Get 40% Off
💰 Buffett reveals a $6.7B stake in Chubb. Copy the full portfolio for FREE with InvestingPro’s Stock Ideas toolCopy Portfolio

Investors wean themselves off oil as electric future beckons

Published 07/12/2017, 02:41 am
Updated 07/12/2017, 02:50 am
© Reuters.  Investors wean themselves off oil as electric future beckons
UK100
-
BAC
-
BP
-
SHEL
-
MBGn
-
NOKIA
-
NTRS
-
SDR
-
HG
-
LCO
-
UMI
-
TSLA
-
VOWG_p
-
STOXX
-
NMX
-
SXEP
-
SRL
-

* Oil and gas stocks lag European market: http://tmsnrt.rs/2AzaEb7

* European oil stocks' dividend yields: http://reut.rs/2ASWRx3

* Oil and gas ETF assets fall in 2017: http://reut.rs/2A0qD2J

* Investors seek diversification away from oil

* Battery makers, chipmakers show rapid growth

By Kit Rees and Helen Reid

LONDON, Dec 6 (Reuters) - European oil shares, having been for so long the dividend darlings of income funds, are losing their pulling power as investors take another look at the long term future of energy companies focused on fossil fuels.

A proposal by the world's largest $1 trillion sovereign wealth fund to ditch its oil and gas shares because of the volatile oil price, has highlighted the risks of being exposed to a sector which analysts say is in long term decline. are pulling money out of exchange traded funds (ETFs) tracking global oil and gas stocks. Net assets in oil and gas ETFs fell to their lowest in a year in November, to $21.9 billion, from a high of $24.4 billion in March, ETFGI data showed.

"In the long run, we have to reassess the oil and gas sector as an ex-growth or a sector going into decline," said Simon Webber, lead portfolio manager on the global and international equities team at Schroders (LON:SDR), who said he was underweight in the sector.

A combination of factors has put a question mark over the oil sector's desirability as an investment, chiefly environmental considerations and ambitions for a world powered by electric vehicles.

While the price of Brent crude LCOc1 has rallied this year to over $60 a barrel, from $27 in January 2016, the European oil & gas sector .SXEP has been a notable laggard.

3rd party Ad. Not an offer or recommendation by Investing.com. See disclosure here or remove ads .

The sector is down 3.5 percent in 2017 against a 6.5 percent gain for the pan-European STOXX 600 .STOXX index. That compares with a near-23 percent gain for oil shares in 2016.

Oil stocks are however, still popular for the income they generate through dividend payouts. Of the companies in the FTSE 100 .FTSE , BP BP.L and Royal Dutch Shell RDSa.L feature in the top 10 in terms of dividend yield.

Currently the FTSE 100 yields 3.8 percent, while the STOXX 600 yields 3.2 percent. By comparison, Shell and BP yield around 6 percent, while the highest yielding stock in the European tech sector is Nokia NOKIA.HE at 4.2 percent.

Shell recently announced it would return to paying cash dividends rather than dividends in shares, and would step up its investment in new energy which focuses on renewables. sharp fall in oil prices in 2014 prompted oil majors to curb investment in alternative energy technology. LAST HURRAH"

Bank of America (NYSE:BAC) Merrill Lynch's November European fund manager survey showed that oil was still the most popular sector. Though fund managers are beginning to rethink their oil exposure, they say the shift will be slow.

Gary Paulin, head of institutional brokerage, EMEA and APAC at Northern Trust (NASDAQ:NTRS) Capital Markets, expects another big spike in oil prices in the next two or three years.

"That will be the last hurrah, however, and then it will be the greatest short for the next 20 years," Paulin said.

Fund managers said they are diversifying their portfolios and looking to a future of electric vehicles.

3rd party Ad. Not an offer or recommendation by Investing.com. See disclosure here or remove ads .

Richard Robinson, manager of the Ashburton Global Energy Fund, has been buying battery makers in order to benefit from the demand for electric vehicles - even though he expects oil prices will continue to rise.

Robinson has bought into Albemarle ALB.N , Nemaska Lithium NMX.TO , Umicore UMI.BR and Clean Teq CLQ.AX . He has increased exposure to these lithium and cobalt companies, now accounting for up to 7.6 percent of his portfolio.

"It will be a while before it hurts oil demand but the growth that you see in these areas is very exciting," Robinson said. "We want to be investing wherever energy is going, not necessarily just oil."

Robinson is typical of many investors keen to ride the first wave of a fast growing sector while not betting the farm on its success.

This year a string of governments made commitments to phase out diesel and petrol engines. China, the world's largest car market, wants electric and plug-in hybrid cars to account for at least a fifth of total vehicle sales by 2025. Stanley expects there to be more than a billion electric vehicles on the road globally by 2050, reaching about 80 percent of global sales. Liberum expects battery demand will grow 20 times by 2025.

European carmakers Volkswagen VOWG_p.DE and Daimler DAIGn.DE are ramping up their investment in electric cars while Tesla TSLA.O is cranking up production. in battery maker Umicore UMI.BR have risen 45 percent this year and chipmakers are also among the big gainers.

3rd party Ad. Not an offer or recommendation by Investing.com. See disclosure here or remove ads .

Northern Trust Capital Markets' Paulin is a fan of Umicore, and has reassessed his view on miners given the high content of copper, aluminium, nickel and lithium in electric vehicles.

"We've reached the tipping point in EV proliferation," Paulin said. "We're looking at ways of how you get exposure to that."

<^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^ Net new assets in oil and gas ETFs

http://reut.rs/2A0qD2J Oil Stocks Dividend Yield

http://reut.rs/2ASWRx3

^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^>

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.