Market Overview

Money illusion has made the energy spike look worse than it is The CPI report is this week; Will median show any sign of peaking? Wages do not appear to be slowing at all. Last week, I mused about...

Week in review It was a mixed week for global markets, with investors still unsure whether to laugh or cry about the fact the US is not yet in recession. After some early fleeting geo-political...

DXY was up and away on Friday night:   That squashed the AUD:AUD shorts have been added during the bounce:Oil held on but does not look well:Metals did better and so did miners (LON:GLEN):EM stocks...

Is there a recession, and to what extent is politics involved? Was last week a fluke? Why I think there currently is or will be a recession, according to all definitions. How should I interpret a week...

U.S. inflation data, Fed rate hike expectations, more earnings in focus. Roblox stock is a buy ahead of Q2 results, due Tuesday. Rivian shares set to struggle amid ongoing headwinds. Stocks on Wall...

Following FOMC meeting, markets have been pricing a kinder Fed But Fed governors and board members have been pushing back May turn out that markets have made a massive miscalculation The pivot to a...

Wall Street stalled overnight on some disappointing earnings while European markets continued their surge as the Bank of England was the latest to raise interest rates. Currency markets are still...

DXY held its gain last night:   AUD rose anyway as Taiwan tensions eased:Oil broke. Big downside potential here:If so, metals will go too:And miners Glencore PLC (LON:GLEN):EM stocks (NYSE:EEM) were...

Risk sentiment has flipped to one of unease given the combination of further hawkish comments from the Fed and heightened tensions over US Speaker Pelosi’s visit to Taiwan, confirming the glass...

DXY is still falling as EUR bounces:   The AUD materially underperformed the DXY sag:Oil dumped:Dirt too:And miners (LON:GLEN):Plus all EM (NYSE:EEM): Yields fell:But stocks did too:Westpac has the...

The debate over whether we are in a recession is not material to monetary policy or market action. Another term that is broadly agreed upon, but even less useful, is the Non-Accelerating Inflation...

Asian stocks are having a solid start to the trading week with Chinese stocks still the laggards but avoiding the steep falls from Friday’s session. The mixed earnings from Wall Street is not...

DXY is down, down:   But, the AUD squeeze has also hit trouble:Markets are still moderately short AUD:Oil and gold are gesturing at reflation:And metals:Plus miners (LON:GLEN):EM stocks (NYSE:EEM) not...

Nonfarm payrolls employment data could determine Fed's path to tightening. I am convinced the biggest two-day rally since the 1970s is a bear market rally or a bull trap. Below are my...