🎈 Up Big Today: Find today's biggest gainers with our free screenerTry Stock Screener

FOREX-Trade hopes lift dollar, rate cut forecast hobbles Aussie

Published 27/11/2019, 04:37 pm
© Reuters.  FOREX-Trade hopes lift dollar, rate cut forecast hobbles Aussie
EUR/USD
-
GBP/USD
-
USD/JPY
-
AUD/USD
-
SOGN
-
USD/CNY
-

* Trump says U.S.-China deal close

* Dollar climbs on yen, euro, pound

* Aussie heads lower after rate-cut forecast

* Graphic: World FX rates in 2019 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

By Hideyuki Sano and Tom Westbrook

TOKYO/SINGAPORE, Nov 27 (Reuters) - The dollar posted modest gains on Wednesday, as traders looked ahead to a possible outcome to drawn out U.S.-China trade talks, while a forecast for monetary policy easing knocked the Aussie.

Against the yen, the dollar traded at 109.12 yen JPY= , off a two-week high of 109.205 hit on Tuesday. The greenback had found support on signs Washington and Beijing were moving closer to signing a deal to end their 16-month trade spat.

The U.S. currency rose slightly against the euro EUR= and British pound GBP= , last fetching $1.1012 per euro and $1.2853 per pound - both levels little changed this week.

The Australian dollar AUD= fell 0.2% to $0.6774. Trade is slowing ahead of the Thanksgiving holiday on Thursday in the U.S.

"The market is tired of playing headline ping pong with respect to trade," said Ray Attrill, head of FX strategy at National Australia Bank in Sydney.

"The equity market still seems to want to push on and believe optimistically that a trade deal is going to be done, but I think the FX market and the bond market have given up playing that game."

U.S. President Donald Trump said overnight that Washington was in the "final throes" of work on a deal to defuse the trade war, after top negotiators from the two countries spoke by telephone on Tuesday.

But he also underscored Washington's support for protesters in Hong Kong, a potential sore point with China. from Trump's comments, an agreement will have to wait at least until the weekend," said Kyosuke Suzuki, director of forex at Societe Generale (PA:SOGN) in Tokyo.

If both sides cannot reach an agreement soon, the next important date to watch is Dec. 15, when Washington is scheduled to impose even more tariffs on Chinese goods.

The tit-for-tat protectionism has already harmed the global economy and hit manufacturing hard.

Profits at China's industrial firms shrank at their fastest pace in eight months in October, official data showed on Wednesday, underscoring slowing momentum in the world's second-largest economy. yuan CNY= was steady, since the weakness also strengthens the case for deeper monetary easing. It last traded at 7.0291 per greenback.

In Australia, a forecast from Westpac Bank Chief Economist Bill Evans saying he expected two central bank interest rate cuts and quantitative easing (QE) to be introduced next year sent the Aussie 15 ticks lower.

The Reserve Bank of Australia's governor, Philip Lowe, had said on Tuesday he did not expect to have to use QE, but that it would become an option if rates fell to 0.25% from the current 0.75%. is a clear signal to us that the RBA will be prepared to cut the cash rate down to 0.25%," said Evans. (Editing by Sam Holmes)

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.