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KeyBanc's latest data suggests Apple will see below-average growth

Published 19/03/2024, 12:18 am
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KeyBanc analysts reaffirmed their Sector Weight rating on Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) while keeping hardware revenue estimates for the second fiscal quarter of 2024 below consensus.

The broker cited data indicating a month-over-month spending increase of 6% in February, surpassing the three-year average decline of 14%. This uptick is attributed to the launch of the Vision Pro on February 2nd and a weaker spending pattern in January.

Meanwhile, quarter-to-date spending is down 20% year-over-year, compared to an 8% decrease in the first fiscal quarter of 2024.

“Overall, our data is telling us we should expect below-avg. growth for F2Q24,” the analysts said in a note.

“While AAPL has under-performed YTD, our cautious stance remains: we expect soft U.S. upgrade rates and competition in China to challenge growth expectations, App Store regulation is likely an overhang, and conviction in a growth inflection is low,” they added.

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