Cyber Monday Deal: Up to 60% off InvestingProCLAIM SALE

Earnings call: VolitionRx reports robust growth in Q3, eyes cash neutrality by 2025

Published 16/11/2024, 08:48 am
VNRX
-

VolitionRx Limited (NYSE: VNRX), a multi-national epigenetics company that applies its Nucleosomics platform to develop simple, easy to use, cost-effective blood tests to help diagnose a range of cancers and other diseases, has reported a significant increase in sales and revenue in its Third Quarter 2024 Earnings Conference Call held on November 15, 2024.

The company's Nu.Q Vet cancer tests saw a substantial increase in sales, contributing to a 100% year-to-date revenue growth. VolitionRx also provided updates on advancements in human diagnostics and expressed confidence in achieving cash neutrality by 2025.

Key Takeaways

  • VolitionRx's year-to-date revenue grew by 100%, with a quarterly increase of 307%, totaling approximately $730,000 from veterinary kits.
  • Sales of Nu.Q Vet cancer tests surpassed 110,000 in the first three quarters of 2024, nearly doubling the total sales of 2023.
  • The company is on track for cash neutrality by 2025, with a reported $1 million in revenue for the nine months ending September 30, 2024.
  • Significant progress has been made in human diagnostics, with a large lung cancer detection study under peer review and a prospective validation study to begin in Taiwan.
  • Partnerships with companies like Fujifilm and Heska (NASDAQ:HSKA) have been successful in launching the Nu.Q Vet test in various markets.

Company Outlook

  • VolitionRx anticipates roughly $6 million in revenues for the next year, with a conservative estimate given the positive momentum in expansion across 17 countries.
  • The company aims for each business segment to support itself financially by 2025, with further decreases in operating expenses anticipated.
  • Two major publications related to human cancer studies are expected by the end of Q4 2023 and early Q1 2024, which could support future licensing opportunities.

Bearish Highlights

  • The company noted that revenue can be unpredictable at this stage, with fluctuations in sales as they establish a smoother revenue trend.
  • Current sales figures include both stocking and sell-through, making it challenging to provide precise guidance.

Bullish Highlights

  • The potential market for their canine screening test is substantial, targeting 25 million dogs in the U.S. alone.
  • The company is confident about future growth driven by product demand and strategic partnerships.
  • Significant interest from large pharmaceutical companies has been garnered for the Nu.Q Discover platform.

Misses

  • There were no specific misses reported during the call.

Q&A Highlights

  • The Q&A session emphasized the company’s growth and innovation in both veterinary and human health diagnostics.
  • Management expressed excitement about the upcoming presentation in Japan and the growth of the Nu.Q product line.
  • The team is optimistic about securing licensing deals and leveraging strong data to attract industry players.

VolitionRx Limited's Q3 earnings call highlighted their remarkable sales growth, particularly in the veterinary sector, and outlined the company's strategic direction towards financial self-sufficiency and expansion into the human diagnostics market. With key partnerships and ongoing studies, the company is poised for continued innovation and growth in the diagnostics field.

InvestingPro Insights

VolitionRx Limited's (NYSE: VNRX) recent earnings call paints a picture of a company on the cusp of significant growth, particularly in its veterinary diagnostics segment. This narrative is supported by several key metrics and insights from InvestingPro.

According to InvestingPro data, VNRX has demonstrated impressive revenue growth, with an 88.32% increase over the last twelve months as of Q2 2024. This aligns closely with the company's reported 100% year-to-date revenue growth mentioned in the earnings call. The quarterly revenue growth of 82.98% in Q2 2024 further underscores the company's accelerating sales trajectory, particularly in its Nu.Q Vet cancer tests.

InvestingPro Tips highlight that analysts anticipate sales growth in the current year, which corroborates VolitionRx's optimistic outlook for future revenues. This expectation is likely fueled by the company's expanding market presence across 17 countries and the growing adoption of its veterinary diagnostic tests.

Despite the positive sales momentum, it's important to note that VolitionRx is not yet profitable, as indicated by another InvestingPro Tip. The company's operating income for the last twelve months stands at -$32.77 million, reflecting the substantial investments being made in research and development, as well as market expansion. This aligns with the company's strategy to prioritize growth and market penetration over immediate profitability.

The strong return over the last three months, as mentioned in an InvestingPro Tip, suggests that investors are recognizing the company's potential. With a 26.32% price total return over the past three months, the market appears to be responding positively to VolitionRx's progress and future prospects.

For investors seeking a more comprehensive analysis, InvestingPro offers additional tips and insights that could provide a deeper understanding of VolitionRx's financial health and market position. In fact, there are 8 additional InvestingPro Tips available for VNRX, which could offer valuable perspectives on the company's investment potential.

As VolitionRx continues to expand its product line and move towards its goal of cash neutrality by 2025, these financial metrics and analyst insights from InvestingPro provide a valuable complement to the company's reported earnings, offering investors a more rounded view of its current performance and future potential.

Full transcript - Volitionrx Ltd (NYSE:VNRX) Q3 2024:

Operator: Good day, ladies and gentlemen. Thank you for standing by. Welcome to VolitionRx Limited's Third Quarter 2024 Earnings Conference Call. During today's presentation, all parties will be in a listen-only mode. Following the presentation, the conference call will be opened for questions. If you have a question, please press the star key followed by the number one on your touch-tone phone. If you would like to withdraw your question, please press the star key followed by the number two. If you are using speaker equipment, please lift the handset before making your selections. This conference is being recorded today, November 15, 2024. Now, I would like to turn the conference call over to Louise Batchelor, Group Chief Marketing and Communications Officer. Please go ahead.

