Market Overview

Fears of a US recession in the near term have faded recently, but rate cuts are still on the agenda. The combination of a robust economy and expectations for monetary easing strike some observers as...

Pagliacci (Clowns, 1892) is an opera in a prologue and two acts with music and libretto by Ruggero Leoncavallo. The play tells the tragedy of a jealous husband and his wife in a commedia dell'arte...

Corporate insiders are about as bearish on the future prospects of earnings and stock prices as ever before. And there is plenty of evidence suggesting inflation remains sticky. Certainly, it’s...

Companies aren’t so worried that they’re letting a lot of people go, but they’re also not so confident that they’re hiring a lot of people. This post, an excerpt from my new Bloomberg Opinion piece,...

The Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) recently released its second-quarter GDP report for 2024, showcasing a 2.96% growth rate. This number has sparked discussions among investors and analysts,...

The CPI report came in hotter than expected for the headline and core CPI metrics. CPI swap pricing did a good job of predicting the headline inflation rate. As a result, yesterday’s report has led...

Economic output for the US remains on track to increase at a robust pace in the government’s upcoming third quarter GDP report scheduled for Oct. 30, based on the median nowcast via several sources...

The highly anticipated U.S. September CPI report comes out tomorrow. Headline annual inflation is seen rising by 2.3% and core CPI is forecast to increase by 3.2%. Investors should brace for...

There are several reasons for downplaying the recent recession warnings. Last week’s dramatically stronger-than-expected rise in September payrolls is one. The revival of US money supply growth in...

Through the years, I have attempted to explain to those reading my missives that believing that any entity has control over the market is absolutely absurd. And, no matter how many empirical examples...

You've worked hard, nailed your trades, and raked in those profits, so the last thing you need is a prop firm saying "DENIED!" Let's make sure you stay on the winning side with these 10 easy steps to...

Investors will be laser-focused on inflation and the kickoff of third-quarter earnings in the week ahead. The release of October's Consumer Price Index (CPI) report takes center stage, providing...

On September 18, 2024, the headlines read the Fed cut the Fed Funds rate by 50 basis points. At first blush, one would think that a trader with a crystal ball a couple of days before the Fed action...

Despite challenges from a strong currency, Switzerland's economy remains strong, with significant industrial growth driven by specialized sectors. This resilience contrasts with stagnation seen in...