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Fitch Assigns Final Ratings to Flexi ABS Trust 2019-2; Outlook Stable

Published 28/11/2019, 02:25 pm
© Reuters.  Fitch Assigns Final Ratings to Flexi ABS Trust 2019-2; Outlook Stable

(The following statement was released by the rating agency) Fitch Ratings-Sydney-November 27: Fitch Ratings has assigned final ratings to Flexi ABS Trust 2019-2's asset-backed floating-rate notes. The issuance consists of notes backed by a pool of first-ranking Australian unsecured consumer receivables, branded as 'humm', and originated by Certegy Ezi-Pay Pty Ltd (the originator), a wholly owned subsidiary of FlexiGroup Limited (flexigroup). The notes have been issued by Perpetual Corporate Trust Limited in its capacity as trustee of Flexi ABS Trust 2019-2 (the issuer). Flexi ABS Trust 2019-2 ----A1 AU3FN0051660; Long Term Rating; New Rating; AAAsf; RO:Sta ----A1-G AU3FN0051678; Long Term Rating; New Rating; AAAsf; RO:Sta ----B-G AU3FN0051686; Long Term Rating; New Rating; AA+sf; RO:Sta ----C-G AU3FN0051694; Long Term Rating; New Rating; Asf; RO:Sta ----D-G AU3FN0051702; Long Term Rating; New Rating; BBBsf; RO:Sta ----E-G AU3FN0051710; Long Term Rating; New Rating; BB+sf; RO:Sta ----F ; Long Term Rating; New Rating; NRsf Transaction Summary The transaction has been upsized to AUD265 million, from AUD245 million, since the expected ratings were assigned on 29 October 2019. The increased pool consists of 93,793 receivables with an average balance of AUD2,825 at the 30 October 2019 cut-off date. The receivables are retail point-of-sale, buy-now-pay-later consumer-finance loans used to finance a wide variety of products, such as solar equipment (47.9% of the portfolio), home items (16.3%), jewellery (10.5%) and other items. KEY RATING DRIVERS Obligor Default Risk: Default rates have been stable since 2015, despite falling weighted-average (WA) customer-deposit rates. A greater proportion of Certegy's originations are from repeat customers with a demonstrated performance history. We assumed a WA default rate of 5.0% based on the sound performance of Certegy's portfolio and previous transactions and a WA default multiple of 5.0x for 'AAAsf', which reflects the default data of a benign economic period, the data's relative volatility and a higher default base case for jewellery and other items. Fitch expects stable asset performance, supported by sustained economic growth in Australia. We forecast GDP growth of 2.3% in 2020, a stable labour market and low interest rates to support the Outlook of the rated notes. Cash Flow Dynamics: Fitch completed full cash-flow modelling and determined that full and timely payment of principal and interest was made in all rating scenarios. Structural Risk: A liquidity facility is available to ensure stable cash flow for classes A1 to E-G notes as well as trust expenses. The transaction includes fixed-rate swaps with notionals based on fixed schedules and derivative reserve accounts to trap excess spread to the extent that voluntary prepayments and defaults cause the transaction to be overhedged. Counterparty Risk: The transaction includes structural mechanisms to ensure remedial action takes place if the ratings of the swap providers or trust account bank fall below a certain level. Servicer, Operational Risks: Fitch reviewed the originator's underwriting and the servicer's capabilities and found that the operations of the originator and servicer were comparable with those of other consumer-finance lenders. Flexirent Capital Pty Ltd (servicer) is not rated and servicer disruption risk is mitigated via back-up arrangements. The nominated back-up servicer is illion Australia Pty Ltd, which has live access to the servicer's systems and can step in immediately upon servicer termination. Residual Value Risks: Residual value risk is not a driver for this transaction as each receivable is contracted to amortise to a zero balance at its respective maturity date. RATING SENSITIVITIES Unanticipated increases in the frequency of defaults and loss severity on defaulted receivables could produce loss levels higher than Fitch's base case and is likely to result in a decline in credit enhancement (CE) and remaining loss-coverage levels available to the notes. Decreased CE may make certain note ratings susceptible to negative rating action, depending on the extent of the coverage decline. Hence, Fitch conducts sensitivity analysis by stressing a transaction's initial base-case assumptions. Class: A1/A1-G/B-G/C-G/D-G/E-G Expected Rating: AAAsf/AAAsf/AA+sf/Asf/BBBsf/BB+sf Expected impact on expected rating of increased defaults: Increase defaults by 10%: AAAsf/AAAsf/AAsf/Asf/BBB-sf/BB+sf Increase defaults by 25%: AAAsf/AAAsf/AA-sf/BBB+sf/BB+sf/BBsf Increase defaults by 50%: AAsf/AAsf/Asf/BBBsf/BBsf/BB-sf USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10 Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by, Fitch in relation to this rating action. DATA ADEQUACY Prior to the transaction closing, Fitch sought to receive a third-party assessment conducted on the asset portfolio information, but none was available for this transaction. As a part of