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By Greg PeelJanuary Joy Yes hello, happy New Year, hope you all had a nice holiday break. Clearly not everyone’s been on the beach the whole time – the S&P/ASX 200 is up 5% since...
The soft landing crew is increasingly taking over. No, the bond market’s base case is not a recession - it’s immaculate disinflation. Getting this call right is crucial...
Global marketsIt was a relatively subdued week in global markets, with the main focus remaining on how quickly the US economy is slowing – and whether the Fed will relent and become less hawkish...
By Rudi Filapek-VandyckWelcome to the Year of the Water Rabbit, or of the Cat if you happen to be Vietnamese. A few things to remind ourselves of in case one lives by Chinese tales and...
DXY continued its one-way swoon Friday night as EUR launches: AUD popped:Oil and gold firmed:Base metals climbed:And miners (NYSE:RIO):Plus EM stocks (NYSE:EEM):And junk (NYSE:HYG):US yields...
By Rudi Filapek-VandyckThe mantra used to be it's our dollar, but it's your problem. Since last year the world of finance is witnessing a new variant on the theme: it's your recession, not our...
By Rudi Filapek-VandyckEarly January market optimism quickly turned into the realisation the US economy is still facing an economic recession this year. All equity indices in the US have turned tail...
DXY was a wild thing last night as bad data spoiled the party: AUD printed a large and bearish shooting star:So did oil:And copper:Miners (NYSE:RIO) were OK:EM stocks (NYSE:EEM) flamed out:As...
In what is yet another disappointing set of US activity data, retail sales fell 1.1% month-on-month in December, worse than the -0.9% figure the market was expecting. Meanwhile, November's...
Have a look at the last US inflation report; Answer the big question: Powell pivoted in 2019, is he going for it again in 2023? Analyze what’s priced in for bonds and equity markets: a...
Uncertainty over the Federal Reserve’s rate plans and a slowing economy will continue to impact investor sentiment in 2023 I remain bullish on companies with strong fundamentals, reasonable...
By Rudi Filapek-VandyckThe Dow Jones Industrial Average posted its largest fall in three weeks overnight. But before anyone starts panicking, the S&P500's loss hardly registers and the Nasdaq...
Though a rising interest rate environment adversely affects fixed-rate bond investments, the defining attributes of floating rate debt, incoming generation and low price sensitivity, have proven...
Risk markets started the trading week in mixed fashion with Japanese stocks under the pump at the domestic bond market nearly implodes while Wall Street had a holiday overnight leaving most of the...
DXY has reached levels I’d expect to see support. From here down 100 is former resistance which should prove supportive: AUD held its gains:The market short continues to grind away:Gold...