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Fed Rate Monitor Tool

 
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Fed Interest Rate Decision

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Fed Interest Rate Decision Jun 19, 2025 04:00

0 Weeks 3 Days 5 Hours 54 Minutes

Our Fed rate monitor calculator is based on CME Group 30-Day Fed Fund futures prices, which tend to signal the markets’ expectations regarding the possibility of changes to US interest rates based on Fed monetary policy. The tool allows users to calculate the likelihood of an upcoming Fed rate hike or cut.

Meeting Time: Jun 19, 2025 04:00
Future Price: 95.673
4.25 - 4.50
99.1%
4.50 - 4.75
0.9%
Target Rate Current Previous Day Previous Week
4.00 - 4.25 1.8%
4.25 - 4.50 99.1% 98.4% 98.2%
4.50 - 4.75 0.9% 1.6%
Updated: Jun 14, 2025 14:35 EST
Meeting Time: Jul 31, 2025 04:00
Future Price: 95.675
4.00 - 4.25
23.3%
4.25 - 4.50
76.0%
4.50 - 4.75
0.7%
Target Rate Current Previous Day Previous Week
3.75 - 4.00 0.3%
4.00 - 4.25 23.3% 29.4% 16.2%
4.25 - 4.50 76.0% 69.4% 83.5%
4.50 - 4.75 0.7% 1.2%
Updated: Jun 14, 2025 14:35 EST
Meeting Time: Sep 18, 2025 04:00
Future Price: 95.795
3.75 - 4.00
14.2%
4.00 - 4.25
55.4%
4.25 - 4.50
30.2%
4.50 - 4.75
0.3%
Target Rate Current Previous Day Previous Week
3.50 - 3.75 0.1%
3.75 - 4.00 14.2% 20.8% 8.5%
4.00 - 4.25 55.4% 57.7% 50.7%
4.25 - 4.50 30.2% 21.2% 40.7%
4.50 - 4.75 0.3% 0.3%
Updated: Jun 14, 2025 14:35 EST
Meeting Time: Oct 30, 2025 05:00
Future Price: 95.895
3.50 - 3.75
7.5%
3.75 - 4.00
36.1%
4.00 - 4.25
42.0%
4.25 - 4.50
14.3%
4.50 - 4.75
0.1%
Target Rate Current Previous Day Previous Week
3.25 - 3.50 0.1%
3.50 - 3.75 7.5% 11.5% 4.2%
3.75 - 4.00 36.1% 41.2% 29.1%
4.00 - 4.25 42.0% 37.5% 45.8%
4.25 - 4.50 14.3% 9.6% 20.9%
4.50 - 4.75 0.1% 0.2%
Updated: Jun 14, 2025 14:35 EST
Meeting Time: Dec 11, 2025 06:00
Future Price: 96.120
3.25 - 3.50
4.2%
3.50 - 3.75
23.6%
3.75 - 4.00
39.4%
4.00 - 4.25
26.4%
4.25 - 4.50
6.3%
Target Rate Current Previous Day Previous Week
3.00 - 3.25 0.0%
3.25 - 3.50 4.2% 7.1% 2.4%
3.50 - 3.75 23.6% 29.9% 18.3%
3.75 - 4.00 39.4% 38.9% 38.6%
4.00 - 4.25 26.4% 20.3% 31.6%
4.25 - 4.50 6.3% 3.8% 9.0%
4.50 - 4.75 0.1% 0.1%
Updated: Jun 14, 2025 14:35 EST
Meeting Time: Jan 27, 2026 06:00
Future Price: 96.175
3.00 - 3.25
1.7%
3.25 - 3.50
11.9%
3.50 - 3.75
29.9%
3.75 - 4.00
34.2%
4.00 - 4.25
18.4%
4.25 - 4.50
3.8%
Target Rate Current Previous Day Previous Week
2.75 - 3.00 0.0%
3.00 - 3.25 1.7% 3.0% 0.9%
3.25 - 3.50 11.9% 16.7% 8.3%
3.50 - 3.75 29.9% 33.7% 25.9%
