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Avi Gilburt
The Fed Is Trying to Pull a Fast One By Avi Gilburt - Feb 24, 2023

The Fed has recently released the hypothetical scenarios for its 2023 supervisory stress test. This test is conducted annually to show how the banks are likely to perform in a recessionary...

Chris Becker
24.02.23 Macro Morning By Chris Becker - Feb 24, 2023

Wall Street bounced back overnight on the initial jobless claims numbers but it wasn’t enough to stave off USD buying as the risk complex remains on edge. The USD held on to its recent gains...

David Llewellyn-Smith
Australian dollar savaged by Fed hawks By David Llewellyn-Smith - Feb 23, 2023 1

DXY to the moon, ending global reflation:   AUD trapdoor opens:Oil is forming a bearish descending triangle. A break here would be an unambiguous global recession signal:Dirt reversed:Big miners...

Chris Becker
23.02.23 Macro Morning By Chris Becker - Feb 23, 2023

Wall Street stumbled again overnight following the big selloff in the previous session with European shares also heading lower with falls across the risk complex in reaction to the hawkish mood in the...

James Picerno
Estimate for U.S. Q1 GDP Skews Slightly Negative By James Picerno - Feb 22, 2023

The economic rebound in the second half of 2022 looks challenged in early estimates for first quarter GDP, based on the median for a set of nowcasts compiled by CapitalSpectator.com.US output is on...

Chris Becker
22.02.23 Macro Morning By Chris Becker - Feb 22, 2023

Wall Street reopened but should’ve stayed in bed with “too hot” PMI figures across Europe and the US putting paid to the rumours that the Fed is still going aggressive on rate rises...

Lance Roberts
'No Landing' Scenario at Odds With Fed’s Goals By Lance Roberts - Feb 22, 2023

Economically speaking, bullish bets are mounting on a “no landing” scenario, which suggests the economy will avoid a recession entirely. As noted by Yahoo Finance last Friday: “The...

Greg Peel
The Overnight Report: Eye On Dividends By Greg Peel - Feb 21, 2023

By Greg PeelEarnings in Focus Wall Street was flattish on Friday night heading into the long weekend, leaving the local market to focus more specifically on the day’s earnings results yesterday....

Chris Becker
21.02.23 Macro Morning By Chris Becker - Feb 21, 2023

With Wall Street closed for the long weekend holiday other markets had to provide a lead, but European shares were mixed amid the Biden visit to Ukraine and in absence of other economic reports. This...

David Llewellyn-Smith
Australian dollar enters the pain trade By David Llewellyn-Smith - Feb 20, 2023

DXY tried and failed to break out. The pain trade is definitely higher now:   AUD is grinding through its H&S neckline:Oil whacked, gold held on:Metals, miners, EM soft:Junk (NYSE:HYG)...

Lance Roberts
Recession Signals Mount as Consumers Struggle to Pay Bills By Lance Roberts - Feb 18, 2023

We recently discussed the recession signals from the NFIB (National Federation Of Independent Business) and the inverted yield curve. “As in 2019, we see many of the same recession signals from...

Chris Becker
17.02.23 Macro Morning By Chris Becker - Feb 17, 2023

Another economic print upset the apple cart overnight with stronger than expected producer price inflation and further aggressive talk around interest rates from Fed officials sent Wall Street lower...

Antoine Bouvet
Rates Spark: Crucial Levels Ahead By Antoine Bouvet - Feb 17, 2023

Data steepens the curves from the back endRates were pressured higher on the back of the much-better-than-expected retail sales data. A potential weather-related bounce in the data for January had...

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