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GLOBAL MARKETS-Asian shares set for rough ride on virus fears, eyes on China

Published 03/02/2020, 11:53 am
Updated 03/02/2020, 11:57 am
© Reuters.  GLOBAL MARKETS-Asian shares set for rough ride on virus fears, eyes on China
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(Adds MSCI ex-Japan and Nikkei, updates levels throughout)

* Asian stock markets : https://tmsnrt.rs/2zpUAr4

* Australian, NZ shares fall; oil slides, gold firm

* Coronavirus death toll in China rises to 350

* China cbank to inject $174 bln liquidity on Monday

* Economists lower growth forecasts for Chinese economy

By Swati Pandey

SYDNEY, Feb 3 (Reuters) - Asian markets are set for another bumpy ride on Monday on fears about the hit to world growth from the rapidly spreading coronavirus, with all eyes on China where trading resumes following the Lunar New Year break.

A total of 361 people have died in China from the new virus with the first death out of the mainland reported on Sunday in the Philippines. to head off any panic, China's central bank plans to inject 1.2 trillion yuan ($173.8 billion) of liquidity into the markets via reverse repo operations on Monday. also said it would help firms that produce vital goods resume work as soon as possible, state broadcaster CCTV reported. the measures, MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan .MIAPJ0000PUS was 0.5% lower, on track for an eighth straight day of losses.

Japan's Nikkei .N225 stumbled 1.5% and South Korea's KOSPI index .KS11 was off 1.4%. Australia's benchmark index .AXJO was down 0.7%, while New Zealand shares .NZ50 fell 1.8%.

"These initial interventions aim to boost confidence, but they are unlikely to be sufficient to curtail a sharp downturn in Q1," Citi economists said in a note.

"As most employees won't return to work until Feb. 9, the output losses are likely to be larger than expected, and incoming economic activity data will continue to prompt the authorities to take more actions in order to reduce the adverse impact of the Wuhan coronavirus on the economy."

Chris Weston, a Sydney-based strategist at broker Pepperston, said "the big unknown" was how China's financial markets respond to the show of force from the country's central bank.

"The fact the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) has detailed they see the impact of the coronavirus as 'short-lived' is designed to instil confidence," Weston said. "Whether the market feeds off this optimism is another thing given the spread of the virus is still in its exponential stage."

On Friday, the Dow .DJI fell 2.1%, the S&P 500 .SPX declined 1.8% and the Nasdaq Composite .IXIC dropped 1.6% as economists tempered their outlook for the world's second-largest economy. a sign of a pause in the selloff elsewhere, E-Mini futures for the S&P500 ESc1 added 0.2% on Monday.

Analysts expect travel curbs and supply chain disruptions to crimp Chinese growth, with a potential domino effect on other economies.

Citi revised its full-year forecast for China's GDP growth to 5.5% in 2020 from 5.8%. It also cut first-quarter growth expectations to 4.8%, compared with 6% in the fourth quarter of 2019.

JPMorgan (NYSE:JPM) shaved its forecast for global growth by 0.3 percentage points for this quarter.

Data out of the United States and Europe on Friday also pointed to economic weakness, while a mixed batch of corporate earnings added to the gloom. currencies, the safe-haven Japanese yen JPY= held near a 3-1/2 week high against the dollar at 108.41 after adding about 1.5% in the last two weeks.

The risk sensitive Australian dollar AUD=D3 , which is often traded as a liquid proxy for the Chinese yuan, tumbled 2% last week to hit a four-month trough of $0.6683. It was last up 0.1% at 0.6694.

The dollar index, which measures the greenback against a basket of major currencies, was a shade higher at 97.439. .DXY

Gold, which posted its best month in five in January, eased to $1,588.72, while yields on U.S. debt lingered near five-month lows as the United States, Japan and other countries tightened travel curbs to China. XAU=

Oil futures skidded on concerns the coronavirus outbreak would hit China's oil demand. Brent crude LCOc1 slid $1.06 to $55.56 a barrel, the lowest since January 2019. U.S. crude CLc1 slipped 84 cents to $50.72.

https://tmsnrt.rs/2zpUAr4 Asia-Pacific valuations

https://tmsnrt.rs/2Dr2BQA

^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^> (Editing by Sam Holmes and Richard Pullin)

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