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Things to watch: AI stocks and strong US banks boost sentiment

Published 19/07/2023, 09:39 am
© Reuters.

Australian Stock Market Poised for Growth Following Strong US Bank Performances

Investing.com - Optimism is brewing in Australia's share market as it prepares to ride the wave of a positive trading session from Wall Street. A robust Q2 performance by leading American banks has encouraged investors, fuelling an upward trend across major indices and stirring enthusiasm within the tech sector, particularly those engaged with artificial intelligence (AI). However, shares in China did not echo this upbeat trend due to recent data revealing stagnation in their economic growth.

By Wednesday, 9:30am AEST, ASX 200 Futures were up by 39 points or 0.5%, hinting towards a promising start.

The momentum continues from a strong performance from US stocks on Tuesday, largely thanks to banking and AI-focused companies.

With an increase of 0.7%, S&P 500 joined the rising tide while Dow Jones Industrial Average recorded an impressive addition of about 367 points or approximately 1.1%. The NASDAQ Composite also advanced by scaling up by a solid 0.8%. Mirroring these trends was Canada's benchmark index which also rose by around 0.7%.

The Dow marked its seventh consecutive day of gains, reaching its highest point since April last year while Nasdaq has seen an incredible surge - now standing at 37% higher than it was back in early-2023.

Banking stocks experienced an uplift following encouraging earnings reports coming out from industry heavyweights, with Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) witnessing over a 6% rise after management reported increased client activity during this quarter sparking anticipation for renewed deal-making activities previously dampened due to high-interest rates.

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Among commodity markets, Brent Crude Oil going up by another steady increment adding another healthy gain of roughly about 1.6% and bringing us close to $79 per barrel whereas gold prices have also been inching upwards gaining around 1.2% nearing $1979 per ounce level.   However, Australian government bonds didn't fare so well — both two-year yield decreased down to about 3.94% while ten-year yield marginally fell off at around 3..97%. Meanwhile, U.S Treasury notes pushed higher — two year yields climbed upto almost 4.77% and ten year yields crawled upto nearly about 3..79%.

The Aussie dollar slipped x, while the US Dollar Index which tracks USD against other currencies remained fairly stable.

Economic Data and Trade Tensions Influence Asian Stock Markets

During Tuesday's trade, Chinese stocks took a hit as weak economic data dampened investor spirits. The second quarter's somewhat lackluster growth figures have prompted several economists to trim down China's GDP forecasts for 2023. A slump in retail sales has further stoked fears about the pace of recovery from the COVID-induced economic downturn.

Leading financial institutions such as Citigroup Inc (NYSE:C) are now questioning whether China will reach its anticipated target of roughly 5% growth by next year, with predictions being revised downward to exactly that figure from an earlier estimate of 5.5%. Tech firms and media shares were among those suffering the most significant losses; Iflytek Co Ltd (SZ:002230), a company specializing in AI technology saw its stock fall by over 4%.

However, it wasn't all bad news on the trading floor - auto-related and consumer stocks enjoyed a surge after plans designed to stimulate consumption were unveiled by the commerce ministry. Red Star Macalline Group Corp Ltd Class A (SS:601828), a furniture manufacturing firm experienced gains amounting to over three percent.

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The Shanghai Composite fell slightly by around 0.4% while both Shenzhen Composite Index and tech-focused ChiNext Price Index slipped marginally more at three-tenths each.

Hong Kong’s market also felt ripple effects from concerns surrounding China's economic prospects leading to reduced share prices there too. Reports suggesting that U.S.-China trade relations could worsen under President Biden added fuel to existing worries about potential restrictions on investments into China – causing further turmoil within investment circles.

Property developers bore much of this impact resulting in Hang Seng Mainland Properties Index losing well over five percent value. High-profile companies like Country Garden Holdings Company Ltd (HK:2007) and Longfor Properties Co Ltd (HK:0960) faced substantial setbacks seeing their shares drop drastically by 8% and 10%, respectively.

Japanese markets bucked this trend however with electronics manufacturers and banks making notable strides forward amidst easing apprehension surrounding a broader economic slowdown. Murata Manufacturing Inc (OTC:MRAAY) rose almost 3% whereas Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group Inc (TYO:8306) made similar advances, climbing 2.4%.

 

 

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