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David Llewellyn-Smith
Australian dollar dumps as Volcker returns to the building By David Llewellyn-Smith - Feb 09, 2023

Market mayhem continues. DXY was firm and EUR weak:   AUD looks ripe for more falls:Oil and gold fought the Fed:Metals were more circumspect:Repeat after me: the Chinese reopening is iron ore...

Michael Lebowitz
The Billion-Dollar Question: Soft Landing or Recession? By Michael Lebowitz - Feb 09, 2023

The stock market is betting on a Goldilocks scenario. Jerome Powell doesn’t foresee a recession, instead, he forecasts a soft landing. Apollo is bettering the soft landing scenario with an...

Greg Peel
The Overnight Report: Just Buy It Anyway By Greg Peel - Feb 08, 2023

By Greg PeelBut Wait, There’s More “The Board expects that further increases in interest rates will be needed over the months ahead to ensure that inflation returns to target and that this...

Lance Roberts
Bull Now, Bear Later? By Lance Roberts - Feb 08, 2023

Last week, we discussed why the more bullish technical formations were at odds with the many recession forecasts. Not surprisingly, that article generated substantial pushback from readers, pointing...

Alfonso Peccatiello
Can You Smell the FOMO? By Alfonso Peccatiello - Feb 07, 2023

Last week, FOMO (Fear Of Missing Out) became the prevailing market narrative.As data seemed to further validate the soft landing narrative and central bankers became ‘’data...

Chris Becker
07.02.23 Macro Morning By Chris Becker - Feb 07, 2023 1

Last night saw European stocks play catchup to Wall Street’s inversion on Friday night due to the stonking US jobs report that cause a massive lift for USD, with US stocks again underperforming...

David Llewellyn-Smith
Australian dollar vapourised as US jobs go nuts By David Llewellyn-Smith - Feb 06, 2023

It was a huge DXY and EUR reversal Friday night:   AUD was vapourised:Markets are still short:All commodities puked:Miners (ASX:RIO) did a bit better:EM stocks (NYSE:EEM) fell:Junk (NYSE:HYG)...

Lance Roberts
NFIB Survey Suggests a Recession Is Coming By Lance Roberts - Feb 04, 2023

The most recent NFIB (National Federation Of Independent Business) survey is sending a strong signal of an economic recession. In 2019, the NFIB survey, combined with an inverted yield curve,...

David Llewellyn-Smith
Australian dollar crushed as deflation wins By David Llewellyn-Smith - Feb 03, 2023

At least for one night, markets have declared deflation the winner. DXY shot up as EUR sank on a dovish ECB:   AUD dislocated from all risk:As commodities sank:Miners (NYSE:RIO) were...

Antoine Bouvet
Rates Spark: The End Is Near By Antoine Bouvet - Feb 02, 2023

US market rates fell after the Federal Reserve decision but this looks more like a market positioning effect than anything specific from the meeting. Expect some retracement. Both the European Central...

Naeem Aslam
What You Need To Know About BOE and ECB By Naeem Aslam - Feb 02, 2023

BOEAs for today’s economic calendar, we have two important economic events unfolding. Firstly, it is the Bank of England’s meeting. The bank is expected to increase the interest rate by 50...

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