Louise Batchelor: Thank you, and welcome everyone to today's earnings conference call for VolitionRx Limited. Before we begin, I would like to remind everyone that some of the information discussed on this conference call will include forward-looking statements covered under the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These statements are based on our beliefs as well as assumptions we have used based upon information currently available to us. Because these statements reflect our current views concerning future events, these statements involve risks, uncertainties, and assumptions. Actual future results may vary significantly based on a number of factors that may cause the actual results or events to be materially different from future results, performance, or achievements expressed or implied by these statements. We have identified various risk factors associated with our operation in our most recent annual report on Form 10-K, quarterly reports on Form 10-Q, and other filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. We do not undertake an obligation to update any forward-looking statement made during the course of this call. Dr. Tom Butera, Chief Executive Officer of our Nu.Q Vet subsidiary, will open the call today, providing the key highlights for Nu.Q Vet for the third quarter and indeed the year to date. He will then pass over to Dr. Andrew Retter, Chief Medical (TASE:PMCN) Officer, who will cover some significant progress from the innovation lab R&D and clinical team. Chief Financial Officer, Terig Hughes, will then provide the financial report, and Cameron Reynolds, President and Group Chief Executive Officer, will wrap up with a summary and look ahead to upcoming milestones. We will then open the conference call to a question and answer session. And with that, I'll turn the call over to Tom.

Tom Butera: Thanks, Lou. Thank you everyone for joining Volition's Third Quarter 2024 Earnings Call today. As Cameron always says, we appreciate your time given the busy earnings season. November is Pet Cancer Awareness Month, and so I'm especially honored to open the call today. I'm delighted to report that we have now sold over 110,000 Nu.Q Vet cancer tests in the first three quarters of 2024 versus 58,000 in the whole of last year, 2023. You've heard me say it many times. Our test is a simple, affordable, easy-to-use blood screening test. It can be integrated easily into preventive care programs and used alongside other routine blood work during regular wellness visits. By detecting cancer early, we can help to improve and extend the lives of millions of dogs and keep that special member of the family with us longer. Our Nu.Q Vet cancer test is now available in 17 countries and counting. Our revenue growth is accelerating quarter on quarter. Year-to-date revenue growth is 100%, while in this quarter, revenue was up 307% each versus the same periods of 2023. Year-to-date, revenue of our veterinary kits' key components is approximately $730,000. We don't have time to discuss each and every distributor of our Nu.Q Vet Cancer test, but this quarter, I'd like to specifically mention three. First, Fujifilm with X Systems. Fuji launched nationwide this quarter in July, and I am delighted to say that already almost 10% of their veterinarians have ordered Nu.Q test. A very rapid market penetration. Thanks so much to the Fuji team and my colleague in particular, Jasmine Quay, for their dedicated efforts in Japan. Next (LON:NXT) up, Petzlai, Poland. Again, a fairly recent addition to our stable also launching the test this past July. They have made a great impact in the local market, which includes a few countries they also service around Poland. Dr. Heather Wilson Robles, Volition Vet Chief Medical Officer, has been invited to speak next week on Nu.Q Vet at Poland's largest veterinary conference where many veterinarians will be in attendance. VetLab's website and marketing efforts are top-notch. So many kudos and congratulations to them on their hard work. And last but not least, Heska, which is now a Mars Antech company, has worldwide distribution channels in numerous markets under the new brand of Antech. Antech has made significant progress introducing Nu.Q Vet on the Element I Plus in-hospital instrument around the world. It is now available in 15 countries and counting. We have received some fantastic testimonials, and given November is Pet Cancer Awareness Month, Antech has generated a great deal of activity promoting Nu.Q's early cancer screening test. In particular, I'd like to highlight an upcoming Antech webinar with Dr. Sue Ettinger, a long-time world-renowned veterinary oncologist and strong advocate of our Nu.Q Vet Cancer test. Dr. Ettinger is now the proud user of the Element I Plus in her own veterinary hospital. I was delighted to join Chief Medical Officer Dr. James Barr and other members of the Antech team this week at some launch events in the UK, including multiple presentations of Nu.Q at the London Vet Show yesterday. It's a testament to our close collaboration and was a real honor, so thank you to the Antech team. I have the pleasure now of handing over to Dr. Andrew Retter, Chief Medical Officer on our human side of the business. But before I do, I'd like to thank Andy for joining me and meeting with the Antech team yesterday. Here at Volition, we are in a pretty unique position when it comes to the critically important topic of one medicine, which connects and shares veterinary and human clinical advancements for the betterment of the human and animal world. It was really terrific for Andy to share insights from our human research with Dr. James Barr and to discuss the ways in which discoveries across our human and veterinary pillars not only for cancer but including diseases such as sepsis might help both companies in their missions to help improve and save lives. Thanks, Andy, for your time. And now I'll turn the call over to you.

