Currency Forecast

EUR/USD remains resilient after dipping below 1.05, hinting at a potential breakout. Weak US data and stagflation fears fuel Fed rate cut bets, pressuring the dollar. A break above 1.0500 could pave...

The US dollar has found a little support overnight after the House passed a budget blueprint bill laying the groundwork for President Trump's tax-cutting agenda. The focus on fiscal might buy a...

The German election results initially boosted optimism, but uncertainty over coalition talks is keeping pressure on EUR/USD. Trump's confirmation of tariffs on Mexico and Canada increased safe-haven...

Trump said yesterday that tariffs on Mexico and Canada are still on the table ahead of next Monday’s deadline. Markets remain reluctant to price that in for now, and some soft US consumer confidence...

Germany voted over the weekend, and the results are broadly in line with expectations. The euro (EUR/USD) got a small boost from the CDU/CSU being able to form a coalition only with the SPD, without...

The US dollar has given up all its gains for the week as soft data and US earnings seem to be casting doubts on the notion of US exceptionalism. The USD/JPY is the big winner, receiving extra help...

Optimism over Ukraine peace talks is offsetting the impact of Trump’s tariff threats, keeping the euro’s downside limited for now. The 1.0400-1.0430 range is acting as support, while 1.0480-1.0500...

Markets continue to carefully assess the implications of Russia-US talks, but we are observing an emerging trend of euro underperformance linked to Trump’s growing isolationism against EU allies....

Should Russia and Ukraine ultimately reach a peace deal, the US dollar is probably due another moderate correction – but for now, markets are lacking tangible bearish USD drivers and we think the...

If Thursday was the 'Big Day' for US reciprocal tariffs, you wouldn't have known it by looking at the global equity rally or the slightly softer US dollar. The benign impact on markets of yesterday's...

European currencies received a lift late yesterday following an update from Donald Trump that he'd had productive discussions with Vladimir Putin about a ceasefire in Ukraine. The rally may have a...

The USD/JPY is rising due to increased US bond yields and inflation data. Higher-than-expected CPI has delayed Fed rate cut expectations. Upcoming data, like PPI, may push USD/JPY toward 155.00. Are...

GBP/USD is consolidating around 1.2447 on Wednesday as traders hold back, awaiting key UK economic data releases later this week. Key factors influencing GBP/USD Earlier this week, the British pound...

Latest economic data continues to favor the US dollar Meanwhile,Donald Trump continues aggressive tariff targeting rhetoric Fed in no to rush to raise interest rates, ECB to cut again in its next...