🧐 ProPicks AI October update is out now! See which stocks made the listPick Stocks with AI

GLOBAL MARKETS-Asian shares edge up but sentiment fragile on growth worries

Published 22/11/2018, 11:40 am
© Reuters.  GLOBAL MARKETS-Asian shares edge up but sentiment fragile on growth worries
USD/JPY
-
US500
-
DJI
-
AXJO
-
JP225
-
DX
-
CL
-
MIAPJ0000PUS
-
DXY
-

* Asian stock markets : https://tmsnrt.rs/2zpUAr4

* Asian shares firm after Wall Street gains overnight

* Overall sentiment still fragile - ANZ analyst

* Oil rebounds after steep sell-off earlier this week

By Swati Pandey

SYDNEY, Nov 22 (Reuters) - Asian shares stepped ahead cautiously on Thursday while oil rebounded from a steep sell-off, though rising U.S. interest rates and escalating trade tensions kept financial markets on edge amid signs of slackening global growth.

MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan .MIAPJ0000PUS tacked on 0.2 percent and has so far managed to hold up in November after three straight monthly declines. For the year, it is on track for its worst annual performance since 2011, in part due to anxiety over a weakening outlook for corporate profits.

Japan's Nikkei .N225 rose 0.5 percent while Australian shares .AXJO advanced 0.6 percent.

Overnight in Wall Street, the benchmark S&P 500 stock index .SPX ended higher but near session lows while the Dow .DJI gave up its gains to end flat ahead of the U.S. Thanksgiving holiday in a sign of lingering bearishness. .N

"Markets experienced a better night last night, but it is fair to say that sentiment remains fragile," ANZ analysts said in a note to clients.

"There seems a greater appreciation that with the impact of U.S. fiscal stimulus waning, the U.S. economy could slow like other major economies have."

The U.S. unemployment rate is at a 49-year low and the economy is expanding at a 3.5 percent annual rate, although many economists now believe a ballooning U.S. federal budget deficit and trade protectionism could hurt growth by 2020. leaves the market less forgiving of poor news whether that is on the trade front or in credit markets. The bottom line, expect this higher volatility picture to persist unless global growth can stage a turnaround," ANZ analysts said.

The synchronised global expansion that began roughly two years ago has now plateued, and fresh signs are emerging of a weaker outlook. Global trade volumes are still increasing although at a slower pace.

Moreover, leading economic indicators monitored by the OECD have weakened since the start of the year and point to slower expansion ahead for the United Kingdom and the euro area as a whole.

ALL-WEATHER CURRENCY

The Federal Reserve has stayed on its tightening path after ending seven years of near-zero interest rates in December 2015 that took the Fed funds rate to the current 2.00 to 2.25 percent. Investors expect the Fed to go again in December. FEDWATCH

In response to the tightening, the U.S. dollar has outperformed most of its peers this year with its index .DXY against a basket of major currencies up almost 5 percent. In comparison the Japanese yen JPY= is flat so far in 2018.

Marios Hadjikyriacos, analyst at broking firm XM.Com, said the greenback is currently an "all wealther currency."

"It can shine both in risk-off sessions given its status as the world's reserve asset, and on risk-on days as wide yield differentials brighten its carry appeal," he said.

Hadjikyriacos expects the dollar to end the year on a high note.

"The dollar seems more attractive from a risk-reward perspective as the bar to price out even more hikes – and hence weaken the currency – is probably quite high; it may require concrete evidence of a US slowdown."

The dollar index was last flat at 96.712. The yen was barely changed at 113.01 following two straight sessions of losses.

Elsewhere, the euro EUR=D3 rose on hopes that the Italian budget dispute would be resolved even as the European Commission took its first step toward disciplining Italy over its deficit. It was last at $1.1390.

Oil jumped about $1 a barrel on Wednesday after U.S. government data showed strong demand for gasoline and diesel, though concerns over rising crude supply remained. O/R

U.S. crude CLc1 futures edged up 4 cents to $54.65 after hitting a one-year low of $52.77 on Tuesday.

<^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^ Asia stock markets

https://tmsnrt.rs/2zpUAr4 Asia-Pacific valuations

https://tmsnrt.rs/2Dr2BQA

^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^> (Editing by Shri Navaratnam)

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.