Andrew Retter: Thanks, Tom. And thanks for the opportunity to meet the Antech team and experience the London Vet Show yesterday. Good morning, everybody. From the human side of the business, I'm incredibly proud of the progress we have made from an innovation, scientific, and clinical perspective across both Nu.Q Net and Nu.Q Cancer Pillars in recent months. Not all of this progress is publicly reportable yet. Manuscripts take time to be written, reviewed, and published. But we have certainly added to our data rooms in a very meaningful way in the last year. It's interesting. Tom mentioned Pet Cancer Awareness Month, as it is also Lung Cancer Awareness Month in November. So I'll begin with lung cancer in my update today. Lung cancer is the leading cause of cancer-related deaths worldwide, accounting for the highest mortality rates among men. In the US, it kills three times as many men as prostate cancer and three times as many women as breast cancer. Typically, lung cancer is diagnosed in an advanced stage where treatment options are limited and limited to palliative life-prolonging, not curative options. While there have been some welcome advances in early detection of lung cancer, methods such as low-dose CT scanning have high levels of false positive results resulting in the need for a follow-up biopsy and further investigations for patients. In scientific terms, low-dose CT is highly sensitive but not very specific. In simple terms, it's useful in identifying lumps and bumps or nodules but isn't very precise in identifying whether they are cancerous or benign. Therefore, biopsies are commonly used to confirm the diagnosis and detect lung cancer. They are invasive, uncomfortable for patients, time-consuming, and expensive. Therefore, there is a real need for a low-cost noninvasive method to help differentiate between benign and malignant lung nodules. This is precisely the clinical question the team at the National Taiwan University is trying to answer, and they made real progress this quarter with the submission of their manuscript for peer review. Unfortunately, the paper is not yet in the public domain, and I'm unable to report further details other than to say it's a large prospective study of approximately 800 low-dose CT positive for high-risk patients. Subsequent to quarter end, and thanks to all the hard work of Jasmine Quay and others, a contract has been signed for a 500-patient prospective validation study taking place in the real-world setting of the National Taiwan University Hospital and the National Taiwan University Hospital Cancer Center. The validation study set to begin before year-end and complete in the fourth quarter of 2025 could, according to Professor Chen, the department chief, if successful, lead to the inclusion of Nu.Q cancer tests in the Taiwan National Lung Cancer Screening Program. This work could have implications not only for Taiwan's screening program but potentially other programs throughout Asia and beyond. Sticking with lung cancer for a moment, but looking beyond screening disease progression, our colleagues from Lyon presented an interesting poster at the European Society of Clinical Oncology meeting in September. As a reminder, the Lyon team has a number of studies across different cancers and different stages of cancer, from diagnosis to treatment response to detect minimal residual disease and the surveillance of disease recurrence. Key findings presented at ESMO 2024 demonstrate Nu.Q is predictive of survival, independent of treatment and mutation status, alerts on the risk of early progression, and identifies a subset of patients who may benefit from immunotherapy. For more information, please do check out the resources section of our website and watch this space for further clinical papers from the Lyon team. Lastly, from an oncology perspective, the research and development team have made some significant progress on the use of Nu.Q in the diagnosis of a range of solid cancers. Dr. Jake McAuliffe is busy completing the manuscript for peer review and publication. Hopefully more on that project next time. We have had an incredibly exciting, busy, and productive few months with Nu.Q NETs too. In September, we hosted our second key opinion leader workshop focusing on the use of Nu.Q NETs in sepsis. We were extremely fortunate to have four of the authors of the seminal sepsis three definition paper participating. During the meeting, data was presented from many centers of excellence together with confidential work completed by my colleagues at our innovation lab in California. The focus of the discussion helped shape our first satellite symposium meeting at the world's largest intensive care conference, ESICM, held last month. The symposium explores research findings from three large independent studies carried out at centers of excellence in France, Germany, and the Netherlands, involving more than 14,000 samples from over 3,000 patients admitted to intensive care with sepsis. All three clinical studies use Volition's Nu.Q NETs test to measure levels of circulating H3.1 nucleosomes in the bloodstream, a surrogate marker for neutrophil extracellular traps. The findings of these studies, summarized subsequently in a report available on our website, clearly and consistently show that elevated levels of circulating H3.1 nucleosomes in sepsis predict a potentially dysregulated host immune response. High H3.1 nucleosome levels are associated with an increased risk of mortality, increased risk of renal failure, increased risk of severe respiratory failure, increased risk of multiple organ failure, and strongly correlate with septic shock. As a clinician, to know that sepsis patients with an elevated H3.1 level on admission to intensive care are at greater risk of deteriorating means we can act fast to save lives. Professor Djillali Annane, a world leader in the field of sepsis management and research, talked about using the Nu.Q NETs test to measure elevated H3.1 nucleosome levels as a treatable trait in sepsis management and how, in his opinion, it could be a game changer in modifying a patient's trajectory. Just to clarify, in case the term treatable trait is new to you, the thinking here is at a very practical level the Nu.Q test could be clinically actionable as a therapeutic target. A result above a certain threshold would drive clinical decision-making. From a publication perspective, we are again making strong progress. Ashbury et al., entitled "Understanding Complex Chromatin Dynamics of Primary Human Neutrophils During PMA-Induced Neutrophil Extracellular Trap Formation," was recently published, and a subsequent follow-on paper, so to speak, by Cafford et al., has recently been submitted for peer review in addition to a methods paper by Bag from our Belgian research and development team. The scientific papers demonstrating the strong validity of our work find a firm foundation to support our clinical studies and have proved to be of notable interest not only to the key opinion leaders and clinicians attending ESICM but also to our potential licensing partners. So often, we like to know why; knowing simply what is not always enough. Lastly, manuscripts for two of the large studies described here are close to submission for peer review and subsequent publication, so our communication team has certainly been kept very busy in recent months. In summary, the Nu.Q NETs pillar has reported impressive data and has generated powerful advocacy. Our oncology data room has also been significantly strengthened this year. Both sepsis and oncology indications have certainly generated a great deal of interest from key industry players in the diagnostic space and potential license partners, but more of an update on commercial negotiations from Cameron. With that, thank you very much for your attention this morning. I will now pass you over to Terig for our financial report.

