Get 40% Off
🎁 Free Gift Friday: Copy Legendary Investors' Portfolios in One ClickCopy for Free

GLOBAL MARKETS-Revived Brexit hopes lift stocks and sterling

Published 14/12/2020, 08:26 pm
© Reuters.

* S&P 500 futures also up 0.5% as U.S. rolls out vaccine

* Sterling gains more the 1% as Brexit talks extended

* Eyes on U.S. Congress, Fed for stimulus guidance

* Graphic: 2020 asset performance http://tmsnrt.rs/2yaDPgn

* Graphic: World FX rates in 2020 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

By Marc Jones

LONDON/SYDNEY, Dec 14 (Reuters) - Stocks began the week with robust gains as investors gauged the chance of added U.S. fiscal and monetary stimulus, while the British pound rose as a last-gasp extension to Brexit talks dodged a difficult divorce.

Europe opened with stocks .STOXX up 0.75% and the euro up on the dollar .EU after London and Brussels agreed on Sunday to "go the extra mile" to try to reach a trade agreement.

"We are going to give every chance to this agreement ... which is still possible," the European Union's Brexit negotiator, Michel Barnier, told journalists before updating envoys from the 27 EU countries on Monday.

"Two conditions aren't met yet. Free and fair competition ... and an agreement which guarantees reciprocal access to markets and waters. And it's on these points that we haven't found the right balance with the British. So we keep working."

Progress on coronavirus vaccines also cheered risk sentiment, with the first doses shipping across the United States as part of an effort to inoculate more than 100 million people by the end of March. vaccine has and will likely continue to provide a tailwind to the market that is allowing investors to look beyond record case levels, hospitalisations, and deaths," analysts at JPMorgan (NYSE:JPM) said in a note.

3rd party Ad. Not an offer or recommendation by Investing.com. See disclosure here or remove ads .

E-Mini futures for the S&P 500 ESc1 responded by rising 0.5%, while March Treasury bond futures TYc1 slipped 4 ticks. EUROSTOXX 50 futures STXEc1 added 0.5% and FTSE futures FFIc1 0.1%.

MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan .MIAPJ0000PUS edged up 0.1%, after a string of record highs last week.

Japan's Nikkei .N225 rose 0.3% as a survey showed the mood among Japanese businesses had improved in the December quarter. was the day's big mover, gaining on both the euro and the dollar as what last week had appeared to be evaporating prospects of a Brexit agreement, came back to life. the dollar, the pound rose 1.5% to $1.3382 GBP=D3 from Friday's close of $1.3222. The euro slipped 0.9% versus the UK currency to 90.73 pence EURGBP=D3 , off a three-month top of 92.29.

"Even in the face of amped up rhetoric, we continue to think a deal is the most plausible outcome," said AXA Group chief economist Gilles Moec.

At this stage, he said, failure would probably stem from either Brussels or London pushing the envelope a bit too far, too late to get an agreement done in time.

"From this point of view, the fact that no new deadline has been tagged on the latest round of talks is positive in our view."

That could see the euro climb to 96.00 pence, analysts at Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) said in a note; a deal could send the pound rallying to 87.00 per euro.

FED AHEAD

The single currency has already been gaining against the U.S. dollar, which many analysts believe has entered a cyclical downtrend as the prospect of a vaccine-driven global economic recovery lessens the need for safe havens.

3rd party Ad. Not an offer or recommendation by Investing.com. See disclosure here or remove ads .

The euro was up 0.3% on Monday at $1.2150 EUR= and within striking distance of its recent 31-month top of $1.2177. The dollar index stood at 90.622 =USD , near its recent trough of 90.471.

An added hurdle for the dollar will be the Federal Reserve's policy meeting on Dec. 15-16. The market is assuming the central bank will merely refine its forward guidance on policy rather than buying more bonds or "twisting" its portfolio to add more longer-dated debt.

The Bank of England on Thursday and the Bank of Japan on Friday will close out the central banks meetings for 2020 this week. Before that, Wednesday sees the global flash PMIs and Tuesday sees China's monthly data dump.

"The risk is then if the Fed does unveil a surprise twist at this meeting, then Treasuries could rally and the USD could fall," said Tapas Strickland, a director of economics at NAB.

An extra wrinkle is the chance of a U.S. deal on fiscal stimulus after a top Democrat hinted a compromise was possible to get an agreement past Republican objections. reported a $908 billion relief plan will be split in two to win approval and could be introduced as early as Monday. talk of stimulus helped put a floor under gold, leaving it lower at $1,836 an ounce XAU= . Gold has gained more than 21% this year.

Oil prices rose on Monday; it has now rallied for six weeks straight as investors priced in a global recovery next year. O/R

3rd party Ad. Not an offer or recommendation by Investing.com. See disclosure here or remove ads .

U.S. crude CLc1 rose 33 cents to $46.90 a barrel. Brent crude LCOc1 futures rose 39 cents to $50.36. Iron ore, which has surged 21% since the start of December, dropped over 2% though. SZZFc1

Analysts at Deutsche Bank (DE:DBKGn) said it was likely to be caused by a call from one of China's leading mills group for authorities to investigate ore's rally after allegations of illegal activities.

<^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^ Asia stock markets

https://tmsnrt.rs/2zpUAr4 Asia-Pacific valuations

https://tmsnrt.rs/2Dr2BQA Rebound of major world markets

https://tmsnrt.rs/370lXbY

^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^>

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.