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US stocks struggle on weakness in energy ahead of Jackson Hole, DNC

Published 20/08/2024, 10:02 am
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Investing.com-- U.S. stocks slipped Tuesday, pressured by a fall energy stocks and cautious trading ahead of this week's Jackson Hole Symposium that will likely offer clues on monetary policy. 

At 12:51 ET (16:51 GMT), Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 55 points, or 0.1%, while the S&P 500 0.2% and NASDAQ Composite slipped 0.4%. 

Crude edges higher with Gaza talks in focus 

Energy stocks fell after oil prices gave up gains on rising hopes for ceasefire deal in Gaza. 

Valero Energy Corporation (NYSE:VLO), APA Corporation (NASDAQ:APA), Marathon Petroleum Corp (NYSE:MPC) were among the biggest decliners in the energy sector.

U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken said on Monday that Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu had accepted a "bridging proposal" presented by Washington to tackle disagreements blocking a ceasefire deal in Gaza, and urged Hamas to do the same.

This points to an increased likelihood of a ceasefire deal, which would see market participants pricing out the risks of an escalation across the wider region, potentially hitting supply from this oil-rich region.

Concerns over China's demand outlook continue to weigh, with the decision of the People’s Bank to keep its benchmark loan prime rate unchanged disappointing some traders given the country’s recent weak economic data.

In the United States, the American Petroleum Institute will release its estimate of U.S. crude stockpiles later in the session.

Jackson Hole awaited for rate cut cues 

The Jackson Hole Symposium - a meeting of major central bank leaders and finance ministers - begins later this week, with an address from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell on Friday.  

Powell’s address will be closely watched amid growing conviction that the central bank is preparing to cut interest rates by 25 basis points in September, as recent economic readings showed some cooling in inflation.

Powell could potentially flag the possibility of a 50 bps cut, Evercore analysts said, although they do not expect the Fed chairman to explicitly mention just by how much the Fed plans to begin trimming rates. 

"While there are good arguments on both sides for starting with 25bp cuts versus going with 50bps  the recent rebound in risk sentiment would, all else equal, argue against more aggressive action," Deutsche Bank (ETR:DBKGn) said in a recent note.

DNC in focus as 2024 presidential race heats up 

Focus this week is also on the Democratic National Convention, with President Joe Biden set to speak at the event later on Monday.

Vice President Kamala Harris was officially nominated as the party’s presidential candidate earlier in August, and picked Minnesota governor Tim Walz as her running mate.

Harris was endorsed by Biden in July, and was seen swiftly catching up with Republican frontrunner Donald Trump in recent polls, presenting a tight 2024 presidential race. 

"Right now, we would deem the US presidential election too close to call with any degree of confidence, especially in view of the difficulty that Trump has had in gaining traction with the media in recent weeks, as it shifted its focus to Harris and its campaign," Macquarie said in a Tuesday note.

Robert F. Kennedy Jr. mulls ditching campaign to team up with Trump

Robert F. Kennedy Jr. is weighing up ditching his race for the White House and may instead be considering joining forced for the Republican presidential candidate, Donald Trump, Kennedy’s running mate Nicole Shanahan said in an interview.

RFJ Jr. may also choose to stay in the race, however, and seek to win more than 5% of the popular vote to become a third-party alternative to the GOP and Democratic parties . 

Lowe's cuts annual forecasts, Palo Alto rallies on earnings delight

Lowe’s (NYSE:LOW) stock fell 1% after the home improvement retailer cut its annual profit and sales forecasts, pointing to a slim chance of a recovery in home improvement demand in the second half of the year.

Cybersecurity company Palo Alto Networks (NASDAQ:PANW) stock rose over 8% after posting top and bottom line beats for the fiscal fourth quarter.

The company's positive outlook on free cash flow, guiding for 37-38% margin for fiscal 2025 is likely helping its shares, "despite a growth outlook that looks materially lower than what the company laid out a year ago," UBS said. 

(Peter Nurse, Ambar Warrick contributed to this article.)

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