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Fed Rate Monitor Tool
Fed Interest Rate Decision Nov 02, 2023 05:00
5
Weeks
5
Days
2
Hours
52
Minutes
Our Fed rate monitor calculator is based on CME Group 30-Day Fed Fund futures prices, which tend to signal the markets’ expectations regarding the possibility of changes to US interest rates based on Fed monetary policy. The tool allows users to calculate the likelihood of an upcoming Fed rate hike or cut.
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Nov 02, 2023 05:00
Future Price:
94.615
5.25 - 5.50
74.6%
5.50 - 5.75
25.4%
| Target Rate | Current | Previous Day | Previous Week |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5.25 - 5.50 | 74.6% | 70.6% | 67.3% |
| 5.50 - 5.75 | 25.4% | 29.4% | 32.1% |
| 5.75 - 6.00 | — | — | 0.6% |
Updated: Sep 23, 2023 00:45 EST
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Dec 14, 2023 05:00
Future Price:
94.575
5.25 - 5.50
59.3%
5.50 - 5.75
35.5%
5.75 - 6.00
5.2%
| Target Rate | Current | Previous Day | Previous Week |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5.25 - 5.50 | 59.3% | 56.1% | 60.0% |
| 5.50 - 5.75 | 35.5% | 37.9% | 35.9% |
| 5.75 - 6.00 | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.0% |
| 6.00 - 6.25 | — | — | 0.1% |
Updated: Sep 23, 2023 00:45 EST
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Feb 01, 2024 06:00
Future Price:
94.555
5.25 - 5.50
58.1%
5.50 - 5.75
36.0%
5.75 - 6.00
5.8%
6.00 - 6.25
0.1%
| Target Rate | Current | Previous Day | Previous Week |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5.00 - 5.25 | — | — | 3.7% |
| 5.25 - 5.50 | 58.1% | 54.9% | 58.5% |
| 5.50 - 5.75 | 36.0% | 38.2% | 33.9% |
| 5.75 - 6.00 | 5.8% | 6.7% | 3.8% |
| 6.00 - 6.25 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
Updated: Sep 23, 2023 00:45 EST
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Mar 21, 2024 05:00
Future Price:
94.570
5.00 - 5.25
11.6%
5.25 - 5.50
53.6%
5.50 - 5.75
30.0%
5.75 - 6.00
4.7%
| Target Rate | Current | Previous Day | Previous Week |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.75 - 5.00 | — | — | 0.8% |
| 5.00 - 5.25 | 11.6% | 12.1% | 15.8% |
| 5.25 - 5.50 | 53.6% | 51.3% | 53.1% |
| 5.50 - 5.75 | 30.0% | 31.3% | 27.3% |
| 5.75 - 6.00 | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.0% |
| 6.00 - 6.25 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Updated: Sep 23, 2023 00:45 EST
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
May 02, 2024 04:00
Future Price:
94.680
4.75 - 5.00
5.9%
5.00 - 5.25
32.8%
5.25 - 5.50
41.7%
5.50 - 5.75
17.2%
5.75 - 6.00
2.4%
| Target Rate | Current | Previous Day | Previous Week |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.50 - 4.75 | — | — | 0.5% |
| 4.75 - 5.00 | 5.9% | 5.8% | 9.2% |
| 5.00 - 5.25 | 32.8% | 30.8% | 36.6% |
| 5.25 - 5.50 | 41.7% | 41.7% | 38.7% |
| 5.50 - 5.75 | 17.2% | 18.9% | 13.7% |
| 5.75 - 6.00 | 2.4% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| 6.00 - 6.25 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Updated: Sep 23, 2023 00:45 EST
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Jun 20, 2024 04:00
Future Price:
94.750
4.50 - 4.75
1.4%
4.75 - 5.00
12.3%
5.00 - 5.25
34.9%
5.25 - 5.50
35.8%
5.50 - 5.75
13.7%
5.75 - 6.00
1.8%
| Target Rate | Current | Previous Day | Previous Week |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.25 - 4.50 | — | — | 0.1% |
| 4.50 - 4.75 | 1.4% | 1.2% | 3.1% |
| 4.75 - 5.00 | 12.3% | 11.0% | 17.5% |
| 5.00 - 5.25 | 34.9% | 33.1% | 37.2% |
| 5.25 - 5.50 | 35.8% | 37.0% | 31.1% |
| 5.50 - 5.75 | 13.7% | 15.5% | 10.0% |
| 5.75 - 6.00 | 1.8% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| 6.00 - 6.25 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Updated: Sep 23, 2023 00:45 EST
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Aug 01, 2024 04:00
Future Price:
94.790
4.25 - 4.50
0.7%
4.50 - 4.75
6.8%
4.75 - 5.00
23.5%
5.00 - 5.25
35.4%
5.25 - 5.50
24.8%
5.50 - 5.75
7.8%
5.75 - 6.00
0.9%
| Target Rate | Current | Previous Day | Previous Week |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.00 - 4.25 | — | — | 0.1% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.8% |