Terig Hughes: Thank you, Andrew. Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining the call today. As previously announced, our goal is to be cash neutral in 2025, meaning income matches expenditure on a cash basis. And I'm delighted to report that across a range of financial indicators, we have made significant progress towards this target throughout this year. In 2024, we have recorded $1 million in revenue in the nine-month period ending September 30, a growth of 96% over the same period of 2023. Great to finally hit that milestone. And positively, revenue is starting to ramp up, with a year-on-year growth rate in the quarter of 187% with revenue of $475,000 recorded in the third quarter. This was driven primarily by the sales of Nu.Q Vet Cancer Test, which saw growth rates of 100% year-to-date and 307% for the third quarter versus the prior year. As Tom said earlier, we have now sold more than 110,000 Nu.Q Vet cancer tests and test components in the first three quarters of 2024, almost double what we sold in the whole of 2023. A great effort and well done to the team and our distributors. From an expenditure perspective, we have significantly reduced operating expenses, which were 28% lower compared to the same quarter last year, as our cost reduction measures discussed previously took effect. As a result of both the higher revenues and reduced costs, cash used in operating activities was $5.4 million in the third quarter of 2024, down 36% year on year. Cash and cash equivalents at the end of the quarter totaled approximately $5.4 million, and subsequent to quarter end, we received a commitment of over $2.2 million of non-dilutive funding. As you are aware, throughout the company's history, we have been successful in securing non-dilutive funding on favorable terms, and it is encouraging that we have already received indications that similar funding is anticipated in quarter one of 2025. So to summarize the finance report, all indicators are positive this quarter. Revenue is up, and indeed, growth rates are increasing. Cash used in operations is significantly reduced, down by 36% versus the same period in 2023. We continue to receive non-dilutive funding support. Our goal to be cash neutral in 2025 is progressing well, supported by progress in our licensing discussions. With that, I will pass over to Cameron for a commercial update.

Cameron Reynolds: Thanks, Terig, and thanks, Tom and Andy, for your insightful reports. The whole team has achieved a tremendous amount in 2024, and the pace has really picked up across not only the financial indicators but all the product pillars in the third quarter. Our near-term focus is to secure our first licensing deal in the human clinical space, and I'm pleased to report that given the strong data, there is great interest, and the team continues to progress discussions with multiple key industry players. The nature of these potential licensing and/or supply agreements is both broad and complex. As you can imagine, there are a range of options we are discussing. Understandably, the nature of all these meetings and interactions are strictly confidential in nature, so obviously, I cannot provide any more detailed information until one is signed and can be made public. Suffice it to say, we are advancing several active commercial discussions with significant players in the diagnostic space in human and animal health, including large markets such as sepsis and oncology liquid biopsy. We have accumulated a lot of expertise from our various successful licensing and supply negotiations for Nu.Q Vet, which have helped us as we move towards commercializing some of our other technologies such as, but not limited to, Nu.Q NETs, Nu.Q Capture, and PCR. It is indeed an exciting time as we work to push our technologies up the value curve and maximize the monetization of our IP, be that through payments for exclusivity, milestone payments, and ongoing licensing revenues. We believe this strategy will provide us with ongoing revenue and very meaningful milestone payments, as we achieved in our biggest vet deal. I look forward to providing more color and detail in the coming months. This is a critical next few quarters for our company. I think it is very fair to say that we have now developed a technology platform that has already been a breakthrough in veterinary oncology and looks very likely we will also make a significant contribution to both human oncology and human sepsis. We now have evidence to support the use of our platforms across a range of clinical applications with high unmet needs. It is low cost, robust, and reproducible. Now we need to commercialize our technology as quickly as well as possible to make our technology accessible worldwide. If successful, this would clearly support our mission of saving lives and improving outcomes for millions of people and animals worldwide. Our strategy to achieve this has been to raise as much non-dilutive funding as possible, ramp revenues, cut costs, and sign commercial deals with large industry players. The human commercial deals are the final part of this long journey to complete our mission, and we remain focused. And last, but certainly not least, in drawing our prepared remarks to a close, I'd like to welcome our newly appointed chair, Mr. Timothy Still, an independent director, and Dr. Ethel Ruben Tuvalisian. Both Tim and Ethel have tremendous experience in the diagnostic sector from both a commercial and financial perspective, and I'm sure they'll both be real assets to the company. Thank you again for joining our call today. We very much appreciate it. We will now take your questions. Operator?

