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David Llewellyn-Smith
Australian dollar free falls as Fed hikes return By David Llewellyn-Smith - Aug 08, 2022

DXY was up and away on Friday night:   That squashed the AUD:AUD shorts have been added during the bounce:Oil held on but does not look well:Metals did better and so did miners (LON:GLEN):EM...

Pinchas Cohen
Week Ahead: Will This Be The Week That Stocks Fall? By Pinchas Cohen - Aug 08, 2022 1

Is there a recession, and to what extent is politics involved? Was last week a fluke? Why I think there currently is or will be a recession, according to all definitions. How should I interpret a week...

Michael Kramer
Markets May Have Miscalculated The U.S. Federal Reserve By Michael Kramer - Aug 05, 2022

Following FOMC meeting, markets have been pricing a kinder Fed But Fed governors and board members have been pushing back May turn out that markets have made a massive miscalculation The pivot to a...

Chris Becker
05.08.22 Macro Afternoon By Chris Becker - Aug 05, 2022 1

Asian stocks are having a solid session to finish the trading week as markets position themselves for what is likely to be a robust US unemployment print tonight. The USD is mixed versus most of the...

Chris Becker
05.08.22 Macro Morning By Chris Becker - Aug 05, 2022 1

Wall Street stalled overnight on some disappointing earnings while European markets continued their surge as the Bank of England was the latest to raise interest rates. Currency markets are still...

Mike Zaccardi, CFA, CMT
Retail Earnings In Focus As Kids Return To The Classroom By Mike Zaccardi, CFA, CMT - Aug 03, 2022

Back-to-school shopping season underway Another record year of spending expected Consumer Discretionary sector performed best since the market low The back-to-school shopping season is in full swing...

Chris Becker
03.08.22 Macro Morning By Chris Becker - Aug 03, 2022 1

Risk sentiment has flipped to one of unease given the combination of further hawkish comments from the Fed and heightened tensions over US Speaker Pelosi’s visit to Taiwan, confirming the glass...

Michael Ashton
Weekly Inflation Outlook: What Labels Matter By Michael Ashton - Aug 01, 2022

The debate over whether we are in a recession is not material to monetary policy or market action. Another term that is broadly agreed upon, but even less useful, is the Non-Accelerating Inflation...

Chris Becker
01.08.22 Macro Afternoon By Chris Becker - Aug 01, 2022

Asian stocks are having a solid start to the trading week with Chinese stocks still the laggards but avoiding the steep falls from Friday’s session. The mixed earnings from Wall Street is not...

David Llewellyn-Smith
Australian dollar short squeeze flames out By David Llewellyn-Smith - Aug 01, 2022

DXY is down, down:   But, the AUD squeeze has also hit trouble:Markets are still moderately short AUD:Oil and gold are gesturing at reflation:And metals:Plus miners (LON:GLEN):EM stocks...

Michael Kramer
U.S. Markets Entering Self-Defeating Feedback Loop By Michael Kramer - Jul 29, 2022 3

The markets may be entering a vicious feedback loop that could prove self-defeating. In recent weeks, expectations of an economic slowdown have led many commodities to decline, leading inflation...

Chris Becker
29.07.22 Macro Morning By Chris Becker - Jul 29, 2022 2

Risk sentiment remain ebullient overnight as markets basically ignored the latest disappointing US GDP print as German inflation picked up higher than expected. Wall Street and European stocks rose...

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