Cyber Monday Deal: Up to 60% off InvestingProCLAIM SALE

FOREX-Weak factory data knocks dollar as Brexit delay hopes boost pound

Published 04/09/2019, 11:04 am
Updated 04/09/2019, 03:19 pm
© Reuters.  FOREX-Weak factory data knocks dollar as Brexit delay hopes boost pound
USD/JPY
-
US10YT=X
-
DXY
-

* Dollar falls on weaker-than-expected manufacturing data

* Sterling recovers but under pressure amid Brexit chaos

By Tom Westbrook

SINGAPORE, Sept 4 (Reuters) - The dollar pulled back on Wednesday as weak U.S. manufacturing stoked wagers on aggressive policy easing, while the British pound recouped losses in the wake of a parliamentary vote that opened the door for another Brexit delay.

Manufacturing activity in the world's biggest economy contracted for the first time in three years last month, according to the Institute for Supply Management. knocked the wind from the greenback and rallied the bond market as investors increased bets on a couple of Federal Reserve rate cuts before Christmas.

A 25-basis-point cut is now fully priced in, while yields on benchmark 10-year Treasuries US10YT=RR , which fall when prices rise, dropped to their lowest in two years.

As a result, the greenback gave ground to the yen JPY= , the Australian dollar AUD=D3 , and the pound GBP=D3 . Sterling climbed as high as $1.210 in early Asian trade, helped by the possibility that a no-deal Brexit may yet be averted.

"The expectation that the Fed will come to the rescue has increased," said Rodrigo Catril, senior FX strategist at National Australia Bank in Sydney.

"But it's not a capitulation on the dollar. It's just merely stopped the recent rise of the dollar."

Against a basket of currencies the dollar .DXY traded slightly lower at 98.944, which was 0.4% below the two-year peak it touched on Tuesday.

The sterling was pushed higher after British lawmakers voted to take control of the parliamentary agenda and scheduled another vote on Wednesday. If the vote is successful, it would force Prime Minister Boris Johnson to seek more time from the European Union and prevent leaving the bloc without a divorce deal. prospect of a so-called "hard Brexit" has been a major source of worry for currency markets. The pound had dropped under $1.20 and hit its lowest since a flash crash in October 2016 on Tuesday.

More than three years after the UK voted in a referendum to leave the EU, the Brexit process remains unresolved and a source of major political chaos. Possible outcomes for Britain range from a turbulent "no-deal" exit to abandoning the whole endeavour.

Johnson has said he will now push for a snap election, adding another major source of political uncertainty for sterling.

"We still just can't say what the end game will be," said Yukio Ishizuki, senior strategist at Daiwa Securities.

"Die-hard Brexiteers want a Brexit no matter what while the Remainers are deadly opposed. This is not an issue in which both sides can come halfway for a compromise."

The euro EUR=D3 was steady around $1.2087, a recovery from a 28-month low against the dollar that it touched on Tuesday, as investors priced in deeper negative interest rates for longer in the euro zone.

The yen rose to 105.99 per dollar before easing slightly to trade at 105.86 by 0008 GMT.

There were few signs of a breakthrough in U.S. China trade negotiations with President Donald Trump taking to Twitter to warn he would be "tougher" on Beijing in a second term if trade talks dragged on.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.