Investing.com - Tuesday marked an increase in yields for the longest-tenured Japanese government bonds (JGBs). The key 10-year yield lingered near its four-month zenith, fueled by ongoing conjecture about a possible hawkish shift in policy by the Bank of Japan to be unveiled next week.
The yield on the 30-year JGB escalated by 1.5 basis points (bps) to reach a level of 1.405%, briefly peaking at a first-time high since March - at exactly 1.41%. Simultaneously, there was an upswing, albeit smaller, in the 20-year yield which increased marginally by half-a-basis point and came close to Friday's peak figure of around 1.13% - an apex not scaled since late April this year.
However, despite markets remaining closed on Monday due to a national holiday, Tuesday saw the benchmark ten-year yield slightly dip down half-a-basis point settling at roughly around .47%.
Such fluctuations are within permissible limits set out under the Bank Of Japan’s Yield Curve Control policy (YCC), allowing yields to swing as much as fifty basis points either way from its zero percent target.
Since July seventh when traders were taken aback by wage reports that exceeded expectations significantly; yields have seen quite some upward movement. A subsequent interview given by BOJ Deputy Governor Shinichi Uchida to Nikkei also contributed towards market participant sentiment hinting towards possible adjustments being made via YCC come end-July.
Despite these developments, Mizuho issued cautionary advice suggesting that such speculation might be excessive. Further strengthening yen figures have moved from approximately one-forty-five per dollar seen last month-end down towards one-thirty-eight currently; this effectively mitigates major risk factors that could potentially trigger any hawkish policy changes.
Mizuho further added that chances for any alterations being introduced during their upcoming meeting later this month seem less likely than expected before – particularly considering no real catalysts or speculative reports similar to those preceding January’s BOJ meeting indicating direct pointers towards imminent policy revisions.