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In this week’s newsletter, we’re going to provide you with an inflation update based on some of last week’s important data releases and also share some general thoughts on risk...
The recent failure of two US banks, SVB and Signature, have understandably triggered a major re-appraisal of Fed tightening prospects. This has seen two-year EUR/USD swap rate differentials move to...
The S&P 500 closed down 1.8% yesterday led by financials (-4%). Heavy losses for SVB Financial (NASDAQ:SIVB), a California-based lender to the venture capital industry, are raising questions over...
Fed Chair Powell opened the door to a 50bp hike and hinted at a higher peak rate in his semi-annual testimony. This was a reminder that picking the top in the dollar rally remains too risky....
USD/JPY is picking up some upside momentum once again after BOJ leadership candidate Kazuo Ueda appeared in front of parliament last week. He supported the current ultra-loose monetary policy as...
Most macro commentary focuses on the US. But over the last few months, the real golden kid has been Europe.Recently, the euro has appreciated 10%+ against the US Dollar, macro data seems to suggest a...
USD: A delicate balance Another day and another piece of positive US activity data. Yesterday saw a strong January retail sales release. Though boosted by warmer weather, the data still positively...
DXY sure looks like it is consolidating for another leg higher as EUR breaks down: AUD has little head and shoulders top:Gold held on. If oil is forming an uptrend then pain is the name of the...
Jay Powell did not rock markets as he acknowledged more strong data can imply a higher peak rate but still appeared to be hanging on to the disinflation story. The dollar still faces moderate upside...
It was a huge DXY and EUR reversal Friday night: AUD was vapourised:Markets are still short:All commodities puked:Miners (ASX:RIO) did a bit better:EM stocks (NYSE:EEM) fell:Junk (NYSE:HYG)...
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