Get 40% Off
👀 👁 🧿 All eyes on Biogen, up +4,56% after posting earnings. Our AI picked it in March 2024.
Which stocks will surge next?
Unlock AI-picked Stocks

Stocks backpedal from record highs on US payrolls, yields dip

Published 08/03/2024, 01:34 pm
Updated 09/03/2024, 09:03 am
© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: A man uses a smartphone in front of an electronic screen displaying Japan's Nikkei share average outside a brokerage in Tokyo, Japan March 4, 2024. REUTERS/Kim Kyung-Hoon/File Photo

By Alden Bentley and Huw Jones

NEW YORK/LONDON (Reuters) -Investors stretched record-breaking stock rallies on Friday, before Wall Street took profits, while U.S. Treasury yields dipped after not-too-hot, not-too-cold U.S. jobs data reinforced the conviction that the Federal Reserve will begin easing by mid-year.

Two U.S. stock indexes advanced into uncharted territory after the Labor Department said U.S. job growth accelerated in February, even as the unemployment rate jumped and wage gains moderated. The mixed report kept on the table an anticipated interest rate cut in June by the Fed.

But the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq reversed course while the Dow Jones Industrial Average did not reach a record high. The Dow fell 68.66 points, or 0.18%, to close at 38,722.69, the S&P 500 lost 33.67 points, or 0.65%, to close at 5,123.69 and the Nasdaq Composite lost 188.26 points, or 1.16%, to close at 16,085.11.

"I don't think this is anything other than taking a little money off the table. I don't think it does anything for the momentum," said Scott Wren, Senior Global Market strategist, Wells Fargo (NYSE:WFC) Investment Institute in St. Louis. "Now, do I think there's a probability we see a decent pull back, five or 10%, over the course of next month or two? I do."

With the widely anticipated payrolls number out of the way, attention immediately turned to next Tuesday's U.S. Consumer Price Index inflation report.

This week, central bankers from the United States and Europe raised expectations that cuts in borrowing costs will begin in the summer on both sides of the Atlantic, pushing stock indices to new highs again on Friday.

3rd party Ad. Not an offer or recommendation by Investing.com. See disclosure here or remove ads .

A day after the European Central Bank held rates steady, ECB policymaker Francois Villeroy de Galhau said there would be a rate cut in the spring, which he defined as from April until June 21, the date of the central bank's meeting that month.

Markets have priced in a Fed rate cut in June as well. Some traders even bet on a May rate cut by the Fed after U.S. employers added a surprisingly robust 275,000 jobs last month, even while figures for prior months were revised down to show fewer job gains.

"The immediate takeaway is the focus on the unemploymentrate going from 3.7% to 3.9%," said Robert Pavlik, senior portfolio manager at Dakota Wealth.

"More unemployment rate implies that the economy is slowing, which would, in the markets' view hopefully, necessitate a rate cut sooner rather than later."

MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe rose to its highest level ever then closed off 0.27%.

In Europe, the STOXX index of 600 companies hit a new lifetime high, ending just 0.02% higher, while Europe's broad FTSEuroFirst 300 index slipped 0.03%.

While central banks on both sides of the Atlantic manage expectations of exactly when they will start lowering borrowing costs, investors pushed up the yen after reports that Japan's central bank may begin hauling up rates from negative territory as soon as this month.

MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan went up 1.01%, while Japan's Nikkei rose 90.23 points, or 0.23%.

The dollar headed for its sharpest weekly drop of the year on the growing likelihood of lower borrowing costs.

3rd party Ad. Not an offer or recommendation by Investing.com. See disclosure here or remove ads .

Against the Japanese yen, the dollar weakened 0.66% to 147.05. The dollar index, a basket comprised of six currencies from major U.S. trade partners, fell 0.03%. Its largest component, the euro, fell 0.06% to $1.0939.

Hopes of rate cuts put downward pressure on U.S. government bond yields. The yield on benchmark U.S. 10-year notes fell to its lowest since Feb. 2 but in late trade was only down 0.3 basis points from Thursday at 4.089%.

The 2-year note yield, which typically moves in step with rate expectations, fell to its lowest since Feb. 7, and was last 2.4 basis points lower at 4.4902%.

German bund yields were on track to record their biggest weekly fall since mid-December on raised bets of an ECB cut in rates.

Spot gold logged another record and added 0.87% to $2,177.99 an ounce. U.S. gold futures gained 0.92% to $2,177.80 an ounce.

U.S. crude settled down 1.17% at $78.01 a barrel and Brent fell to $82.02 per barrel, down 1.12% to on the day.

In cryptocurrencies, bitcoin popped to a record high, after a three-day breather since setting its last one. It briefly topped $70,000 for the first time and was up 2.90% at $69,298.00 in late trade. Ethereum rose 2% at $3952.4.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.