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GLOBAL MARKETS-Stocks wilt as Fed shift sparks stampede into bonds

Published 21/03/2019, 09:03 pm
© Reuters.  GLOBAL MARKETS-Stocks wilt as Fed shift sparks stampede into bonds
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* European shares wilt 0.2 percent as Fed nerves bite

* Bond bulls push Bund yields back toward zero

* China blue-chips, Australian shares erase losses

* Sterling subdued after sharp fall on Brexit concerns

* Asian stock markets: https://tmsnrt.rs/2zpUAr4

By Marc Jones

LONDON, March 21 (Reuters) - European shares wilted and there was a stampede into bonds on Thursday, after the U.S. Federal Reserve's abandonment of all plans to raise rates this year left traders wondering what might be lurking in the shadows.

World markets' reaction to a super-dovish Fed was not unlike the response to the European Central Bank's equally easy stance earlier this month – the benefits of a reduced interest rate horizon came laced with doubts.

Banks suffered their usual worries about low borrowing rates .SX7P to drag the pan-European STOXX 600 .STOXX down 0.2 percent, though London's FTSE .FTSE edged up as its miners were lifted by higher copper and metals prices. .EU .FTNMX1770

The real action was in the bond markets.

With investors rushing to price in the prospect of U.S. rate cuts later this year, benchmark Treasury yields dived to their lowest since early 2018 and those on German Bunds - Europe's benchmark - to the lowest since October 2016. GVD/EUR

Ten-year Bund were offering buyers virtually nothing again at just 0.048 percent interest DE10YT=RR . Alongside widespread 'curve' flattening - where shorter and longer-term borrowing costs converge - there were alarm bells ringing

Rabobank strategist Philip Marey said the worry is that, having cut rates to the bone and already tried full-scale money printing, many central banks are now low on traditionally ammunition to fight recessions.

"The Fed has the most leeway because it has raised rates nine times so it could cuts rates nine times," Marey said. "But it will be much more difficult for other central banks which haven't even started to hike yet."

The Fed's swerve had sent the dollar sliding as far as 110.47 yen JPY= , with its 0.6 percent loss overnight the biggest drop since the flash crash of early January.

The euro flew to a seven-week peak before things started to reverse in Europe. It was last trading at $1.1410 EUR= , a world away from its recent low of $1.1177 while Brexit woes kept the pound down at $1.3175.

That all left the dollar at 96.100 .DXY against a basket of currencies, having lost 0.5 percent overnight. It was also poised precariously on its 200-day moving average, and a sustained break would be taken as technically 'bearish'.

"The downward pressure on U.S. yields continues to support our outlook for a weaker U.S. dollar this year," said MUFG analysts in a note.

TRADE DEAL

MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan .MIAPJ0000PUS was up 0.5 percent.

Chinese blue-chips .CSI300 , which spent the morning swinging between small losses and gains, were up 0.4 percent in afternoon trade, while Seoul's Kospi .KS11 also added 0.4 percent as regulators announced plans to cut the stock transaction tax this year. shares .AXJO ended flat after see-sawing throughout the day. A drop in the jobless rate tempered market expectations of a rate cut. in Japan were closed for a public holiday.

Gains in the broad Asian index followed a wobbly session on Wall Street, after a move toward risk taking sparked by the Fed's dovish shift was overtaken by growth and trade concerns. .N

U.S. President Donald Trump on Wednesday warned that Washington may leave tariffs on Chinese goods for a "substantial period" to ensure Beijing's compliance with any trade deal. trade talks are set to resume next week. growth worries extended to commodity markets, where oil prices, which had jumped Wednesday on supply concerns, retreated.

U.S. crude CLc1 fell 0.1 percent to $60.17 a barrel after touching four-month highs on Wednesday. But Brent crude LCOc1 regained some ground, adding 0.15 percent to $68.60.

Weakness in oil prices is seen to be limited by efforts led by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) to curb supply. Widely watched U.S. data also showed supplies were tightening. and copper gained though on the weaker dollar, with spot gold XAU= adding about 0.5 percent to $1,318.94 per ounce. GOL/ Copper CMCU3 rose 0.9 percent to $6,517 a tonne, having touched a near three-week high earlier in the session. MET/L

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