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Two key charts reveal troubling signs for equities in 2025. A negative risk premium and overexposed fund managers raise red flags. 2025 promises to be a volatile year for stocks. In investing,...
In last week’s discussion with Thoughtful Money, I noted that we are becoming more “tactically bearish” as we progress into 2025. While we have remained primarily bullish in equity positioning over...
As we approach 2025, investors are looking for opportunities to capitalize on quality growth stocks with strong financial health and promising tailwinds. Companies with robust fundamentals,...
• Trump inauguration, Q4 earnings season will be in focus in the holiday-shortened week ahead. • With its transformative business model and clear growth trajectory, Netflix looks like a compelling...
Bitcoin surges back above $100,000 as inflation data boosts market optimism. New U.S. crypto regulations could fuel Bitcoin’s rally further. Key resistance at $102,450 could test Bitcoin’s bullish...
As we head into 2025, investors are giddy over the market returns of the last two years. As shown, the annual returns, while elevated, have come with only average volatility along the way. However,...
Quantum computing stocks are surging as investor optimism grows on shifting rate cut expectations. New initiatives from tech leaders like Microsoft signal a promising future for the quantum...
Stocks finished lower on the day, with the S&P 500 dropping by 21 bps and the NASDAQ 100 falling by about 70 bps. Still, the markets were more settled now that the S&P 500 moved back into...
Owing to a stronger-than-expected jobs report for December, at 256,000 job gains vs 160,000 expected, the Fed’s interest cuts are no longer a certainty for 2025. Likewise, if inflation is reheating,...
If you draw enough lines on a stock chart, one of them is bound to predict the future accurately! Given that technical analysis is perfect in hindsight and flawed in foresight, many investors mock it...
For those new to our Elliott Wave Principle-based analyses and as a reminder to our regular readers, we have been tracking an ending diagonal (ED) pattern for the Nasdaq 100 for several months, and...
After the day before yesterday's big gains, it was always going to be hard for markets to continue in the same vein. All markets are near 20-day MAs, with the Russell 2000 (IWM) just above this key...
Stocks and gold have been “predictable” as we approach Inauguration Day. “Predictable” taking the form of our previous “to or through the election” view for the 2024 bull, which was ginned by the...
Markets may tread carefully today ahead of Monday’s inauguration of President Trump. There are lingering concerns about the “day one” measures, some of which are priced in, which could generate some...
The market premium for the US 10-year Treasury yield eased in December after rising for two straight months. The analysis uses a “fair value” estimate. Despite the downshift, the market continues to...
Besides expecting another round of positive US activity data, today’s FX focus will be on the Senate confirmation hearing of Scott Bessent, Trump’s nominee for US Treasury Secretary. He will be...
Brent has broken above US$82/bbl. Falling US crude oil stocks and uncertainty over Russian oil supply following US sanctions continue to support prices Energy – US Crude Stocks Fall Oil prices...
Gold’s stunning rise in 2024 has captured attention, but uncertainty looms as rate cut momentum slows. Geopolitical tensions and recession risks could fuel further gains, while hawkish Fed policies...