NVDA gained a massive 197% since our AI first added it in November - is it time to sell? 🤔Read more

REFILE-GLOBAL-MARKETS-U.S. earnings hopes and trade war lull keep world shares near 3-week high

Published 10/07/2018, 09:59 pm
REFILE-GLOBAL-MARKETS-U.S. earnings hopes and trade war lull keep world shares near 3-week high
EUR/USD
-
USD/TRY
-
US500
-
DJI
-
JP225
-
HK50
-
JPM
-
WFC
-
DX
-
LCO
-
ESU24
-
1YMU24
-
NQU24
-
KS11
-
STOXX
-
MIWD00000PUS
-
DXY
-

(removes typo in headline, changes wording in para 13 to sterling "sank as low as $1.3225 " instead of "sank as much as $1.3225")

* MSCI world shares supported by optimism about U.S. earnings

* Asian, European shares rise modestly amid trade war lull

* Politics pressure British pound, Turkish lira

* Oil prices inch back towards $80 a barrel on supply constraints

By Sujata Rao

LONDON, July 10 (Reuters) - World shares hovered near three-week highs on Tuesday, supported by optimism about U.S. company earnings and hopes that global economic growth can withstand trade tensions, although political bickering kept British markets on the backfoot.

Wall Street was set for a firmer opening after enjoying its best session in a month on Monday, its gains filtering across Asia, where bourses from Hong Kong to Tokyo ended the day firmer .HSI .KS11 .N225 .

European shares also rose, with a pan-European equity index up 0.5 percent .STOXX after touching a two-week high on Monday, while MSCI's all-country index rose to a three-week high before easing to trade flat on the day .MIWD00000PUS .

Markets clearly remain on edge over the possible escalation in trade wars after China and the United States slapped tit-for-tat tariffs on $34 billion worth of each other's goods.

While that raises fears of a global growth slowdown, no fresh salvos have since been fired. Markets also took heart from Friday's U.S. jobs data that suggested the Federal Reserve might not tighten policy as aggressively as feared. And German export figures and Chinese factory gate prices this week have offered some reassurance on economic momentum.

Above all, investors are pinning hopes on U.S. second-quarter corporate results, which start in earnest this week and are expected to showcase earnings growth of over 20 percent across all sectors, thanks to recent tax cuts, high oil prices and robust economic growth.

https://tmsnrt.rs/2MrffP3

"Markets are anticipating a strong U.S. earnings season, led by energy, healthcare and tech," said Peter Garnry, head of equity strategy at Saxo Bank in Copenhagen.

Futures for the S&P 500, Dow Jones and Nasdaq ESc1 1YMc1 NQc1 were as much as 0.3 percent higher. They look set to extend Monday's jump which was driven by bank shares before heavyweight lenders JPMorgan (NYSE:JPM), Wells Fargo (NYSE:WFC) and Citi report earnings on July 13.

With banks estimated to have enjoyed a $5 billion first-quarter tax-cut windfall, S&P's banks index .SPXBK posted its sharpest rise since March 26 on Monday.

However, the earnings season comes amid rising trade tension meaning analysts will scrutinise profit outlook statements to see whether to adjust earnings expectations for the rest of 2018.

"I doubt the upcoming earning season will carry world markets to new highs. The numbers will be strong but equity markets are dominated by the outlook and we know the outlook is clouded by the trade issue," Garnry added.

Such fears showed up in the latest reading of Germany's ZEW monthly survey, which showed investor sentiment at six-year lows despite recent upbeat economic data REBOUNDS, STERLING POUNDED

In Britain, sterling is pressured by fears that cabinet resignations could lead to rebellion in the ruling party's ranks, toppling Prime Minister Theresa May or triggering fresh elections. While this looks unlikely, the uncertainty saw sterling sink as low as $1.3225 before recovering slightly GBP=D3 anticipate elevated headline risks for sterling over the coming weeks," analysts at the Commonwealth Bank of Australia told clients, though they noted that sterling's cheap "real" valuation -- against trade partners' currencies and adjusted for inflation -- could cushion it against further sharp falls.

A Bank of England rate hike may also support the pound, with markets assigning a roughly 60 percent chance of a 25 basis-point rate hike in August BOEWATCH .

The ZEW data undermined the euro, pushing it half a percent lower EUR=EBS , while a dollar index rose off 3-1/2 week lows .DXY , to firm 0.4 percent.

Politics also dominated Turkey, where President Tayyip Erdogan's new cabinet lacked market-friendly names and included instead his son-in-law as finance minister. L8N1U60DK

Turkish five-year credit default swaps (CDS), used to insure against default or restructuring, rose more than 20 bps, while the lira gave up initial gains that had seen it reverse some of Monday's 3 percent fall. TRY=

Meanwhile, Brent crude - up almost 20 percent this year - rose another $1 per barrel to over $79 as a Norwegian oil workers' strike added to the picture of supply shortages following output disruptions in Canada and Libya. LCOc1 O/R

Money managers have raised bullish bets on crude in the week to July 3, data showed on Monday. S&P500 earnings Q2

https://reut.rs/2IWAdDf Tech and banks win from US corporate tax cuts

https://reut.rs/2JaOigB Ups and downs of world stocks in 2018

https://reut.rs/2L2jwrT Turkey's financial market strains

https://reut.rs/2Ja8bVc

^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^>

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.