NVDA Q3 Earnings Alert: Why our AI stock picker is still holding Nvidia stockRead More

GLOBAL MARKETS-Stocks, dollar rally on U.S.-China trade deal hopes

Published 08/11/2019, 08:29 am
Updated 08/11/2019, 08:36 am
© Reuters.  GLOBAL MARKETS-Stocks, dollar rally on U.S.-China trade deal hopes
EUR/USD
-
USD/JPY
-
USD/CHF
-
XAU/USD
-
US500
-
DJI
-
DE40
-
JPM
-
DX
-
GC
-
HG
-
LCO
-
CL
-
IXIC
-
US10YT=X
-
STOXX
-
MIWD00000PUS
-
DXY
-
SXAP
-
SXPP
-

(Adds close of U.S. markets)

* China says trade deal would see tariffs removed in phases

* Wall Street sets intraday record highs

* European stocks at a more than 4-year high

* Safe-haven bonds, gold sag as market optimism returns

* Dollar gains against safe-haven Japanese yen, Swiss franc

By Herbert Lash

NEW YORK, Nov 7 (Reuters) - Oil prices rose and stocks rallied worldwide on Thursday after China said it had agreed with the United States to cancel tariffs in phases, a key consideration in reaching a deal to end a trade war that has crimped economic growth and roiled markets.

But U.S. stocks pared some gains after Reuters reported rolling back existing tariffs as part of a trade deal faces fierce opposition at the White House and from outside advisers, multiple sources familiar with the talks said. Dow and S&P 500 closed at record highs, while the Nasdaq missed a record close by less than two-tenths of a point.

A gauge of global equity performance surged to a 21-month peak, with a pan-European index at its highest since July 2015 after regional shares rose for a fifth straight session.

The dollar gained after comments from a Chinese commerce ministry spokesman about the terms of a potential trade deal prompted investors to dump perceived safe havens such as the Japanese yen, the Swiss franc, bonds and gold. timetable was indicated, but a "phase one" deal is widely expected to include a U.S. pledge to scrap tariffs scheduled for Dec. 15 on about $156 billion worth of Chinese imports, including cellphones, laptop computers and toys.

However, the idea of a tariff rollback was not part of the original October "handshake" deal between Chinese Vice Premier Liu He and U.S. President Donald Trump, sources told Reuters.

The initial news from China was positive, said David Kelly, chief global strategist at JPMorgan (NYSE:JPM) Funds in New York. But with operating earnings lower in a slowing economy, "the fundamental justification for this market increase is pretty weak."

Investors have few options outside of equities, with the return in money markets and long-term government debt below the rate of inflation, Kelly said. The economy is generating plenty of wealth but it is all going to the stock market, he said.

"The real driver (of the rally) is that investors in the United State and around the world have got little alternatives available to them because of the actions of the central banks," Kelly said, "so they're funneling money into stocks."

MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe .MIWD00000PUS gained 0.28%, while the pan-European STOXX 600 index .STOXX closed up 0.37%. Trade-sensitive German shares .GDAXI rose 0.83% to close at their highest since February 2018.

Asia had been quiet overnight, with the China news arriving just before European markets opened. Automakers .SXAP and miners .SXPP were among Europe's top gainers.

The prospect of a recession diminishes if some tariffs are removed, said Peter Cardillo, chief market economist at Spartan Capital Securities in New York. "So that's positive for stocks."

On Wall Street, the Dow Jones Industrial Average .DJI rose 182.24 points, or 0.66%, to 27,674.8. The S&P 500 .SPX gained 8.4 points, or 0.27%, to 3,085.18 and the Nasdaq Composite .IXIC added 23.89 points, or 0.28%, to 8,434.52.

The global benchmark for crude climbed above $62 a barrel. Brent crude LCOc1 settle up 55 cents at $62.29 and West Texas Intermediate CLc1 added 80 cents to settle at $57.15 a barrel.

The dollar rose to near three-month highs versus the yen on the trade news, paring losses earlier in the session, while Australia's China-sensitive dollar hit a near four-month high.

The dollar index .DXY rose 0.18%, with the euro EUR= down 0.15% to $1.1048. The yen weakened JPY= 0.25% versus the greenback at 109.27 per dollar, while the dollar gained against the Swiss currency CHF= , trading up 0.22% at 0.9948 franc.

U.S. Treasury yields rose to eight-week highs.

The benchmark 10-year U.S Treasury note US10YT=RR fell 31/32 in price to push its yield up to 1.919%.

U.S. gold futures GCcv1 settled down 1.8% at $1,466.40 an ounce.

Copper got its customary lift from the China optimism as the country is the biggest buyer of the metal.

"Global markets in general are looking toward where trade goes," said Justin Lederer, an interest rates strategist at Cantor Fitzgerald in New York. "The market is being dictated by headlines and it's risk on, risk off."

https://tmsnrt.rs/2zpUAr4 Asia-Pacific valuations

https://tmsnrt.rs/2Dr2BQA World stocks surge $10 in 2019

https://tmsnrt.rs/2JRIM5J German yields

https://tmsnrt.rs/36JT6GA

^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^>

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.