📈 69% of S&P 500 stocks beating the index - a historic record! Pick the best ones with AI.See top stocks

UPDATE 1-Dalian iron ore rises, near-term steel restocking seen

Published 14/07/2015, 05:44 pm
© Reuters.  UPDATE 1-Dalian iron ore rises, near-term steel restocking seen
VALE
-

* Shanghai rebar erases gains as shares fall

* Spot iron ore steady at just below $50/tonne

* Vale to replace higher cost output, but keeps 2015 target (Adds Citi comment, China stocks, updates prices)

By Manolo Serapio Jr

MANILA, July 14 (Reuters) - Chinese iron ore futures edged up on Tuesday, backed by hopes traders would rebuild steel stockpiles after a recent price rout and ahead of seasonal peak demand.

Firmer futures may push benchmark spot iron ore higher later in the day, having stabilised at close to $50 a tonne on Monday after last week's dive, along with Chinese equities, to a 10-year low.

The most-traded September iron ore contract on the Dalian Commodity Exchange DCIOcv1 closed higher 0.5 percent at 369.50 yuan ($60) a tonne, recoiling from a session high of 376 yuan as Chinese equities fell after a three-session rebound.

Rebar for October delivery on the Shanghai Futures Exchange SRBcv1 eased 0.3 percent to 2,007 yuan a tonne. It came off the session's peak of 2,033 yuan, but still above last week's all-time trough of 1,891 yuan.

China's slowing economy, forecast to have grown at a six-year low of 6.9 percent in the second quarter, and a cooling property sector have hit demand for steel which shrank around 5 percent in January-May, roiling prices and squeezing mills' margins.

"Looking ahead, the steel restocking demand ahead of September peak season and recovery of housing market will help revive domestic demand," Argonaut Securities analyst Helen Lau said in a note, referring to top steel consumer China.

A drop in iron ore prices to below $50 a tonne also spurred some buyers, including Chinese mills looking to replenish inventories, traders said.

Iron ore for immediate delivery to China's Tianjin port .IO62-CNI=SI was unchanged at $49.90 a tonne on Monday, according to The Steel Index (TSI). The benchmark touched $44.10 last week, the lowest on record since TSI began compiling the data. Based on annual pricing that preceded the current spot-based system, it was the lowest since 2005, according to data compiled by Goldman Sachs.

Faced with tumbling prices, Vale VALE5.SA , the world's largest iron ore producer, will replace 25 million tonnes a year of higher-cost production with cheaper tonnes. But the Brazilian miner said it will keep its 2015 production goal of 340 million tonnes. ID:nL2N0ZT1JK

"In the absence of cuts from major Australian miners, the burden falls on Vale to cut additional tonnage. However, single-handedly attempting to balance the market is unlikely to be attractive and we therefore do not expect that iron ore's oligopolistic market structure will prevent iron ore prices from falling below $40/tonne," Citigroup said in a note. ($1 = 6.2088 Chinese yuan)

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.