Operator: Thank you. We will now be conducting a question and answer session. The confirmation code will indicate your line is in the question queue. You may press star two to remove your question from the queue. Lift your handset before pressing the star keys. One moment please while we poll for your questions. Our first question has come from the line of Jason Colber with DeBorrow Capital. Please proceed with your questions.

Jason Colber: Good morning. Congratulations. The numbers look exciting. Can you talk a little bit about what the dynamics are on the ground in Japan? What percent, I know you've mentioned this, but remind me kind of what the penetration rate is among the veterinary clinics and how big that market could be?

Cameron Reynolds: Yeah. Thank you, Jason. And, hey, we're very excited by the numbers too. As Terig so correctly pointed out, all the indicators are going in the right direction. And we're very excited about the deals in the human space. Yeah. Fuji has been absolutely fantastic. They're quite a good organization so far as they've got the plates working incredibly well in their labs. And they've been extremely good at marketing it to the vets. And they're by far the biggest Japanese group in the vet space. The number given was that it's been ordered by 10% of their vets. As far as numbers of dogs go, it is quite a big market. It's as big as the United States. But there, it would be equivalent to a state like California or one of the bigger US states. But they do spend a lot on their dogs. They're very organized, and Japan, as you know, is quite a homogeneous country and a small country, so it's easy to service. We've been very impressed with Fuji's ability to run the test and actually get out there proactively. So we'll see. But, you know, it always does take. These things are one vet at a time. But they are very conscientious. And they've really put their shoulder into the wheel. So we've been extremely happy with our Japanese colleagues. And I think there's a vet show coming up in Japan soon, and we're presenting there as well. So it's been a very close relationship and one we're very happy with.

Jason Colber: Can you talk a little bit about, I know you haven't given guidance per se, but you know, we have a very modest ramp up. You know, we're only looking at about modestly $6 million in revenues for Nu.Q next year. That number is starting to look low based on the ramp and where you're at. Any thoughts about how big this could be?

Cameron Reynolds: That's a good question for our Chief Financial Officer who happens to be here. Terig?

Terig Hughes: Yes. So, you're right. The ramp looks very strong at the moment. And, yeah, we are very encouraged by the positive progress that we've made to date and the fact that we're now in 17 countries and, yeah, the progress that we've made with partners like Fuji and Antech is very exciting. As we've said previously, the revenue can be quite lumpy at this stage in the revenue ramp, so it is difficult for us to provide meaningful revenue guidance at this stage. Yes. Suffice to say, we are very happy with the progress. We also couldn't forget about Nu.Q Discover, where we've also developed a very strong pipeline with dozens of clients now and some very large pharma companies.

Andrew Retter: I think to go back to your question about the size, we do know that there are 80 million dogs in the US. And our target market for this screening test is 25 million, I believe. So, the opportunity is very large, and the rest of the world on top of the US, the rest of the world is probably a similar amount again. So, yeah, we are looking ultimately to ramp this up into millions of tests a year over the next couple of years.

Cameron Reynolds: And, Jason, I think one important thing to sort of mention is the increase in revenue ramp has been very good, but it is hand to hand one vet at a time. It's a very new product. We're the only product out there at the moment in the vet screening market, so I think we've got a strong position. But don't forget, I think the big story in the next hopefully few months and quarters is the licensing, which if we structure it a little differently, would also come in as revenue when we are expecting some large payments. We are out licensing. I could not be prouder of the number of companies that are interested, large brand name companies in oncology, large brand name international diagnostic companies. Also, we're licensing looking to license the A10 in the vet space in dogs, which we've only licensed the plates and the point of care. I think a key picture, the ramp is lumpy. It's going very well so far, and we expect to have a very good year next year. There might be some quarters which are better and some are worse. But I think what's going to really hit it out of the park for us is when we find another big licensing deal. And as I said, we've been around a long time. We've never really had anyone near this interest in what we have. Andy, as you could hear, is incredibly excited about the sepsis data, and our key opinion leaders are very encouraged with all the things we're seeing in lung cancer. We're also speaking to several national screening programs. We mentioned Taiwan. We're also obviously looking in Europe and other ones in Asia. I think there's a possibility we're in one or two national screening programs in the next four months as well. So with the package, it's really all coming together, and I think that'll feed through to the revenue side. But it's pretty hard to say exact numbers right now, but all signals are pointing in the right direction, and we're very happy and positive with the licensing discussion so far.

Jason Colber: I'm sitting here with canine Luna. So on behalf of canine Luna, thank you. We're very appreciative, and I know you've waited a long time to get to this point. It's very exciting. So I look forward to seeing the growth.

Cameron Reynolds: Thank you, Jason. Now we're very excited too, and we're working extremely hard to make sure we commercialize properly and save as many dogs as we can as quickly as we can. Right. Thank you.

Operator: Thank you. Our next question has come from the line of Ilya Zubkov with Freedom Broker. Please proceed with your question.

Ilya Zubkov: Good morning, and thank you for taking my question. So I have a question on the cash neutrality in 2025. So considering your plan to be cash neutral next year, does it mean that all business segments individually should be self-sufficient in terms of financing?

