Cyber Monday Deal: Up to 60% off InvestingProCLAIM SALE

GLOBAL MARKETS-Stocks cheer trade reprieve, bonds reconsider rate cuts

Published 01/07/2019, 06:51 pm
Updated 01/07/2019, 07:00 pm
© Reuters.  GLOBAL MARKETS-Stocks cheer trade reprieve, bonds reconsider rate cuts
EUR/USD
-
USD/JPY
-
USD/CHF
-
XAU/USD
-
US500
-
DE40
-
JP225
-
USD/CNY
-
GC
-
LCO
-
ESZ24
-
CL
-
NQZ24
-
TYH25
-
US10YT=X
-
STOXX
-
CSI300
-
MIWD00000PUS
-
DXY
-
SX8P
-

* Europe, Nikkei, Shanghai at 2-month tops as new tariffs avoided

* Treasury bonds off as market scales back bets on Fed easing

* PMI factory surveys disappoint, from China to Japan to euro zone

* Oil prices jump 2.8% as OPEC looks set to extend supply cuts

* Chipmakers rally jump as Trump cools heat on Huawei

* Graphic: World FX rates in 2019 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

By Marc Jones and Wayne Cole

LONDON/SYDNEY, July 1 (Reuters) - Stocks rallied and bonds retreated on Monday as the United States and China agreed to restart trade talks, leading investors to pare wagers on aggressive policy easing by the major central banks.

The dollar firmed on the safe-haven yen as Treasury yields rose and futures reined in bets for a half-point rate cut from the U.S. Federal Reserve this month.

"It (Trump-Xi G20 meeting) played as well as possible," said SEB Investment Management's global head of asset allocation Hans Peterson. "So It gives us time to digest and get a bit better activity in the global economy."

The United States and China agreed on Saturday to resume trade negotiations after President Donald Trump offered concessions to his Chinese counterpart Xi Jinping when the two met at the sidelines of the G20 summit in Japan.

These included no new tariffs and an easing of restrictions on tech company Huawei HWT.UL in order to reduce tensions with Beijing. China agreed to make unspecified new purchases of U.S. farm products and return to the negotiating table. initial reaction was one of relief that at least new tariffs were avoided.

Europe's STOXX 600 and Japan's Nikkei .N225 climbed 1% and 2.1% respectively to hit two-month tops and MSCI's broadest global index .MIWD00000PUS added 0.2% having only just missed out on its best first half to a year. blue chips .CSI300 jumped 2.6% to their highest since late April, Germany's export-heavy DAX .GDAXI sprang 1.5% to its highest since August, Wall Street futures were up over 1% while the combination of the Huawei hiatus and M&A activity hoisted Europe's the tech sector .SX8P to a one-year high.

E-Mini futures for the S&P 500 ESc1 and Nasdaq NQc1 rose 1.1% and 1.7% each too whereas in the bond market Treasury futures TYc1 slid 10 ticks as yields on 10-year notes US10YT=RR edged up 4 basis points to 2.04%. GVD/EUR .N

Fed funds 0#FF: dropped over 5 ticks as the market scaled back the probability of a half-point rate cut this month to around 15%, from nearer 50% a week ago. FEDWATCH

"I think the Fed expectations in the market are very aggressive. Possibly a bit too aggressive," SEB's Peterson added.

DAMAGE DONE

Yet, no deadline was set for a trade deal and much damage has already been done, with two surveys of Chinese manufacturing showing activity contracting. official Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) held at 49.4 in June, just missing forecasts, while the Caixin/Markit PMI dropped to 49.4, the worst reading since January.

Surveys from Japan and South Korea showed similar slowdowns as did the 19-country euro zone's reading which contracted for fifth month running and at a faster pace than previously thought. zone manufacturing remained stuck firmly in a steep downturn in June, continuing to contract at one of the steepest rates seen for over six years," said Chris Williamson, chief business economist at IHS Markit.

"The disappointing survey rounds off a second quarter in which the average PMI reading was the lowest since the opening months of 2013."

The reaction in currency markets was to strip some recent gains from safe harbours like the yen and Swiss franc. The dollar crept up 0.4% on the yen to 108.26 JPY= and 0.7% on the franc to 0.9830 CHF= .

The dollar added 0.4% on a basket of currencies to 96.531 .DXY , while the euro eased to $1.1328 EUR= . The dollar went the other way on the Chinese yuan, dipping 0.4% to 6.8403 CNY= .

The dollar's gains took some of the shine off gold, which fell 1.5% to $1,388 per ounce XAU= .

Oil prices sprang higher on news OPEC and its allies look set to extend supply cuts at least until the end of 2019 as Iraq joined top producers Saudi Arabia and Russia in endorsing the policy. O/R

Brent crude LCOc1 futures rose $1.85 or 2.8% to $66.40, while U.S. crude CLc1 gained $1.84 or 2.75% to $59.90 a barrel.

<^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^ Asia stock markets

https://tmsnrt.rs/2zpUAr4 Asia-Pacific valuations

https://tmsnrt.rs/2Dr2BQA Global markets in H1

https://tmsnrt.rs/2FEK8yw

^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^>

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.