3.75 - 4.00 34.2% 31.0% 36.0%
4.00 - 4.25 18.4% 13.3% 23.2%
4.25 - 4.50 3.8% 2.2% 5.7%
4.50 - 4.75 0.0% 0.0%
Updated: Jun 14, 2025 14:35 EST
Meeting Time: Mar 19, 2026 05:00
Future Price: 96.305
2.75 - 3.00
0.8%
3.00 - 3.25
6.4%
3.25 - 3.50
20.2%
3.50 - 3.75
31.9%
3.75 - 4.00
26.9%
4.00 - 4.25
11.7%
4.25 - 4.50
2.1%
Target Rate Current Previous Day Previous Week
2.50 - 2.75 0.0%
2.75 - 3.00 0.8% 1.4% 0.4%
3.00 - 3.25 6.4% 9.6% 4.2%
3.25 - 3.50 20.2% 24.9% 16.1%
3.50 - 3.75 31.9% 32.4% 30.4%
3.75 - 4.00 26.9% 22.5% 30.3%
4.00 - 4.25 11.7% 8.0% 15.4%
4.25 - 4.50 2.1% 1.2% 3.1%
4.50 - 4.75 0.0% 0.0%
Updated: Jun 14, 2025 14:35 EST
Meeting Time: Apr 30, 2026 04:00
Future Price: 96.375
2.50 - 2.75
0.2%
2.75 - 3.00
2.3%
3.00 - 3.25
10.3%
3.25 - 3.50
23.5%
3.50 - 3.75
30.5%
3.75 - 4.00
22.7%
4.00 - 4.25
9.0%
4.25 - 4.50
1.5%
Target Rate Current Previous Day Previous Week
2.25 - 2.50 0.0%
2.50 - 2.75 0.2% 0.4% 0.1%
2.75 - 3.00 2.3% 3.9% 1.3%
3.00 - 3.25 10.3% 14.2% 7.0%
3.25 - 3.50 23.5% 27.1% 19.5%
3.50 - 3.75 30.5% 29.5% 30.4%
3.75 - 4.00 22.7% 18.2% 26.8%
4.00 - 4.25 9.0% 5.9% 12.5%
4.25 - 4.50 1.5% 0.8% 2.4%
4.50 - 4.75 0.0% 0.0%
Updated: Jun 14, 2025 14:35 EST
Meeting Time: Jun 18, 2026 04:00
Future Price: 96.485
2.50 - 2.75
1.1%
2.75 - 3.00
5.6%
3.00 - 3.25
15.7%
3.25 - 3.50
26.4%
3.50 - 3.75
27.3%
3.75 - 4.00
17.1%
4.00 - 4.25
5.9%
4.25 - 4.50
0.9%
Target Rate Current Previous Day Previous Week
2.00 - 2.25 0.0%
2.25 - 2.50 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2.50 - 2.75 1.1% 2.1% 0.5%
2.75 - 3.00 5.6% 8.9% 3.4%
3.00 - 3.25 15.7% 20.5% 11.5%
3.25 - 3.50 26.4% 28.3% 23.4%
3.50 - 3.75 27.3% 23.9% 29.1%
3.75 - 4.00 17.1% 12.1% 21.7%
4.00 - 4.25 5.9% 3.4% 8.9%
4.25 - 4.50 0.9% 0.4% 1.5%
4.50 - 4.75 0.0% 0.0%
Updated: Jun 14, 2025 14:35 EST
Meeting Time: Jul 30, 2026 04:00
Future Price: 96.550
2.25 - 2.50
0.4%
2.50 - 2.75
2.4%
2.75 - 3.00
8.5%
3.00 - 3.25
18.8%
3.25 - 3.50
26.6%
3.50 - 3.75
24.3%
3.75 - 4.00
13.8%
4.00 - 4.25
4.5%
4.25 - 4.50
0.6%
Target Rate Current Previous Day Previous Week
1.75 - 2.00 0.0%
2.00 - 2.25 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
2.25 - 2.50 0.4% 0.8% 0.1%
2.50 - 2.75 2.4% 4.1% 1.1%
2.75 - 3.00 8.5% 12.3% 5.0%
3.00 - 3.25 18.8% 22.8% 13.9%
3.25 - 3.50 26.6% 27.0% 24.5%
3.50 - 3.75 24.3% 20.5% 27.6%
3.75 - 4.00 13.8% 9.6% 19.1%
4.00 - 4.25 4.5% 2.6% 7.4%
4.25 - 4.50 0.6% 0.3% 1.2%
4.50 - 4.75 0.0% 0.0%
Updated: Jun 14, 2025 14:35 EST
Meeting Time: Sep 17, 2026 04:00
Future Price: 96.645
2.00 - 2.25
0.1%
2.25 - 2.50
0.9%
2.50 - 2.75
4.1%