| 4.50 - 4.75 | 6.8% | 5.8% | 11.4% |
| 4.75 - 5.00 | 23.5% | 21.5% | 28.9% |
| 5.00 - 5.25 | 35.4% | 34.9% | 33.7% |
| 5.25 - 5.50 | 24.8% | 26.8% | 18.9% |
| 5.50 - 5.75 | 7.8% | 9.2% | 4.7% |
| 5.75 - 6.00 | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| 6.00 - 6.25 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Updated: Sep 23, 2023 00:45 EST
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Sep 26, 2024 04:00
Future Price:
94.975
4.00 - 4.25
0.4%
4.25 - 4.50
4.4%
4.50 - 4.75
16.8%
4.75 - 5.00
30.6%
5.00 - 5.25
29.1%
5.25 - 5.50
14.6%
5.50 - 5.75
3.7%
5.75 - 6.00
0.4%
| Target Rate | Current | Previous Day | Previous Week |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.75 - 4.00 | — | — | 0.1% |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.3% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 4.4% | 3.2% | 8.4% |
| 4.50 - 4.75 | 16.8% | 13.6% | 23.3% |
| 4.75 - 5.00 | 30.6% | 28.2% | 32.2% |
| 5.00 - 5.25 | 29.1% | 30.9% | 23.6% |
| 5.25 - 5.50 | 14.6% | 18.0% | 9.3% |
| 5.50 - 5.75 | 3.7% | 5.2% | 1.8% |
| 5.75 - 6.00 | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 6.00 - 6.25 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Updated: Sep 23, 2023 00:45 EST
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Nov 07, 2024 05:00
Future Price:
95.120
3.75 - 4.00
0.4%
4.00 - 4.25
3.7%
4.25 - 4.50
14.9%
4.50 - 4.75
28.4%
4.75 - 5.00
29.3%
5.00 - 5.25
16.9%
5.25 - 5.50
5.4%
5.50 - 5.75
0.9%
| Target Rate | Current | Previous Day | Previous Week |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.50 - 3.75 | — | — | 0.0% |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 0.4% | 0.2% | 1.1% |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 3.7% | 2.7% | 7.2% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 14.9% | 11.8% | 20.9% |
| 4.50 - 4.75 | 28.4% | 25.6% | 30.8% |
| 4.75 - 5.00 | 29.3% | 30.4% | 25.0% |
| 5.00 - 5.25 | 16.9% | 20.3% | 11.6% |
| 5.25 - 5.50 | 5.4% | 7.5% | 3.0% |
| 5.50 - 5.75 | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| 5.75 - 6.00 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 6.00 - 6.25 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Updated: Sep 23, 2023 00:45 EST
Fed Fund Rates
News
Tech stocks rebound as investors digest message of higher rates for longer
By Investing.com - Sep 23, 2023
Investing.com -- Tech stocks are rebounding after the Federal Reserve sent the message that interest rates will be higher for longer as it tries to battle inflation. At 10:55 ET (14:55 GMT), the Dow...
U.S. stocks are mixed as investors digest message of higher rates for longer
By Investing.com - Sep 23, 2023
Investing.com -- U.S. stocks are mixed in early trading Friday, headed for a weekly loss after the Federal Reserve sent the message that interest rates will be higher for longer as it tries to battle...
Oil prices climb sharply as Russian export ban adds to supply worries
By Investing.com - Sep 22, 2023
Investing.com -- Oil prices rose Friday as a Russian fuel export ban added to ongoing worries about the tight nature of global supply. By 09:25 ET (13.25 GMT), the U.S. crude futures traded 1.6%...
Analysis
Treasury Market Plays Catch-Up With Higher-for-Longer Risk
By James Picerno - Sep 22, 2023
The collective wisdom of the bond market for much of this year has been betting that interest rates would soon peak and fall. But those bets appear to be unwinding in the wake of Wednesday’s...
How Much Lower Can EUR/USD, GBP/USD Go in Light of Powell's Hawkish Remarks?
By Günay Caymaz - Sep 22, 2023
US dollar continues to strengthen on Fed's hawkish stance EUR/USD could continue to head lower on the back of weak data from Eurozone Meanwhile, GBP/USD is now edging closer to support level at 1.22...
Fed Leads Investors Into Bonds Amid Stock Market Uncertainty, Higher Yields
By Francesco Casarella - Sep 22, 2023
Stocks are tanking as markets price in higher for longer scenario Meanwhile, bonds have declined for 2 years in a row and are on track for a third bearish year As economic weakness sets in eventually...