its ongoing monitoring, Fitch conducted a review of a small targeted sample of the originator's files and found the information contained in the reviewed files to be adequately consistent with the originator's policies and practices and the other information provided to the agency about the asset portfolio. Overall, Fitch's assessment of the asset pool information relied upon for the agency's rating analysis, according to its applicable rating methodologies, indicates that it is adequately reliable. SOURCES OF INFORMATION The information below was used in the analysis: - historical static loss data provided by flexigroup as of August 2019; - loan-by-loan data provided by flexigroup at 30 October 2019; and - transaction documentation provided by Clayton Utz, the issuer's counsel. The issuer has informed Fitch that not all relevant underlying information used in the analysis of the rated notes is public. REPRESENTATIONS, WARRANTIES AND ENFORCEMENT MECHANISMS A description of the transaction's representations, warranties and enforcement mechanisms (RW&Es) that are disclosed in the offering document and which relate to the underlying asset pool is available by clicking the link to the Appendix. The appendix also contains a comparison of these RW&Es to those Fitch considers typical for the asset class as detailed in the Special Report titled 'Representations, Warranties and Enforcement Mechanisms in Global Structured Finance Transactions'. ESG Considerations Unless otherwise disclosed in this section, the highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of 3. ESG issues are credit neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on the transaction, either due to their nature or the way in which they are being managed by the transaction. For more information on our ESG Relevance Scores, visit www.fitchratings.com/site/esg Contacts: Primary Rating Analyst James Leung, Director +61 2 8256 0322 Fitch Australia Pty Ltd Level 15 77 King Street Sydney NSW 2000 Secondary Rating Analyst Marija Buzevska, Senior Analyst +61 2 8256 0340 Surveillance Rating Analyst Marija Buzevska, Senior Analyst +61 2 8256 0340 Fitch Australia Pty Ltd Level 15 77 King Street Sydney NSW 2000 Committee Chairperson Natasha Vojvodic, Senior Director +61 2 8256 0350

Media Relations: Leslie Tan, Singapore, Tel: +65 6796 7234, Email: leslie.tan@thefitchgroup.com; Peter Hoflich, Singapore, Tel: +65 6796 7229, Email: peter.hoflich@thefitchgroup.com. Additional information is available on www.fitchratings.com Applicable Criteria Consumer ABS Rating Criteria (pub. 29 Jan 2019) https://www.fitchratings.com/site/re/10060611 Fitch Ratings Interest Rate Stress Assumptions for Structured Finance and Covered Bonds (Excel) (pub. 28 Oct 2019) https://www.fitchratings.com/site/re/10098460 Global Structured Finance Rating Criteria (pub. 02 May 2019) https://www.fitchratings.com/site/re/10073280 Structured Finance and Covered Bonds Counterparty Rating Criteria (pub. 18 Apr 2019) https://www.fitchratings.com/site/re/10068780 Structured Finance and Covered Bonds Counterparty Rating Criteria: Derivative Addendum (pub. 18 Apr 2019) https://www.fitchratings.com/site/re/10069072 Structured Finance and Covered Bonds Interest Rate Stresses Rating Criteria (pub. 28 Oct 2019) https://www.fitchratings.com/site/re/10095115 Related Research Flexi ABS Trust 2019-2 - Appendix https://www.fitchratings.com/site/re/10092324 Additional Disclosures Dodd-Frank Rating Information Disclosure Form https://www.fitchratings.com/site/dodd-frank-disclosure/10103453 Solicitation Status https://www.fitchratings.com/site/pr/10103453#solicitation Endorsement Policy https://www.fitchratings.com/regulatory ALL FITCH CREDIT RATINGS ARE SUBJECT TO CERTAIN LIMITATIONS AND DISCLAIMERS. PLEASE READ THESE LIMITATIONS AND DISCLAIMERS BY FOLLOWING THIS LINK: HTTPS://WWW.FITCHRATINGS.COM/UNDERSTANDINGCREDITRATINGS. IN ADDITION, RATING DEFINITIONS AND THE TERMS OF USE OF SUCH RATINGS ARE AVAILABLE ON THE AGENCY'S PUBLIC WEB SITE AT WWW.FITCHRATINGS.COM. PUBLISHED RATINGS, CRITERIA, AND METHODOLOGIES ARE AVAILABLE FROM THIS SITE AT ALL TIMES. FITCH'S CODE OF CONDUCT, CONFIDENTIALITY, CONFLICTS OF INTEREST, AFFILIATE FIREWALL, COMPLIANCE, AND OTHER RELEVANT POLICIES AND PROCEDURES ARE ALSO AVAILABLE FROM THE CODE OF CONDUCT SECTION OF THIS SITE. DIRECTORS AND SHAREHOLDERS RELEVANT INTERESTS ARE AVAILABLE AT HTTPS://WWW.FITCHRATINGS.COM/SITE/REGULATORY. FITCH MAY HAVE PROVIDED ANOTHER PERMISSIBLE SERVICE TO THE RATED ENTITY OR ITS RELATED THIRD PARTIES. DETAILS OF THIS SERVICE FOR RATINGS FOR WHICH THE LEAD ANALYST IS BASED IN AN EU-REGISTERED ENTITY CAN BE FOUND ON THE ENTITY SUMMARY PAGE FOR THIS ISSUER ON THE FITCH WEBSITE. Copyright © 2019 by Fitch Ratings, Inc., Fitch Ratings Ltd. and its subsidiaries. 