🥇 First rule of investing? Know when to save! Up to 55% off InvestingPro before BLACK FRIDAYCLAIM SALE

Rouble rebounds to 79/dollar, stocks slide after Putin sends troops to Ukraine

Published 22/02/2022, 06:14 pm
© Reuters. A vendor counts Russian rouble banknotes at a market in Omsk, Russia February 18, 2022. REUTERS/Alexey Malgavko
USD/RUB
-

By Andrey Ostroukh and Alexander Marrow

MOSCOW (Reuters) - The rouble rebounded from its weakest level in nearly two years to strengthen in volatile trading while Russian stocks slumped on Tuesday after Moscow sent troops to two breakaway regions in eastern Ukraine after recognising them as independent.

Putin's announcement on Monday drew immediate international condemnation and the West is now expected to announce new coordinated sanctions against Russia.

These could, for instance, target major financial institutions, block Russia's access to electronics supplies, or curb the operations of its energy firms.

The rouble weakened to 80.97 against the dollar, a level last seen on March 23, 2020, before rebounding to stand 0.9% higher at 79.05 as of 1117 GMT.

That resurgence came as Russia said it would only recognise the regions' independence within the boundaries that the Moscow-backed separatists currently control, and as Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy played down the prospect of a large-scale conflict with Russia.

"There was a headline that just hit that they (Russia) are recognising the borders where they have authority, so markets are rallying on that," said Peter Kisler, emerging market fund manager at Trium Capital.

"We are not in the clear - but that gives a path to de-escalation."

The Russian central bank said it was ready to take all necessary measures to support financial stability, and analysts said currency market interventions to limit rouble losses were one of the options on the table.

The central bank did not respond to a request for comment.

Against the euro, the rouble was 0.4% stronger at 89.84, having earlier hit 91.4475, its weakest level since April 2021.

RUSSIA SELL-OFF

On Monday, the rouble had suffered its biggest one-day drop since the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic. Russian markets plunged on Western fears that Putin's moves - to recognise the independence of the two regions collectively known as the Donbass and send in forces to "keep the peace" - might presage a major war.

"It was nothing but a disaster yesterday – news that the conflict with Ukraine in Donbass could be turning hot triggered a massive sell-off in all types of assets," BCS Global Markets said in a note.

Russian OFZ bonds fell further on Tuesday, with yields on 10-year OFZ bonds, which move inversely to prices, hitting their highest since early 2016.

"The market situation is really tense. Non-residents are likely to cut their positions (in OFZs) despite (lower) prices and buy foreign currency instead ... Rouble positions will depend on sanctions," said Georgiy Vaschenko, head of trading on the Russian stock market at the Freedom Finance brokerage.

OFZ bonds used to be popular among foreign investors due to their relatively high yields, but non-residents have cut exposure to Russia in recent months.

Foreign holdings of Russian government debt - https://fingfx.thomsonreuters.com/gfx/mkt/byvrjxzglve/Pasted%20image%201645522012376.png

Brent crude oil, a global benchmark for Russia's main export, was up 2.8% at $98.11 a barrel, but that did little to support Russian assets. When oil prices were last near current levels in September 2014, the rouble stood around 40 to the dollar.

© Reuters. A vendor counts Russian rouble banknotes at a market in Omsk, Russia February 18, 2022. REUTERS/Alexey Malgavko

The dollar-denominated RTS index fell 3.9% to 1,160.3 points after hitting 1,075.98, its lowest since November 2020. The rouble-based MOEX Russian index was 4.1% lower at 2,913.9 points.

"Today the market direction will be set by the West's decision on sanctions, and a second round of falling cannot be ruled out," Sinara Investment Bank said in a note.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.