Selloff or Market Correction? Either Way, Here's What to Do NextSee Overvalued Stocks

GLOBAL MARKETS-Stocks gain in Fed's cheery slipstream, dollar subdued

Published 05/06/2019, 06:26 pm
Updated 05/06/2019, 06:30 pm
GLOBAL MARKETS-Stocks gain in Fed's cheery slipstream, dollar subdued
UK100
-
LCO
-
CL
-
IT10YT=RR
-
STOXX
-
MIWD00000PUS
-
DXY
-

* Graphic: World FX rates in 2019 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

* Stocks gain for 3rd straight day on Fed cheer

* Dollar hovers near 7-week lows

* IMF cuts China 2019 growth forecast

* Oil resumes slide

By Ritvik Carvalho

LONDON, June 5 (Reuters) - Global stocks gained for a third straight day on Wednesday, bolstered by investors' growing hopes that the Federal Reserve might cut interest rates this year to boost a slowing global economy, while the dollar languished near seven-week lows.

A flare-up in trade tensions between the United States and China, which busted investors' assumption a deal was on the cards, has hit world stocks and triggered fears of an impending recession.

But recent comments from policymakers have helped stem the tide as top Federal Reserve officials this week began warning that the trade war may force them to respond, prompting investors to price possible interest rate cuts.

Interest rate futures show the U.S. central bank will start cutting rates as soon as next month, with as many as three rate cuts priced by year-end.

Fed Chairman Jerome Powell did not question the market rethink of the U.S. interest rate trajectory on Tuesday.

He dropped his standard reference to the Fed being "patient" in approaching any rate decision and said the central bank was watching fallout from the trade war and would react "as appropriate." Fed chairman's comments come a day after St. Louis Federal Reserve President James Bullard said in a speech that a rate cut may be needed "soon". markets responded positively to Powell's comments, with U.S. stocks registering their biggest one-day gains in five months.

The optimism rolled over into markets on Wednesday, with the MSCI All-Country World Index up 0.4% after the start of European trading, adding further to a 1.4% gain on Tuesday. .MIWD00000PUS

"Whilst the markets are giddy on central bank support, the effects could be short-lived," said Jasper Lawler, head of research at London Capital Group.

"Let's not forget the other half of the equation is the escalating trade war on multiple fronts. Today the markets are happy to focus on Fed support, but with the U.S. Commerce Department promising retaliation in the event of China's rare earth's threat, this trade war looks set to get worse before it gets better."

China is willing to meet reasonable demand for rare earths from other countries, but it would be unacceptable that countries using Chinese rare earths to manufacture products would turn around and suppress China, its commerce ministry said last week. China's dominance as a supplier of rare earths could be a vital bargaining chip in the trade war with the U.S. International Monetary Fund (IMF) cut its 2019 economic growth forecast for China to 6.2% on heightened uncertainty around trade frictions, saying that more monetary policy easing would be warranted if the Sino-U.S. trade war escalates. markets opened flat to marginally higher, but most bourses barring Britain's FTSE 100 .FTSE registered gains of nearly 0.5% by 0807 GMT. The pan-European STOXX 600 .STOXX index was up 0.5%. .EU

In bonds, Germany's 10-year bond yield reached a record low and Italian debt held on to this week's gains as investors ramped up their bets on a generous loan package for banks in the euro zone as well as a U.S. rate cut. GVD/EUR

Italy's 10-year government bond yield IT10YT=RR is down 14 basis points this week so far at 2.52%, even though the European Union may start proceedings this week to fine Italy for breaching debt limits.

In currencies, the Fed comments weakened the dollar for a fifth consecutive day, lifting the euro and pushing investors into safe-haven assets including the Japanese yen. The dollar struggled near a seven-week low. .DXY FRX/

"Given the extent of the dovish re-pricing of the Fed outlook and the collapse in U.S. treasury yields in recent weeks, the dollar losses appear fairly muted in this context," said Chris Turner, head of FX strategy at ING in London.

In commodity markets, oil prices resumed their slide, dragged down by a surprise gain in U.S. inventories and comments from the head of Russian state oil producer Rosneft questioning the point of a deal with OPEC to withhold supplies. O/R

In European trade, U.S. crude CLc1 retreated 0.85% to $53.03 a barrel and Brent crude LCOc1 futures dropped 0.6% to $61.58 per barrel. O/R

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.