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Wall Street, yields tread water as investors await Fed at Jackson Hole

Published 18/08/2023, 12:22 pm
© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: A man walks past an electronic board showing stock visualizations outside a brokerage, in Tokyo, Japan, March 17, 2023. REUTERS/Androniki Christodoulou

By Pete Schroeder

WASHINGTON (Reuters) -Wall Street ended mixed Friday and U.S. Treasury yields stabilized after a recent surge and as investors awaited further interest rate insight from the Federal Reserve next week.

Global shares were stuck around two-month lows and Wall Street indexes closed nearly flat and narrowly mixed. The Dow Jones Industrial Average ended up 0.08%, the S&P 500 dropped 0.01% and the Nasdaq Composite dipped 0.2%.

The MSCI world equity index, which tracks shares in 45 nations, was last down 0.24%.

Yields on benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasuries stepped back after flirting with 16-year highs earlier in the week. Investors expected the Fed may hold interest rates higher for longer as the U.S. economy continued to show strength.

"August historically has been a weak month for markets and it isn’t surprising that after a big rally to start the year, that investors would take a breather. The headlines haven’t changed all that much, but the lens with which investors are viewing those headlines has," said Blake Emerson (NYSE:EMR), global investment specialist at JP Morgan Private Bank.

Ten-year yields were last at 4.255%, after reaching 4.328% on Thursday. A break above the 4.338% level reached in October would have brought yields to their highest since November 2007.

The dollar index, which tracks the currency versus a basket of six competitors, was down 0.16%. But despite the daily dip, the greenback posted a fifth consecutive week of gains, its longest winning streak in 15 months.

Minutes this week from the Federal Reserve rate-setting July meeting showed most members of the rate-setting committee continued to see significant upside risks to inflation, suggesting more hikes are in the pipeline.

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Attention now turns to the Fed and other top central banks' annual gathering in Jackson Hole, Wyoming. Investors will scrutinise a speech from Fed Chair Jerome Powell next Friday for clues about the interest rate outlook.

"We view the event as a good opportunity for Powell to start laying the ground for the next step in the Fed's policy guidance: no longer focused on how many hikes to expect, but rather on rates remaining 'higher for longer,'" said TD Securities analysts in a note.

Markets are already scaling back rate cuts bets next year.

Oil prices rose, but posted a weekly decline, snapping a seven-week winning streak as China's slowing economic growth clouded the picture for demand.

For the day, Brent crude was up 0.77% at $84.85 a barrel. U.S. crude jumped 1.13% to $81.30 a barrel.

The yen was trading at 145.33 against the dollar, having been hammered this week to a nine-month low of 146.56 per dollar as yield differentials between the U.S. and Japan widened. It is near levels that sparked an intervention by Japanese authorities late last year.

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