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GLOBAL MARKETS-Shares rise on trade optimism, tame inflation

Published 02/03/2019, 07:32 am
Updated 02/03/2019, 07:40 am
© Reuters.  GLOBAL MARKETS-Shares rise on trade optimism, tame inflation
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(Updates to afternoon trading in U.S. markets)

* Hopes of U.S.-Sino trade deal lifts stocks, Treasury yields

* Oil drops as U.S. data stokes demand worries

* Dollar advances as risk appetite rises

By Herbert Lash and April Joyner

NEW YORK, March 1 (Reuters) - World equity markets rose on Friday to end an otherwise slow week on optimism around trade and benign U.S. inflation, while crude oil retreated on news of weaker U.S. factory activity.

On Thursday, White House economic adviser Larry Kudlow called progress in the trade negotiations between the United States and China "fantastic" and said the countries were "heading toward a remarkable, historic deal." Bloomberg reported that a summit between U.S. President Donald Trump and his Chinese counterpart Xi Jinping to sign a final trade deal could happen as soon as mid-March.

"The optimism over trade resolution is outweighing the weakening economic data," said Ryan Detrick, senior market strategist at LPL Financial in Charlotte, North Carolina.

A slew of surveys has highlighted how much manufacturers are suffering worldwide, particularly those exposed to China's slowdown, and added weight to expectations that policy tightening from central banks is pretty much over. a private survey showed China's factory activity contracted for a third straight month in February, though at a slower pace, helping to lift global equities. gauge of stocks across the globe .MIWD00000PUS gained 0.3 percent.

On Wall Street, the Dow Jones Industrial Average .DJI rose 103.03 points, or 0.4 percent, to 26,019.03, the S&P 500 .SPX gained 16.44 points, or 0.59 percent, to 2,800.93 and the Nasdaq Composite .IXIC added 59.77 points, or 0.79 percent, to 7,592.30.

Stocks were also supported by a U.S. Commerce Department report showing tame inflation pressures and U.S. personal income falling for the first time in more than three years in January. modest inflation lends support to the Federal Reserve's pledge to be patient on hiking U.S. interest rates, said Quincy Krosby, chief market strategist at Prudential Financial (NYSE:PRU) in Newark, New Jersey.

"All of this helps toward a positive underpinning in the market," she said.

WEAK FACTORY DATA FELLS OIL

Oil prices reversed course to fall 2 percent as bearish U.S. manufacturing data stoked concerns over global energy demand.

The ISM manufacturing activity index in February sank to the lowest since November 2016 and was below expectations. West Texas Intermediate CLc1 futures fell $1.42, or 2.48 percent, to $55.80 a barrel. Global benchmark Brent crude LCOc1 futures fell $1.24 to $65.07 a barrel, a 1.87 percent drop.

The dollar rose, hitting 10-week-highs against the yen, as risk appetite improved amid a more upbeat outlook on the euro and on the prospect of a U.S.-China trade deal.

"Risk-on sentiment amid a global stock rally worked in favor of the euro," said Joe Manimbo, senior market analyst at Western Union Business Solutions in Washington.

The dollar was up 0.6 percent against the Japanese yen JPY= after hitting a 10-week high.

The euro EUR= fell 0.1 percent against the dollar at $1.1354.

U.S. Treasury yields were higher as investors sold off safe-haven assets on hopes for a trade deal with China and shrugged off economic data whose release was delayed by the government shutdown.

Benchmark 10-year Treasury notes US10YT=RR last fell 14/32 in price to yield 2.7622 percent, from 2.711 percent late on Thursday.

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