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GLOBAL MARKETS-Stocks rise, yields slip as investors await stimulus

Published 07/08/2020, 05:23 am
Updated 07/08/2020, 05:24 am
© Reuters.
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* Equity markets edge higher with eyes on Washington

* Bond yields edge lower on stimulus concerns

* Oil trades little changed; gold at new highs

* Pound at five-month high after BoE keeps rates steady

* Graphic: 2020 asset performance http://tmsnrt.rs/2yaDPgn

* Graphic: World FX rates in 2020 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

By Herbert Lash

NEW YORK, Aug 6 (Reuters) - Global equity markets edged higher and bond yields eased off earlier lows on Thursday as investors awaited word on a new U.S. aid package to counter the economic fallout from the coronavirus crisis.

Safe-haven gold extended its record-breaking run, driven by expectations of more stimulus, while the dollar gained after data showed fewer Americans sought jobless benefits last week. Gold has been rising on concerns stimulus will fuel inflation and erode the value of the dollar.

Initial claims for state unemployment benefits fell 249,000 to a seasonally adjusted 1.186 million for the week ended Aug. 1, the U.S. Labor Department said, the lowest reading since mid-March. data for June showing payrolls jumped by 4.314 million jobs instead of adding 2.369 million as previously estimated cheered investors who see a stronger economy than those that fear a resurgence in COVID-19 cases may indicate.

Still, a proper economic recovery is far away, said Jeffrey Christian, managing partner of CPM Group.

"There are mixed signals that the economy is recovering and some of the signs of recovery are relatively superficial as they show aggregate figures and not how medium and small enterprises continue to suffer," Christian said.

More than 1 million initial claims a week is not desirable if you think the economy is recovering, said Yousef Abbasi, global market strategist at StoneX Group Inc in New York. The report, he said, supports the need for stimulus.

"It puts us right where the Fed wants to be, right where you'd want to be, if you're thinking Washington needs to get stimulus done," Abbasi said. "You don't want them to be too encouraged by better data to slow their approach."

Republicans and Democrats remained far apart about what to include in another wave of relief after nearly two weeks of talks on next steps to address a crisis that has killed more than 157,000 Americans and thrown tens of millions out of work. relief bill should be more targeted than the first to preserve ammunition if another shutdown should require further aid, former Reserve Bank of India Governor Raghuram Rajan told the Reuters Global Markets Forum on Wednesday.

The major U.S. stock indices traded little changed, but bourses in Europe fell as a three-day rally ran out of steam.

The pan-European STOXX 600 .STOXX fell 0.73% and London's FTSE 100 .FTSE closed down 1.27%, pulled lower after Glencore GLEN.L scrapped its dividend. Europe's mining index .SXPP fell 2.3%.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average .DJI rose 0.6%, the S&P 500 .SPX gained 0.58% and the Nasdaq Composite .IXIC added 0.97%.

MSCI's benchmark for global equity markets .MIWD00000PUS rose 0.19% to 565.17.

Treasury yields fell, with the 10-year note US10YT=RR sliding to 0.504% at one point, its lowest ever after a big down spike on March 9. The benchmark note last yielded 0.5395%.

The euro EUR= climbed to its highest against the dollar since May 2018 before giving up its gains. The euro EUR= was up 0.08% to $1.1871.

The weak dollar/strong euro trend will continue into next year, a Reuters poll showed, on expectations the U.S. economic recovery is flagging, especially compared with Europe. dollar index =USD rose 0.026%, while the Japanese yen JPY= was flat versus the greenback at 105.57 per dollar.

The British pound GBP=D3 rose to a five-month high against the dollar after the Bank of England left interest rates at 0.1% and warned about possible risks from taking rates below zero.

Spot gold XAU= hit an all-time high of $2,069.21 an ounce and was up $19.2631, or 0.94%, to $2,058.66 an ounce. U.S. gold futures GCv1 settled 1% higher at $2,069.40.

Oil prices hovered near five-month highs as support from a weak dollar =USD and falling U.S. crude inventories countered bearish sentiment on fuel demand.

Brent crude futures LCOc1 settled down 8 cents at $45.09 a barrel. U.S. crude futures CLc1 fell 24 cents to settle at $41.95 a barrel.

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