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Fitch Assigns Final Ratings to PUMA Series 2014-1's A-R Notes

Published 13/02/2019, 01:14 pm
Fitch Assigns Final Ratings to PUMA Series 2014-1's A-R Notes

(The following statement was released by the rating agency) Fitch Ratings-Sydney-February 12: Fitch Ratings has assigned final ratings to PUMA Series 2014-1's residential mortgage-backed floating-rate notes. The ratings are as follows: AUD248.98 million Class A-R notes: 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable AUD84.00 million Class B1-R notes: 'NRsf' The full outstanding balance of the class A and B1 notes will be repaid with funds raised via the issuance of the class A-R and B1-R notes. A total of AUD1,372 million class A and B1 notes were issued in February 2014 as part of the PUMA Series 2014-1 AUD1,400 million RMBS issue by Macquarie Bank Limited (MBL, A/Stable/F1). The notes will be issued by Perpetual Limited in its capacity as trustee of PUMA Series 2014-1. KEY RATING DRIVERS Operational Risk: MBL is a registered authorised deposit-taking institution headquartered in Sydney. Fitch undertook an onsite operational review and found that the operations of the originator and servicer were comparable with market standards and that there were no material changes that may affect MBL's ability to undertake administration and collection activities. MBL's collection timelines, policies and procedures are in line with other conforming lenders in Australia, as evident from the historical performance of MBL conforming transactions. Asset Analysis: The 'AAAsf' weighted-average (WA) foreclosure frequency of 8.1% is driven by the WA unindexed loan/value ratio (LVR) of 57.4%, interest-only loans of 1.9% and investment loans of 24.0%. The 'AAAsf' WA recovery rate of 85.2% is driven by a WA indexed scheduled LVR of 55.4% and 'AAAsf' WA market value decline of 61.2%. Liability Analysis: The class A-R notes benefit from credit enhancement of 31.0%. Structural features include a liquidity reserve sized at 1.3% of the current asset balance and a sequential payment structure for the life of the transaction. The class A-R notes can withstand all relevant Fitch 'AAAsf' stresses applied in our cash-flow analysis. Macroeconomic Factors: Fitch expects stable mortgage performance, supported by sustained economic growth in Australia. Fitch forecasts steady GDP growth of 2.7% and one 25bp cash rate increase in 2019. FINAL RATING SENSITIVITIES Unanticipated increases in the frequency of defaults and loss severity on defaulted receivables could produce loss levels higher than Fitch's base case and are likely to result in a decline in credit enhancement and remaining loss-coverage levels available to the notes. Decreased credit enhancement may make certain note ratings susceptible to potential negative rating action, depending on the extent of the coverage decline. Hence, Fitch conducts sensitivity analysis by stressing a transaction's initial base-case assumptions. Fitch applies the recovery rate stress to the pre-LMI recovery rate to isolate the effect of a change in recovery proceeds at the borrower level. Rating sensitivity to increased defaults: Notes: A-R Rating: AAAsf Increase in defaults by 15%: AAAsf Increase in defaults by 30%: AAAsf Rating sensitivities to decreased recoveries: Notes: A-R Rating: AAAsf Reduce recoveries by 15%: AAAsf Reduce recoveries by 30%: AAAsf Rating sensitivity to multiple factors: Notes: A-R Rating: AAAsf Increase defaults by 15%, reduce recoveries by 15%: AAAsf Increase defaults by 30%, reduce recoveries by 30%: AAAsf The structure supports ratings on the class A-R notes that are independent of the ratings on the lenders' mortgage insurance (LMI) provider. LMI is not required to support the rating due to the level of credit support provided by the lower notes. USE OF THIRD-PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G-10 Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by, Fitch in relation to this rating action. REPRESENTATIONS, WARRANTIES AND ENFORCEMENT MECHANISMS A description of the transaction's representations, warranties and enforcement mechanisms (RW&Es) is available by accessing the appendix referenced under "Related Research" below. The appendix also contains a comparison of these RW&Es with those Fitch considers typical for the asset class, as detailed in the Special Report titled, "Representations, Warranties and Enforcement Mechanisms in Global Structured Finance Transactions," dated 26 March 2015. DATA ADEQUACY Prior to the transaction closing, Fitch reviewed the results of a third-party assessment conducted on the asset portfolio information and concluded that there were no findings that affected the rating analysis.

