✂ Fed’s first rate cut since 2020: Use our free Stock Screener to find new opportunities fastExplore for FREE

UPDATE 7-Oil retreats from 8-week highs as rally pauses

Published 20/08/2016, 03:48 am
© Reuters.  UPDATE 7-Oil retreats from 8-week highs as rally pauses
MS
-
LCO
-
CL
-
DXY
-

* Oil has rallied nearly $10/bbl, or over 20 pct, in 2 weeks

* Brent notches third weekly gain, the most since April

* Analysts call rally unjustified, say rigs show rising glut (New throughout, updates prices and market activity, adds rise in U.S. oil rigs)

By Barani Krishnan

NEW YORK, Aug 19 (Reuters) - Oil prices dipped on Friday, edging back from eight-week highs, as market participants took profits from one of this year's strongest rallies in crude that analysts called fundamentally unjustified.

Crude futures have risen almost $10 a barrel, or more than 20 percent, in just over two weeks on speculation that Saudi Arabia and other members of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries will agree next month to a production freeze deal with non-OPEC producers led by Russia.

Technically, oil had been in a bear market early this month, but the rally turned it into a bull market by mid August.

"We would argue that improved fundamentals are not a key reason for the recent price bounce," analysts at Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) said in a note.

"Crude oil demand is anemic, gasoline demand has decelerated globally, and China crude oil imports are likely to decelerate," the analysts said, adding that supply could surprise to the upside in a number of countries.

Brent crude LCOc1 was down 24 cents, or 0.5 percent, to $50.67 per barrel by 1:33 p.m. EDT (1733 GMT). The session peak was $51.22, the highest since June 22.

U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) CLc1 crude was flat at $48.22 a barrel after reaching $48.75, its highest since July 5.

"We feel that this month's approximate $9 crude advance could easily be followed by an equivalent sized price decline next month," said Jim Ritterbusch of Chicago-based oil markets consultancy Ritterbusch & Associates.

"The U.S. production factor has taken on a more bearish appearance as the oil rig counts have increased appreciably," Ritterbusch said.

U.S. drillers this week added oil rigs for an eighth consecutive week, the longest recovery streak in the rig count in more than two years. showed Iraq has resumed pumping oil from fields operated by the state-run North Oil Company via a Kurdish pipeline to Turkey at a rate of around 70,000 barrels per day, with plans to double the volume next week. Libya, the National Oil Corporation began to load a tanker with crude at the country's eastern Zueitina port, which has been shut since November. dollar rose against a basket of currencies .DXY , making greenback-denominated oil more expensive to holders of other currencies.

OPEC will hold an informal meeting in Algeria next month with outside producers. Some have speculated about a production sharing deal.

Saudi Arabia has helped stoke that perception, after scuttling a similar plan in April. Many, including OPEC member Nigeria, do not think there will be a deal. TAKE A LOOK-World oil glut persists as global slowdown looms

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.