Terig Hughes: That's a good question. I mean, what that is what we're aiming for is trying to get each of the pillars to support itself. One of the key things, as Cameron just mentioned, will be the licensing agreements that we're currently working on. What we've said is we expect to be cash flow neutral as opposed to P&L neutral. And that's a part of why we say that is because it depends on the nature of the licensing deals and how we structure those as to whether that's recognized as revenue as opposed to recognized over a longer period. So that is the goal is to get that revenue ramped up. It's to get licensing in the oncology portfolio and licensing in the sepsis portfolio. And at that point, yes, we would then expect that each of the pillars is supporting itself from a cash flow point of view.

Cameron Reynolds: And I think if you're exactly right, Terig, and if you discover, we've got a lot of, I think, there are dozens of groups now we've now sold to. It's dependent on the very big revenue coming down to a few big brand name companies who we're in negotiations with to help with. So I think it's a very good chance that's actually cash flow positive from revenue. I think the same from Vets. So the ramping in the cost. So I think that's very positive just from actual sales. At Nu.Q NET, and the oncology section as we talked about, we've got a lot of deals in discussion. We're in front of a lot of players. We've hired pharma ventures on the oncology side. So those being cash flow neutral are based on the licensing deals, but we're confident given all the interest that that is certainly possible in 2025. And there are separate, obviously, discussions going on with a range of companies in sepsis and oncology and our technology. We've been around quite a while. And they've all come good at the same time. So that's where the focus really is on now as an organization. Getting some human deals and the process as I said, we're also looking to license the A10 to some of the big vet companies as well, which could also be an item which could also bring in some money in the next few months or quarters as well. With the package, I think it's a very reasonable target and one which we're working very strongly towards.

Ilya Zubkov: Thank you. That's a great color. And so I see that Pelican is doing a good work in cash spending reduction, and I'm curious if we should anticipate further decrease in operational expenses in the nearest quarters.

Terig Hughes: Yeah. We're very happy with the direction that things are going at the moment. You're right. We've reduced operating expenses. We've ramped up revenues, and cash flow is down in the quarter, down 36% compared to the prior year. We do expect that to continue to come down modestly between now and the end of the year. And the goal is then to keep it at a modest rate so that we can achieve that goal next year of being cash flow neutral.

Cameron Reynolds: And just on that from a chief executive's point of view, it's been actually, it's a balance I think we've handled very well. Obviously, when you're cutting 36% of expenses and a lot of personnel, it's never a pleasant or easy thing to do. But it's been critical to do. I think in this organization, we've really tried to make sure that we don't cut into the bone because we're going to be successful not just from cutting, but from being successful in the revenue ramp and licensing. So we think we've done a good job at keeping the current people that we really need on board and making sure that we get the revenue ramp and the licensing deals. And as you can tell, we're writing a large amount of papers and hosting symposiums to get to Dr. Julianon. You probably heard that this could well be a breakthrough. We've got to keep doing that kind of work. So it's a balance between cutting but keeping the ship moving forward. And as of now, I think we've done a very good job, and we'll try to make sure we continue on that through the year. Because we'll be judged from now on the success of the revenue ramp and the licensing. So it's a balance, and I think one we've done and we'll have to keep that going.

Ilya Zubkov: Great. Thank you very much.

Operator: Thank you. Our next question has come from the line of Steven Ralston with Zacks. Please proceed with your questions.

Steven Ralston: Good morning. Or afternoon. Morning. Congratulations on the real traction you made in the sales of the Nu.Q Vet Test in the third quarter, and I'm trying to get a handle on the tone of the ramp-up. You mentioned that you led with Japan and Antech is delivering it to 15 different countries. Are these fields basically stocking? Stocking sales? Do you have some sort of metric that looks at how many old versus how many of the tests have been processed?

Terig Hughes: So that's a good question, Steven. And it's a mix. There's some part that will be stocking as Antech rolls out its machines, its point-of-care machines. And some part is clearly sell-through. As we said, we've had some good feedback from our distributors. And in Japan and Poland, some of the newer distributors in Poland have given us very good feedback that they're getting good uptake. Because we deal through distributors, it is difficult for us to understand exactly what the sell-through is at any one point in time. And that's why we're sort of cautious in giving guidance. And so we say there it is. It can still be a bit lumpy. As you've seen this year. It's difficult to forecast what the next quarter is going to be.

Cameron Reynolds: I think, Steven, that's a very good question. Obviously, it's something we've thought about a lot. There is obviously a large element of stocking in every quarter, but that goes back all the quarters. So this quarter is no different. Every quarter, we think maybe this is the one where it pauses a bit or goes back a bit while sort of selling the ones that have stocked, but that's been going for a few months now. I'm sure of the quarters and the next few quarters that is going to happen because there's a balance between the stocking and selling, but as we said, there's a lot of different people out there selling and stocking. We're also hoping to augment it with some good revenue in Nu.Q Discover. We've got some great very large companies using our technology on that platform as well. So there will be a pause in one of the quarters, I'm sure, or even a little backwards, but we'll hopefully fill it up with Discover. But also what's going to be really key for us is signing some deals. Because as I said, we are potentially another one in the vet space. We're working very hard in the sepsis and oncology space. We think we've got something very special. So what I think hits us out of the park is one of those getting done with a very big company, and that will finally provide the validation in the human space that we've very much now got in the vet space. So a mixture of all of those things, I think it should be a very good year next year for us.

Steven Ralston: Just to continue, is there a possibility they could use you have this rolling lumpiness as you get more partners? On the distribution side, and they're constantly restocked to a certain level. And then the validity of the test comes through and it just continues that way?

