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GLOBAL MARKETS-Asian shares on fragile footing amid elevated valuations, oil skids

Published 07/09/2020, 01:45 pm
Updated 07/09/2020, 01:48 pm
© Reuters.
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(Adds Chinese trade data in paragraph 8; updates levels throughout)

* Asian stock markets : https://tmsnrt.rs/2zpUAr4

* Japan's Nikkei falls, Chinese shares in red

* MSCI ex-Japan barely changed after two straight days of losses

* Currency market action muted

* Oil falls more than $1 after Saudi price cuts

By Swati Pandey

SYDNEY, Sept 7 (Reuters) - Asian shares were on the defensive on Monday as investors grappled with sky-high valuations against the backdrop of a global economy in the grip of a deep coronavirus-induced recession while oil prices dropped sharply.

Chinese stocks started lower while shares of Hong Kong-listed Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp 0981.HK (SMIC) plunged to the lowest since June 16 on fears the firm could be added to a U.S. trade blacklist. blue-chip index .CSI300 slipped 0.3%.

Japan's Nikkei .N225 fell 0.2% with SoftBank 9984.T coming under heavy selling following media reports it has spent at least $4 billion buying call options on listed U.S. technology stocks. shares .AXJO , which had opened in the red, reversed losses to be up 0.1, while South Korea .KS11 added 0.7%.

That left MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan .MIAPJ0000PUS up a tad after two straight days of losses toppled it from a 2-1/2-year peak last week.

World shares .MIWD00000PUS hit a record high last week as central bank stimulus drove asset valuations to heady levels. The rally has since cooled as tech stocks sold off while worries over patchy economic recovery dogged investors.

Also weighing on the outlook, data showed China imports fell 2.1% in August from a year earlier, confounding expectations for a 0.1% increase, in a sign of sluggish domestic demand. Exports jumped by a larger-than-expected 9.5%. futures for the S&P 500 ESc1 slipped 0.1% and Nasdaq futures NQc1 slid 0.7%. U.S. markets will be closed on Monday for the Labour Day holiday.

Nasdaq futures were dragged lower by the exclusion of Tesla TSLA.O from a group of companies that were being added to the S&P 500. at Jefferies expect the equities market correction to extend further.

"Our risk indices have begun to turn from their euphoria highs," Jefferies said.

"It is not unthinkable that global equities are set to churn in a range for a while as some of the orphan sectors/countries are refranchised while the richly valued sectors pause or unwind," it added.

"On the balance of probabilities, last week's correction has further room to go."

Jefferies said it was switching its weighting on MSCI All World index to "tactically bearish" in the short term.

It noted that a gauge of volatility .VIX has nudged higher in the past three months alongside a steepening in the U.S. 10-year to 5-year Treasury yield curve as well as the 30-year to 5-year curve.

"We wonder how much moves in both would upset the equity market," Jefferries said.

Later this week, investors will look for data on U.S. inflation with both producer and consumer prices expected to remain mostly steady.

"With slack in the labour market and broader economy to remain for years, it's hard to see where sustainably higher inflation will come from," Brown Brothers Harriman said in a note.

"That said, the bottom line is that U.S. rates will stay lower for longer. Full stop."

In commodities, oil prices dropped more than $1 a barrel, hitting their lowest since July, after Saudi Arabia made the deepest monthly price cuts for supply to Asia in five months. O/R

Fading optimism about demand recovery amid the coronavirus pandemic also hung heavy. U.S. crude CLc1 fell 1% to $39.36 a barrel. Brent crude LCOc1 skidded 0.8% to $42.30.

Policy meetings at the Bank of Canada on Wednesday and the European Central Bank the following day were also on investors' radar, with both expected to keep policy steady.

Action in the forex market was muted.

In currencies, the dollar was flat against the yen at 106.28 JPY= ahead of a heavy week of macroeconomic data with figures on household spending, current account and gross domestic product due on Tuesday.

The euro held at $1.1838 while the British pound GBP= was 0.3% weaker at $1.3241 ahead of a new round of Brexit talks with the European Union on Monday.

<^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^ Asia stock markets

https://tmsnrt.rs/2zpUAr4 Asia-Pacific valuations

https://tmsnrt.rs/2Dr2BQA

^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^> (Editing by Shri Navaratnam and Jacqueline Wong)

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