🤑 It doesn’t get more affordable. Grab this 60% OFF Black Friday offer before it disappears…CLAIM SALE

UPDATE 1-Australia central bank keeps its cool in face of global turmoil

Published 12/02/2016, 10:40 am
Updated 12/02/2016, 10:50 am
© Reuters.  UPDATE 1-Australia central bank keeps its cool in face of global turmoil
AUD/USD
-

(Adds detail, quotes)

SYDNEY, Feb 12 (Reuters) - Australia should continue to grow at a moderate pace as a fall in mining investment is offset by growth elsewhere, and whether the current turmoil in global markets will scuttle this view remains to be seen, the country's top central banker said on Friday.

In opening remarks to the House of Representatives Standing Committee on Economics, Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Governor Glenn Stevens also reiterated there was scope to cut interest rates further if necessary.

"The fall in mining investment spending will continue for at least one more year, though it is probably having its most significant effect on the rate of growth now. Other areas of demand are expected to add to growth. The net effect of all this is likely to be continuing expansion at a moderate pace," Stevens told legislators in his twice-yearly testimony.

"One key question will be whether the recent financial turbulence itself will have a material negative effect on aggregate demand - in Australia or abroad. I don't expect that we will be able to answer that question for a little while yet."

Stevens said inflation is unlikely to be a problem over the next year or so, giving the RBA "flexibility to ease further, should that be helpful".

The RBA left the cash rate unchanged at a record low 2.0 percent last week, when it met for the first time in 2016. It has been on hold since the last cut in May.

He declined to give any guidance on the future level of the RBA's cash rate.

Stevens said record low rates and a weaker Australian dollar have helped to sustain growth, though he seemed to suggest the currency could fall even further.

"The Australian dollar is around the same level now as when we last met with the Committee, though commodity prices are lower," he said.

Last month, the Aussie fell below 69 U.S. cents to lows not seen since 2009. While it has stabilised around 71 cents, the decline from lofty peaks above $1.10 has helped fuel Australia's export competitiveness.

"In summary then, the economy is continuing to grow at a modest pace, in the face of considerable adjustment challenges. It has apparently been generating more employment growth and lower unemployment than we expected, while inflation has remained quite low," he said.

On Australia's biggest trading partner, China, Stevens noted it has become more of a concern for many observers.

"The more recent anxiety is probably best described as greater uncertainty over the intentions of Chinese policymakers and over whether they will be able to carry off the economic transition China needs. This anxiety has been reflected in capital flows," he said.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.