NVDA gained a massive 197% since our AI first added it in November - is it time to sell? 🤔Read more

GLOBAL MARKETS-Roller-coaster Q1 ends with dollar down, stocks flat

Published 01/04/2016, 05:11 am
Updated 01/04/2016, 05:20 am
© Reuters.  GLOBAL MARKETS-Roller-coaster Q1 ends with dollar down, stocks flat
EUR/USD
-
XAU/USD
-
US500
-
JP225
-
BARC
-
USD/BRL
-
USD/RUB
-
DX
-
GC
-
CL
-
FTEU3
-
MSCIEF
-
DXY
-

(Adds details on bond returns, updates prices)

* Crude edges higher, still below $40 a barrel

* Gold heads for 16 pct quarterly gain, best in 30 years

* Wall St erases big losses during quarter

By David Gaffen

NEW YORK, March 31 (Reuters) - Equity markets worldwide fell for the first time in four days on Thursday, the final day of a roller-coaster first quarter that has hammered the dollar and the pound but has proven the best in decades for gold and bonds.

March was closing out on a subdued note after a volatile quarter that saw investors vacillate between calm and panic. Oil prices, the source of much concern throughout the quarter, were a touch higher as investors looked for clarity over a possible agreement by major oil-producing nations to reduce supply.

The dollar hovered near seven-week lows against the euro. It has fallen this week on reduced expectations for near-term interest rate hikes from the U.S. Federal Reserve, particularly after comments from Fed Chair Janet Yellen.

U.S. oil futures CLc1 rose 0.7 percent to $38.58 a barrel, rebounding somewhat after another report of record U.S. stockpiles, while China was put on a downgrade warning by S&P.

This quarter "has all been about the three C's. Commodities, China and central banks," said Aberdeen Asset Management investment committee member Kevin Daly.

When oil hit $27 a barrel in mid-January there were "pretty dark" predictions for the global economy, Daly said, but the rebound in crude, China and ECB stimulus and the Federal Reserve cooling rate hike expectations had all bolstered confidence.

Wall Street was sleepy one day ahead of key monthly labor market data. In the span of three months, the S&P 500 erased an 11 percent fall - one of its worst-ever starts to a year - and is now set to end the quarter with modest gains.

The S&P 500 .SPX dipped 0.06 percent to 2,062.80, but it was still up about 1 percent for the quarter.

Safe-haven gold XAU= has been the big winner of 2016 so far. It ticked up to $1,235 an ounce and has jumped a whopping 16 percent this quarter, its best run in nearly 30 years. GOL/

The euro rose to $1.1384 EUR= and the yen hovered at 112.53 to the greenback, leaving the six-currency dollar index .DXY on track for its biggest monthly fall since April 2015 and largest quarterly drop in five years. yields declined during the quarter as investors reduced expectations for rate increases from the U.S. Federal Reserve and central banks in Europe and Japan added to stimulus efforts. The U.S. Barclays (LON:BARC) Aggregate bond index .BCUSA has returned 2.78 percent in the first quarter.

European markets were hit, with shares .FTEU3 down 1 percent on Thursday. Euro zone inflation data was muted underscoring just why the European Central Bank is cranking up its stimulus efforts.

Sterling has also taken a pounding this year as concerns have grown about a potential British exit, or 'Brexit', from the European Union. It barely budged on Thursday but has seen its biggest quarterly tumble in 6-1/2 years against the euro EURGBP=R .

This year's turbulent start pushed MSCI's benchmark emerging market equity index .MSCIEF down 14 percent by the time it bottomed on Jan. 21.

But fast forward 2-1/2 months and EM stocks are up 20 percent. Currencies from the Russian rouble RUB= to the Brazilian real BRL= have surged and struggling parts of Africa have some of the best-performing bonds in the world. Nikkei .N225 sagged 0.7 percent on Thursday to an 11 percent quarterly loss, having been slammed by the 7-percent surge in the yen against the dollar.

Shanghai shares .SSEC have been an even bigger loser, having dropped about 15 percent since the start of the year.

<^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^ GRAPHIC-Cross assets global

http://reut.rs/1Rx8jLT GRAPHIC-Emerging market assets YTD

http://reut.rs/1ZKAaO6 GRAPHIC-Commodities performance

http://link.reuters.com/rac73w

^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^>

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.