2.75 - 3.00
11.4%
3.00 - 3.25
21.0%
3.25 - 3.50
26.0%
3.50 - 3.75
21.4%
3.75 - 4.00
11.2%
4.00 - 4.25
3.4%
4.25 - 4.50
0.5%
Target Rate Current Previous Day Previous Week
1.50 - 1.75
1.75 - 2.00 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2.00 - 2.25 0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
2.25 - 2.50 0.9% 1.8% 0.4%
2.50 - 2.75 4.1% 6.5% 2.0%
2.75 - 3.00 11.4% 15.4% 7.1%
3.00 - 3.25 21.0% 24.0% 16.4%
3.25 - 3.50 26.0% 25.1% 25.3%
3.50 - 3.75 21.4% 17.3% 25.6%
3.75 - 4.00 11.2% 7.5% 16.3%
4.00 - 4.25 3.4% 1.9% 5.9%
4.25 - 4.50 0.5% 0.2% 0.9%
4.50 - 4.75 0.0% 0.0%
Updated: Jun 14, 2025 14:35 EST
Meeting Time: Oct 29, 2026 05:00
Future Price: 96.690
2.00 - 2.25
0.2%
2.25 - 2.50
1.4%
2.50 - 2.75
5.1%
2.75 - 3.00
12.7%
3.00 - 3.25
21.7%
3.25 - 3.50
25.3%
3.50 - 3.75
20.0%
3.75 - 4.00
10.1%
4.00 - 4.25
3.0%
4.25 - 4.50
0.4%
Target Rate Current Previous Day Previous Week
1.25 - 1.50
1.50 - 1.75 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1.75 - 2.00 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
2.00 - 2.25 0.2% 0.5% 0.1%
2.25 - 2.50 1.4% 2.6% 0.6%
2.50 - 2.75 5.1% 8.1% 2.9%
2.75 - 3.00 12.7% 17.0% 8.6%
3.00 - 3.25 21.7% 24.2% 17.8%
3.25 - 3.50 25.3% 23.7% 25.3%
3.50 - 3.75 20.0% 15.5% 24.1%
3.75 - 4.00 10.1% 6.5% 14.6%
4.00 - 4.25 3.0% 1.6% 5.1%
4.25 - 4.50 0.4% 0.2% 0.8%
4.50 - 4.75 0.0% 0.0%
Updated: Jun 14, 2025 14:35 EST
Meeting Time: Dec 10, 2026 06:00
Future Price: 96.725
2.00 - 2.25
0.4%
2.25 - 2.50
1.8%
2.50 - 2.75
5.9%
2.75 - 3.00
13.6%
3.00 - 3.25
22.0%
3.25 - 3.50
24.8%
3.50 - 3.75
19.0%
3.75 - 4.00
9.4%
4.00 - 4.25
2.7%
4.25 - 4.50
0.4%
Target Rate Current Previous Day Previous Week
1.25 - 1.50
1.50 - 1.75 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1.75 - 2.00 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
2.00 - 2.25 0.4% 0.5% 0.1%
2.25 - 2.50 1.8% 2.3% 0.8%
2.50 - 2.75 5.9% 7.4% 3.2%
2.75 - 3.00 13.6% 15.7% 9.2%
3.00 - 3.25 22.0% 23.2% 18.3%
3.25 - 3.50 24.8% 23.7% 25.2%
3.50 - 3.75 19.0% 16.6% 23.5%
3.75 - 4.00 9.4% 7.8% 14.1%
4.00 - 4.25 2.7% 2.3% 4.9%
4.25 - 4.50 0.4% 0.4% 0.7%
4.50 - 4.75 0.0% 0.0%
4.75 - 5.00 0.0%
Updated: Jun 14, 2025 14:35 EST

Fed Fund Rates

News

Analysis

James Picerno
Markets Still Expect Fed to Keep Rates Steady for Near Term By James Picerno - May 21, 2025

Uncertainty about inflation, the economy, and trade policy continues to blur the macro outlook, which in turn supports expectations that the Federal Reserve will leave interest rates unchanged at the...

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