Terig Hughes: It could well continue that way for the next few quarters because like you said, we've now got more than 17 distributors across 17 countries, and there will be some element of a bit of an accelerating and stocking and perhaps decelerating in some months or quarters. But the more distributors that we have out there and the more countries we have it in, I think, the smoother the trend will get. So perhaps, you know, we'll have a bit more of an idea over the next six months, you know, what that trend is going to look like.

Cameron Reynolds: But I think, just to be clear, a lot of them buy sort of stock for six months ahead. So it's been very good, very good so far, and that may continue. There might be a time when one of the big ones doesn't order in a quarter, so it's clunky. We don't know. But the trends are all going very well. It's in a lot of countries, a lot of different groups. So, you know, that's not really quarter to quarter is not really critical. The critical thing is 110,000 tests moving so far has been excellent. We'll all better with Discover. And Touchwood. In the short term, we'll also augment with another big licensing deal. So I think overall, it's good, but there could certainly be some months in these early stages. I don't think it's going to be a smooth upward curve, although it has been so far. Maybe we're wrong, but maybe it won't be a three to one until sort of midway through next year, but we'll find out. We're working on all these areas and see how it goes, but we're very happy with how it's gone so far.

Steven Ralston: Moving to the cost-cutting program. You obviously made excellent progress here. Within the G&A and sales and marketing expenses going down more than 30%. Could you tell us about what percentage of the $10 million cost-cutting program has been implemented and can kind of give a little color about that previous $2 million cost-cutting program you had in late 2023?

Terig Hughes: Yeah. So if you recall, I think we started we trimmed back the back end of last year, but we still had quite a number of large R&D projects ongoing at that point. Effective Q2 of this year is when we really started sort of in earnest to cut costs because we completed a lot of the work that we needed to get done in order to start these licensing discussions. And so since then, we've seen the winding down of a number of studies, and we've been able to implement a number of cost-cutting measures. I think we've seen probably about half of the savings come through this year. But, of course, next year, we've got a full year worth of those savings. So I think we're on track to achieve that number. And, yeah, there are still some more trimming to do. It'll be a continuous exercise that we go through to keep those costs under control, but we are highly focused, and it is one of the key objectives of the team is to keep these costs down and under control.

Cameron Reynolds: And I think, Steven, just as a again, from the chief executive's point of view, I think Terig has done an excellent job at doing the cutting and identifying it so we're not, you know, obviously, we haven't stopped the ramp nor have we stopped the license papers being published in all the key opinion letters. So we're trying to make sure that we do cut, but we actually also deliver. So we have to make sure, you know, we're down to where we need to get to. We're also making sure that we really achieve. So I'd like to thank the R&D team. We've just had a leadership meeting here for two days. Yet again, we're going through all the strategic imperatives, and we managed to keep everything afloat and moving at a lot lower cost, which is a real credit to the team and the dedication of all the people. We've also been taking salary sacrifices. I'm being down to half salary, so I'm getting it all in stock for the last five, six months. And the team has shown a great amount of effort and teamwork and sacrifice to make sure that we get all this work done and we cut the costs. So I think it's been a financial success, but also been a team success. And it's something which has been very important to do so we can get set up for success.

Steven Ralston: Last question. Can you share with us how the data rooms are working? It seems like the focus is on sepsis, but do you also have information like, for example, on lung cancer? What are the size of the visits? Are they groups, small individuals? The length of time they spend in the data rooms, and how many data rooms do you have, and where are they?

Cameron Reynolds: So I've got to be a little careful because obviously confidential. We've signed a lot of NDAs. The big companies don't like to, I think the Chinese call it fishing off someone else's dog and their reputation, but on the sepsis front, we're most interested in a small number of very large players. I can't tell you the names, but I'm sure you know that they were targeted and have been very responsive, responded well, responded by the largest of the big order analyzer players worldwide. So and we're at a very good stage there. The data room, we use a program called Share Vault, which actually can track where people are and what they're doing. On the sepsis side, the sepsis was a little more advanced because as Andy pointed out, data was really, really good and large. So we got a look sort of a month head start on that because the data came through. It was so the first data we could share was sort of early to mid-summer. So and being the sepsis side is something which is potentially very close to a product. I mean, very close in the sense of they would do their own study in their machines, but that looks to be a 510(k), which is sort of 18 months plus whatever extra time. So that's something in the diagnostic world is actually a very quick time for products. The oncology side, again, are the large players you'd expect to know. Again, I can't mention the names without portraying competencies, and I don't want to scare them off because that's going very well. But the large companies you expect to see in the liquid biopsy space as well as some of the large diagnostic players. That's a little different because it's not one the sepsis is actually sepsis and coagulation and the large coagulation players. The oncology is the ones you'd expect. And there's three main areas we're licensing in the oncology. You could capture, which there are a couple of very big players have shown a very good interest. We're back and forthing with and data. There's as we said, we've also got Nu.Q working in solid tumors very well. Obviously some interest in some of those players and one or two of the other players. And then we have general lung cancer work, and that side is obviously licensing, but we're I believe, quite a good chance to be in a couple of screening programs, international screening programs in the next 12 to 18 months, which is a massive breakthrough. To my knowledge, there's not a single liquid biopsy company in any national screening program. Why don't I know? Maybe you know better. So for us to get potentially a couple in the sort of short to medium term, I think it's outstanding. So, obviously, there's some interest in that as well. So and none of the companies I mentioned are smaller than north of a billion dollars to many hundreds of billions of dollars in valuation. So certainly a little bigger than that. So, you know, we're really pushing. We're working hard. It's just a matter of getting it all through and getting the best deals, but we're very happy with how it's going so far.

