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LIVE MARKETS-Airplane! What if Otto could do the job?

Published 13/07/2018, 08:54 pm
© Reuters.  LIVE MARKETS-Airplane! What if Otto could do the job?

* European stocks rise higher

* U.S. banks due to report earnings later

* Wall Street futures edge higher

LONDON, July 13 (Reuters) - Welcome to the home for real-time coverage of European equity markets brought to you by Reuters stocks reporters and anchored today by Julien Ponthus. Reach him on Messenger to share your thoughts on market moves: julien.ponthus.thomsonreuters.com@reuters.net

AIRPLANE! WHAT IF OTTO COULD DO THE JOB? (1045 GMT)

Remember 'Airplane!', the 1980 parody movie staring Leslie Nielsen and Otto, the inflatable doll pilot?

Well artificial intelligence has made quite some progress since then to the point that single-pilot technologies could become a reality in 5 years, argues UBS in a in-depth research note where it has studied how this might benefit the industry.

"We estimate moving from two pilots to one in cargo and passenger airplanes implies a $15bn profit opportunity, with fully pilotless planes a further $20bn," the bank's analyst reckon, adding that "in our view, the market is not currently pricing in any benefit for airlines or aerospace companies."

Here's UBS' list of the stocks which are the most likely to benefit most, including from American Airlines, Delta Air Lines (NYSE:DAL), IAG (LON:ICAG), Lufthansa and United.

Here's a link to a story with anecdotes about Leslie Nielsen and the shooting of 'Aeroplane!': https://reut.rs/2zwGeHo

(Julien Ponthus)

*****

NOT ALL CAPITAL GOODS STOCKS ARE BAD BETS (102 GMT)

Europe's industrial goods index is the best performing today but over the last month it has lagged the broader market, caught in the crossfire of worries over an economic slowdown and an escalation of the trade dispute between Washington and Beijing.

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Analysts at Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) have found that the sector's premium to the market has fallen to 16 percent, hitting the lowest is 24 months, and although it's still not time for a broad-based sectoral bet they see some opportunities emerging.

"We have seen in prior slowdowns (see snapshot below) that within 12-18 months, the sector premium disappears, which could also be a risk now if the data further decelerates," they say.

The pullback however has made some late-cycle companies interesting again.

"We see attractive entry points for late-cycle names that can still deliver earnings acceleration (ABB, Andritz, FLSmidth, Konecranes) or have self-help opportunities (Melrose, Schindler)," they add.

(Danilo Masoni)

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GOLDILOCKS AND THE FOURTH BEAR (0922 GMT)

Remember 2017 and that cosy place nicknamed "Goldilocks"? What happened to that sweet spot of global synchronised growth and low inflation which provided investors with the ultimate "not too hot, not too cold" environment?

Well, three bears came along, argues Dominick DeAlto, chief investment officer for fixed income at BNP Paribas (PA:BNPP) Asset Management.

The bears' names are "signs of diverging growth across major economies, a stronger US dollar and material risks of a broadening trade war", DeAlto wrote in an outlook note.

"These 'three bears' are likely to make for a much more challenging environment for risk assets going forward", he argues noting that "absent in the fable, but very real in today's story, would be a 'fourth bear', which is inflation".

"This fourth bear may be dormant for the time being, but the state of the business cycle and accommodative monetary policy suggests this may not last indefinitely", DeAlto adds.

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Here's how BNP sums up what changed in the last six months:

(Julien Ponthus)

*****

OPENING SNAPSHOT: EUROPEAN SHARES BOUNCE (0713 GMT)

European shares have opened higher as the market focus shifts from the U.S.-China trade dispute to the second quarter earnings season, as big banks over in the U.S. are set to give updates later in the day.

The early bounce is pretty broad in Europe, with sectors such as tech, autos and industrials leading the way.

Company updates are spurring moderate moves in insurer Storebrand STB.OL , recruiter Hays HAYS.L and DCC DCC.L , which are all up between 2.3 to 3.6 percent, while insurer Gjensidige GJFS.OL and GAM GAMH.S are the biggest fallers.

Here's your opening snapshot:

(Kit Rees)

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MORNING HEADLINES: ANTITRUST, FROM M&A TO DIPLOMACY (0559 GMT)

There is no shortage of M&A related news this morning, surely enough to keep merger arbitrage funds quite busy particularly with the U.S. Justice Department trying to undo AT&T (NYSE:T) Inc's $85.4 billion acquisition of Time Warner a month after the deal closed. media sector is buoyant as ever, also on our side of the Atlantic with the ongoing takeover battle for Sky.

On the antitrust front, EU regulators have approved Ryanair's planned acquisition of LaudaMotion without conditions and sources told Reuters Linde LING.DE and Praxair (NYSE:PX) PX.N will win approval regulatory clearance for their planned $83 billion merger after pledging to sell Praxair's assets to boost a Japanese rival in Europe. on the regulatory front, Goldman Sachs and the world's biggest cablemaker Prysmian PRY.MI , Nexans and eight other cable companies lost their challenge against a 302 million euros EU cartel fine.

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Speaking of antitrust, it's tempting to make a link with U.S. President Donald Trump's visit to the UK and blasting Theresa May's Brexit plans by saying a free trade deal with Britain might be impossible.

The fact Trump told The Sun that former Foreign Secretary Boris Johnson "would be a great Prime Minister" after he resigned in protest at May's Brexit plans makes the U.S./UK relationship as "special" as ever. declaration that this softer version of Brexit would mean that a trade deal with the US was “probably” off the table, was a blow to both host Theresa May and the pound, sending sterling tumbling overnight", commented Jasper Lawler, head of research at LCG.

On the stocks front, European futures are up as expected, between up 0.2 percent for the IBEX and 0.53 percent for the DAX and the FTSE.

(Julien Ponthus)

*****

MORNING CALL: EUROPEAN SHARES SEEN RISING AT THE OPEN (0519 GMT)

European shares are expected to follow the optimistic trend set in Asia and on Wall Street and open this session in positive territory.

Expectations of a strong earnings season in the United States are supporting shares and trade war fears are currently kept in check even with China reporting a trade surplus with the United States of $28.97 billion in June, the highest on record.

Financial spreadbetters expect London's FTSE to open 41 points higher, Frankfurt's DAX up 57 points higher and Paris' CAC to rise 25 points.

(Julien Ponthus)

*****

<^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^ Opening snapshot

https://reut.rs/2JiwTCR gold

3rd party Ad. Not an offer or recommendation by Investing.com. See disclosure here or remove ads .

https://reut.rs/2Ji61CY capital goods

https://reut.rs/2NHH6fv Otto

https://reut.rs/2NOmH8w Leslie

https://reut.rs/2NMY7oz

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