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GLOBAL MARKETS-World shares rally again on Trump tariff relief, Fed hopes

Published 11/06/2019, 09:43 pm
Updated 11/06/2019, 09:50 pm
© Reuters.  GLOBAL MARKETS-World shares rally again on Trump tariff relief, Fed hopes

* European shares gain 0.62%

* Germany's DAX outperforms after one-day holiday

* German carmarkers shine; tariff-sensitive auto sector up 1.9%

* Dollar firm near 2 1/2-month lows

* Graphic: World FX rates in 2019 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh (GUpdates throughout, adds quotes)

By Tom Wilson

LONDON, June 11 (Reuters) - World shares rallied on Tuesday to hold near one-month highs, with German carmakers outperforming and Wall Street looking to extend gains after the United States stepped back from imposing tariffs on Mexico.

With Frankfurt re-opening after a one-day holiday, German investors returned to shares after a U.S.-Mexico deal on Friday apparently averted tariffs threatened by President Donald Trump.

Investors are also heartened by expectations the U.S. Federal Reserve will soon start cutting rates, with markets pricing in a cut by July. Those hopes were re-ignited by Friday's disappointing jobs report, and could be boosted further if retail and inflation data this week also disappoint.

"We are in a situation where bad news is good news," said Silvia Dall'Angelo, senior economist at Hermes Investment Management, noting the recent dovish signal from Fed Chair Jerome Powell and recent lacklustre U.S. data.

"Equity markets are relying on loose monetary policy, but they are also taking Trump at face value so I expect more volatility ahead," Dall'Angelo said.

Frankfurt's DAX index .GDAXI rose 1.2%. BMW BMWG.DE , Daimler DAIGn.DE and VW VOWG_p.DE - considered sensitive to trade tariffs - all gained 1.8% to 2%, mirroring a 1.9% gain for the auto sector .SXAP .

The pan-European STOXX 600 .STOXX climbed 0.8%, on course for a sixth day of gains in the last seven. MSCI's index of global equities rose 0.3% for a seventh day of gains .MIWD00000PUS

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The Mexico news and interest rate bets fuelled a strong close on Wall Street on Monday, with the Dow Jones enjoying its longest winning streak in 13 months. It was preparing to build on those gains, according to equity futures, which were up 0.4% YMc1 . S&P500 and Nasdaq futures rose 0.5% to 0.7% ESc1 NQc1 .

With fears easing that the United States would launch a trade war with Mexico, investors appeared to shrug off Trump's threat to impose more tariffs on China if no progress was made in talks with President Xi Jingping. They are expected to meet at a Group of 20 summit on June 28-29.

"It looks like we will have to wait to see at the end of the month, to see what the next move will be," said David Madden, an analyst at CMC Markets. "In that time, if nothing is said, stocks could press on higher."

There are hopes also of stimulus from China, where shares .SSEC climbed 2% after Beijing tweaked policy on major investment projects in to support its slowing economy. AND YIELDS

The dollar held steady above a two-and-a-half-month low against a basket of currencies Rising expectations for a Fed rate cut were tempered by a reluctance to close positions before the G20.

The dollar index .DXY was flat after advancing 0.2% on Monday. Ten-year U.S. Treasury yields rose to a one-week high US10YT=RR as investors who had dashed for bonds last week started buying shares again.

The rally in long-dated euro zone government bonds also stalled. Germany's 10-year bond yield, a benchmark for European debt DE10YT=RR , was near last week's record lows and longer-dated bond yields rose around four basis points.

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But investors are likely to stay positioned for more market turbulence through bond positions.

"You have to be long globally on fixed income," said Said Haidar, chief investment officer at Haidar Capital. "That move is not done yet. The global data just keeps on going down."

In commodities, oil prices rose, bolstered by firmer financial markets and expectations that producer group OPEC and its allies will keep withholding supply. Brent crude futures LCOc1 were at $62.67 at 0741 GMT, up 0.4%.

For Reuters Live Markets blog on European and UK stock markets, please click on: LIVE/

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