33 Whitehall Street, NY, NY 10004. Telephone: 1-800-753-4824, (212) 908-0500. Fax: (212) 480-4435. Reproduction or retransmission in whole or in part is prohibited except by permission. All rights reserved. In issuing and maintaining its ratings and in making other reports (including forecast information), Fitch relies on factual information it receives from issuers and underwriters and from other sources Fitch believes to be credible. Fitch conducts a reasonable investigation of the factual information relied upon by it in accordance with its ratings methodology, and obtains reasonable verification of that information from independent sources, to the extent such sources are available for a given security or in a given jurisdiction. The manner of Fitch's factual investigation and the scope of the third-party verification it obtains will vary depending on the nature of the rated security and its issuer, the requirements and practices in the jurisdiction in which the rated security is offered and sold and/or the issuer is located, the availability and nature of relevant public information, access to the management of the issuer and its advisers, the availability of pre-existing third-party verifications such as audit reports, agreed-upon procedures letters, appraisals, actuarial reports, engineering reports, legal opinions and other reports provided by third parties, the availability of independent and competent third- party verification sources with respect to the particular security or in the particular jurisdiction of the issuer, and a variety of other factors. Users of Fitch's ratings and reports should understand that neither an enhanced factual investigation nor any third-party verification can ensure that all of the information Fitch relies on in connection with a rating or a report will be accurate and complete. Ultimately, the issuer and its advisers are responsible for the accuracy of the information they provide to Fitch and to the market in offering documents and other reports. In issuing its ratings and its reports, Fitch must rely on the work of experts, including independent auditors with respect to financial statements and attorneys with respect to legal and tax matters. Further, ratings and forecasts of financial and other information are inherently forward-looking and embody assumptions and predictions about future events that by their nature cannot be verified as facts. As a result, despite any verification of current facts, ratings and forecasts can be affected by future events or conditions that were not anticipated at the time a rating or forecast was issued or affirmed. The information in this report is provided "as is" without any representation or warranty of any kind, and Fitch does not represent or warrant that the report or any of its contents will meet any of the requirements of a recipient of the report. A Fitch rating is an opinion as to the creditworthiness of a security. This opinion and reports made by Fitch are based on established criteria and methodologies that Fitch is continuously evaluating and updating. Therefore, ratings and reports are the collective work product of Fitch and no individual, or group of individuals, is solely responsible for a rating or a report. The rating does not address the risk of loss due to risks other than credit risk, unless such risk is specifically mentioned. 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Fitch receives fees from issuers, insurers, guarantors, other obligors, and underwriters for rating securities. Such fees generally vary from US$1,000 to US$750,000 (or the applicable currency equivalent) per issue. In certain cases, Fitch will rate all or a number of issues issued by a particular issuer, or insured or guaranteed by a particular insurer or guarantor, for a single annual fee. Such fees are expected to vary from US$10,000 to US$1,500,000 (or the applicable currency equivalent). The assignment, publication, or dissemination of a rating by Fitch shall not constitute a consent by Fitch to use its name as an expert in connection with any registration statement filed under the United States securities laws, the Financial Services and Markets Act of 2000 of the United Kingdom, or the securities laws of any particular jurisdiction. Due to the relative efficiency of electronic publishing and distribution, Fitch research may be available to electronic subscribers up to three days earlier than to print subscribers. For Australia, New Zealand, Taiwan and South Korea only: Fitch Australia Pty Ltd holds an Australian financial services license (AFS license no. 337123) which authorizes it to provide credit ratings to wholesale clients only. Credit ratings information published by Fitch is not intended to be used by persons who are retail clients within the meaning of the Corporations Act 2001 Fitch Ratings, Inc. is registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission as a Nationally Recognized Statistical Rating Organization (the "NRSRO"). While certain of the NRSRO's credit rating subsidiaries are listed on Item 3 of Form NRSRO and as such are authorized to issue credit ratings on behalf of the NRSRO (see https://www.fitchratings.com/site/regulatory), other credit rating subsidiaries are not listed on Form NRSRO (the "non-NRSROs") and therefore credit ratings issued by those subsidiaries are not issued on behalf of the NRSRO. However, non-NRSRO personnel may participate in determining credit ratings issued by or on behalf of the NRSRO.

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