Fitch reviewed a small targeted sample of MBL's origination files and found the information contained in the reviewed files to be adequately consistent with the originator's policies and practices and the other information provided to the agency about the asset portfolio. Overall, Fitch's assessment of the asset pool information relied upon for the agency's rating analysis according to its applicable rating methodologies indicates that it is adequately reliable. SOURCES OF INFORMATION The information below was used in the analysis: Pricing term sheet provided by MBL as of 7 February 2019. Transaction reporting data provided by MBL as of the December 2018 payment date. The issuer has informed Fitch that not all relevant underlying information used in the analysis of the rated notes is public. Contacts: Primary Analyst Tim Groombridge Associate Director +612 8256 0339 Fitch Australia Pty Ltd Level 15, 77 King St, Sydney NSW 2000 Secondary Analyst Brad Isaac Analyst +612 8256 0306 Committee Chairperson Natasha Vojvodic Senior Director +612 8256 0350 Media Relations: Peter Hoflich, Singapore, Tel: +65 6796 7229, Email: peter.hoflich@thefitchgroup.com; Leslie Tan, Singapore, Tel: +65 6796 7234, Email: leslie.tan@thefitchgroup.com. Additional information is available on www.fitchratings.com Applicable Criteria APAC Residential Mortgage Rating Criteria (pub. 11 Jan 2019) https://www.fitchratings.com/site/re/10057538 Fitch's Interest Rate Stress Assumptions for Structured Finance and Covered Bonds - Excel File (pub. 02 Feb 2018) https://www.fitchratings.com/site/re/10018863 Global Structured Finance Rating Criteria (pub. 15 May 2018) https://www.fitchratings.com/site/re/10029600 RMBS Lenders' Mortgage Insurance Rating Criteria (pub. 03 Apr 2018) https://www.fitchratings.com/site/re/10025397 Structured Finance and Covered Bonds Counterparty Rating Criteria (pub. 01 Aug 2018) https://www.fitchratings.com/site/re/10039504 Structured Finance and Covered Bonds Counterparty Rating Criteria: Derivative Addendum (pub. 01 Aug 2018) https://www.fitchratings.com/site/re/10039505 Structured Finance and Covered Bonds Interest Rate Stresses Rating Criteria (pub. 02 Feb 2018) https://www.fitchratings.com/site/re/10018549 Related Research PUMA Series 2014-1 Appendix https://www.fitchratings.com/site/re/733097 Additional Disclosures Dodd-Frank Rating Information Disclosure Form https://www.fitchratings.com/site/dodd-frank-disclosure/10061890 Solicitation Status https://www.fitchratings.com/site/pr/10061890#solicitation Endorsement Policy https://www.fitchratings.com/regulatory ALL FITCH CREDIT RATINGS ARE SUBJECT TO CERTAIN LIMITATIONS AND DISCLAIMERS. PLEASE READ THESE LIMITATIONS AND DISCLAIMERS BY FOLLOWING THIS LINK: HTTPS://WWW.FITCHRATINGS.COM/UNDERSTANDINGCREDITRATINGS. IN ADDITION, RATING DEFINITIONS AND THE TERMS OF USE OF SUCH RATINGS ARE AVAILABLE ON THE AGENCY'S PUBLIC WEB SITE AT WWW.FITCHRATINGS.COM. PUBLISHED RATINGS, CRITERIA, AND METHODOLOGIES ARE AVAILABLE FROM THIS SITE AT ALL TIMES. FITCH'S CODE OF CONDUCT, CONFIDENTIALITY, CONFLICTS OF INTEREST, AFFILIATE FIREWALL, COMPLIANCE, AND OTHER RELEVANT POLICIES AND PROCEDURES ARE ALSO AVAILABLE FROM THE CODE OF CONDUCT SECTION OF THIS SITE. DIRECTORS AND SHAREHOLDERS RELEVANT INTERESTS ARE AVAILABLE AT HTTPS://WWW.FITCHRATINGS.COM/SITE/REGULATORY. FITCH MAY HAVE PROVIDED ANOTHER PERMISSIBLE SERVICE TO THE RATED ENTITY OR ITS RELATED THIRD PARTIES. DETAILS OF THIS SERVICE FOR RATINGS FOR WHICH THE LEAD ANALYST IS BASED IN AN EU-REGISTERED ENTITY CAN BE FOUND ON THE ENTITY SUMMARY PAGE FOR THIS ISSUER ON THE FITCH WEBSITE. Copyright © 2019 by Fitch Ratings, Inc., Fitch Ratings Ltd. and its subsidiaries. 