Bonds Analysis & Opinion

Fed's actions and projections remain disconnected from each other Powell needs to make bonds attractive in order to keep the US economy going ahead Meanwhile, a bearish steepening has made it even...

There is a rare and powerful trend occurring in bond markets. History shows that if left unchecked, it can cause serious damage to equity markets and the economy. Over the last 3 months, US bond...

When treasury bond yields are rising, bond prices are falling. It’s an inverse relationship. And so it makes sense that the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (NASDAQ:TLT) has fallen sharply during...

The collective wisdom of the bond market for much of this year has been betting that interest rates would soon peak and fall. But those bets appear to be unwinding in the wake of Wednesday’s...

Stocks are tanking as markets price in higher for longer scenario Meanwhile, bonds have declined for 2 years in a row and are on track for a third bearish year As economic weakness sets in eventually...

Fixed-income investors looking for interest-rate cuts from the Federal Reserve are still waiting, but that hasn’t stopped low-rated bonds from posting strong gains in 2023. The upside performance...

The US 10-year Treasury yield continued to trend higher in August, rising further above CapitalSpectator.com’s “fair-value” estimate, which is based on averaging three models. It’s unclear if the mean...

Current yields continue to show signs of peaking, based on a broad review of the major asset classes via a set of proxy ETFs. In each of our periodic updates of yields so far this year, the numbers...

The previous article discussed the potential ramifications related to policy actions that China and Japan might take. These large U.S. Treasury bondholders could temporarily upset the Treasury market,...

“China, Japan, inflation, deficits, and QT, oh my!” – The chant of bond traders watching yields creep higher. Despite the highest yields in 15 years, some bearish bond traders think they can go much...

The last time you could lock in a real (inflation-adjusted) yield with inflation-adjusted Treasuries (TIPS), the world was still cleaning up the mess from the financial crisis. A lot has changed since...

Rising interest rates are beginning to spook investors. And rightfully so. It’s been the fastest rise in rates in decades. And just when we thought interest rates were easing, they pushed higher once...

For much of the year, the bond market has been embracing expectations that the Federal Reserve’s interest rate increases have peaked or were about to peak. The underlying logic centered on the ongoing...

The 10-year Treasury yield continues to trade at a level well above CapitalSpectator.com’s fair-value estimate, but the gap suggests that further increases in the benchmark rate are facing stronger...