set yet. But as time goes by, it will become clear that a rate cut is the real possibility. The curve will be inverted further until the Fed cut rates," he said.

Many major economies in the world, including China, Europe and Japan, are already slowing down amid U.S.-China trade frictions and uncertainty over Brexit.

A senior International Monetary Fund official said on Tuesday the trade tensions between Beijing and Washington have caused huge amounts of economic uncertainty and could cut Asia's economic growth by 0.9 percentage point. are also wondering about Britain's plan to exit from the European Union, with potential scenarios spanning from a cancellation of Brexit to a no-deal exit.

Prime Minister Theresa May will address Conservative Party lawmakers, possibly to set out a timetable for her departure, to win support for her twice-rejected Brexit deal as the parliament prepares to vote on a variety of possible options. of the so-called "indicative votes," the pound inched down a slight 0.1 percent/edged 0.2 percent lower to $1.3182 GBP=D3 .

The euro slipped to a two-week low of $1.1251 as the dollar gained some footing on a rebound in U.S. bond yields. The common currency last fetched $1.1258 EUR= .

The dollar edged back to 110.61 yen JPY= , from Monday's 1-1/2-month low of 109.70.

The New Zealand dollar took a tumble after the country's central bank blindsided markets by saying the next move in interest rates would likely be down, abandoning its long-standing neutral stance.

While the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) kept the official cash rate (OCR) at 1.75 percent as expected, it surprised many by flatly stating "the more likely direction of our next OCR move is down." kiwi dollar NZD=D3 dived 1.6 percent to a two-week low at $0.6796, while bond and bill futures rallied sharply, taking yields to fresh all-time lows.

The Australian dollar AUD=D3 was dragged down in its wake, falling 0.4 percent to $0.7102, though the Aussie did make hefty gains on its kiwi counterpart.

Oil prices remained supported by supply curbs by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries plus allies and as Venezuela's main oil export port and four crude upgraders have been unable to resume operations following a massive power blackout. crude oil futures LCOc1 rose 0.3 percent to $68.17 per barrel while U.S. crude futures CLc1 edged up 0.1 percent to $60.01.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.