Steven Ralston: Thank you for taking my questions.

Cameron Reynolds: Thank you, Steven. Pleasure.

Operator: Thank you. Our next question has come from the line of Bruce Jackson with The Benchmark Company. Please proceed with your questions.

Bruce Jackson: Hi. Good morning, and thanks for taking my question. I wanted to ask about the feline testing. So you got the milestone from Heska. Have they actually commercialized that yet? And so do you have any sense of if that's growing or not?

Cameron Reynolds: Oh, hi. So the feline, we have not got the milestone yet. We've got the $13 million. The feline milestone is still outstanding. We're doing a lot of work. The issue with feline, our cat friend is a little different from our dog friend, a little more cantankerous. Not to stereotype cats. But they're much less likely to go to the vet. But the main issue for us has not actually been that, but had to optimize for a different animal, obviously. Cat. Not surprising, but until you think about it or when you think about it, they have a lot less blood. So the sample size is obviously smaller. But also we've discovered they have a lower overall level of nucleosomes. So we've had to get our test working on a lower LOQ, a little bit of. So in humans and in dogs, our test was fine. Testing at 20 or above nanograms per mil, but cats, we've had to bring it down to five. It's actually again, oh, shout out to our production team. And Mohammed has done a great job at getting all that working. So what we've been we're getting it to work, and we've now got it to work on the plates that were placed on the machines as well. So that we can measure it actually in cats. The process. And now we're in the process of working with our partners on a feline study to get that going. But, no, we have not got the feline yet, but we've done a lot of background work. It's not there, but it's certainly the background work now. Look, it's extremely good, and we now have it working in our third animal, we believe. Humans, dogs, and now cats now in the process of trying to show that it has clinical utility, but there's no you can't start clinical utility till you prove you can actually measure nucleosomes in cats. Now have been done, and we're now in the process of the clinical utility. Does that make sense?

Bruce Jackson: Oh, yeah. That's perfect. And then one other question on the human cancers or a number of studies that are ongoing. Are there going to be any data publications or conference presentations coming up here in the next couple of quarters?

Cameron Reynolds: Absolutely. Huge compass of butt. As an organization, we've always really prioritized papers, but they take a lot of background work in getting there. Louise is actually here and Andy's on the line. Oh, and Andy's on the line. Sorry. Andy. Our Chief Medical Officer. Did you want to answer that question?

Andrew Retter: Is Andy there? Andy is on h. Is he on mute? I am. I think I'm on mute.

Operator: No. You're good, Andy. You can go ahead.

Andrew Retter: Can you hear me now?

Cameron Reynolds: Yes. We can.

Operator: Thank you.

Andrew Retter: So we've got two large publications coming forward that are just about to be submitted, should be submitted by very much one by end of Q4 and the one very beginning of Q1. And that will take up take a while to go through the review process, but we're very excited by those. We started sharing some of the data that was seen at our satellite symposium. That should generate a lot of interest, and we're very excited to be taking those forward and actually lead to next opportunities around prospective studies and the licensing deals with partners that Cameron's been that Cameron's alluded to repeatedly on the call. I think it's really we've done a lot of work to optimize the test, and to pick up one of Cameron's points as well. It's really close to being a product. We now can turn temp test around quickly. Starting to understand what the normal ranges and key thresholds are, which is really critical for optimizing it in the clinical space. And it's really exciting work to take it forward. I hope that answers your question.

Cameron Reynolds: That was steps for Andy, also oncology?

Andrew Retter: Oncology. So we've got we've got new tests in cancer, and we're working with a number of players to take those forward and on the licensing guild there as well. We've got work, particularly on lung cancer. Again, Cameron mentioned that referring to access to screening programs and national screening programs that we're taking forward. And papers are close to being papers are drafted and actively going through the submission process at the moment.

Bruce Jackson: Alright. Got it. That's it. Thank you for me.

Cameron Reynolds: Thank you, Bruce. Thanks for your questions.

Operator: Thank you. There are no further questions at this time, and I would like to hand the call back over to Cameron Reynolds for any closing remarks.

Cameron Reynolds: Thank you, everyone, and thank you for listening in on the call. As we said, it's a critical time for the company. All the indicators are going in the right direction on the financial side as well as the burn and the income. And it's going to be a critical few next quarters as we really deliver on the human side. We're working very closely on some licensing deals, which we're very hopeful we can close. And we're aiming for them to be similar to the ones in the vet space. So it's going to be a very exciting time. I know for our shareholders, it's been a long journey. Also for us, of course. But we've absolutely managed to make a platform which I think will change the world of diagnostics in the human space as it has in the vet space. We're working tirelessly to take that last step on the human licensing side and hope to have a lot more updates for you in the coming months and quarters. So thank you very much for your time. Have a great day.

Operator: Thank you. This does conclude today's teleconference. We appreciate your participation. You may disconnect your lines at this time. Enjoy the rest of your day.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.