33 Whitehall Street, NY, NY 10004. Telephone: 1-800-753-4824, (212) 908-0500. Fax: (212) 480-4435. Reproduction or retransmission in whole or in part is prohibited except by permission. All rights reserved. In issuing and maintaining its ratings and in making other reports (including forecast information), Fitch relies on factual information it receives from issuers and underwriters and from other sources Fitch believes to be credible. Fitch conducts a reasonable investigation of the factual information relied upon by it in accordance with its ratings methodology, and obtains reasonable verification of that information from independent sources, to the extent such sources are available for a given security or in a given jurisdiction. The manner of Fitch's factual investigation and the scope of the third-party verification it obtains will vary depending on the nature of the rated security and its issuer, the requirements and practices in the jurisdiction in which the rated security is offered and sold and/or the issuer is located, the availability and nature of relevant public information, access to the management of the issuer and its advisers, the availability of pre-existing third-party verifications such as audit reports, agreed-upon procedures letters, appraisals, actuarial reports, engineering reports, legal opinions and other reports provided by third parties, the availability of independent and competent third- party verification sources with respect to the particular security or in the particular jurisdiction of the issuer, and a variety of other factors. Users of Fitch's ratings and reports should understand that neither an enhanced factual investigation nor any third-party verification can ensure that all of the information Fitch relies on in connection with a rating or a report will be accurate and complete. Ultimately, the issuer and its advisers are responsible for the accuracy of the information they provide to Fitch and to the market in offering documents and other reports. In issuing its ratings and its reports, Fitch must rely on the work of experts, including independent auditors with respect to financial statements and attorneys with respect to legal and tax matters. Further, ratings and forecasts of financial and other information are inherently forward-looking and embody assumptions and predictions about future events that by their nature cannot be verified as facts. As a result, despite any verification of current facts, ratings and forecasts can be affected by future events or conditions that were not anticipated at the time a rating or forecast was issued or affirmed. The information in this report is provided "as is" without any representation or warranty of any kind, and Fitch does not represent or warrant that the report or any of its contents will meet any of the requirements of a recipient of the report. A Fitch rating is an opinion as to the creditworthiness of a security. This opinion and reports made by Fitch are based on established criteria and methodologies that Fitch is continuously evaluating and updating. Therefore, ratings and reports are the collective work product of Fitch and no individual, or group of individuals, is solely responsible for a rating or a report. The rating does not address the risk of loss due to risks other than credit risk, unless such risk is specifically mentioned. 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Due to the relative efficiency of electronic publishing and distribution, Fitch research may be available to electronic subscribers up to three days earlier than to print subscribers. For Australia, New Zealand, Taiwan and South Korea only: Fitch Australia Pty Ltd holds an Australian financial services license (AFS license no. 337123) which authorizes it to provide credit ratings to wholesale clients only. Credit ratings information published by Fitch is not intended to be used by persons who are retail clients within the meaning of the Corporations Act 2001 Fitch Ratings, Inc. is registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission as a Nationally Recognized Statistical Rating Organization (the "NRSRO"). 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