🧐 ProPicks AI October update is out now! See which stocks made the listPick Stocks with AI

FOREX-Divergence play weighs on yen, UK PMI surveys eyed

Published 22/07/2016, 06:18 pm
© Reuters.  FOREX-Divergence play weighs on yen, UK PMI surveys eyed
EUR/USD
-
USD/JPY
-
BAC
-
BNPP
-

* Yen inches down as minds shift to BOJ meeting next week

* Euro little changed after ECB meeting, PMI surveys

* First post-Brexit British surveys keenly awaited

By Patrick Graham

LONDON, July 22 (Reuters) - Expectations of a renewed divergence between Japanese and U.S. monetary policy weighed on the yen on Friday as markets mulled the first major business sentiment surveys on the health of the European economy since last month's Brexit vote.

In early trade in London, the yen was down 0.3 percent on the day, having recovered from six-week lows after Bank of Japan Governor Haruhiko Kuroda dented speculation it may be preparing a radical "helicopter money" economic stimulus.

That has not shifted many investors' conviction that the BOJ will deliver some form of new stimulus next week, however, and French bank BNP Paribas (PA:BNPP) issued a recommendation to sell the yen while also sounding downbeat on the euro's near-term prospects.

"We now expect the euro to trade down to $1.07 by the end of the third quarter, while we expect the dollar to reach 111 yen, with Fed hikes contrasting with ECB and BOJ easing to drive USD gains," the bank's London-based FX strategy team said in a note.

"This (yen) trade should benefit from three key events: BOJ easing, Japanese fiscal easing and a September Fed rate hike."

Having bounced back to as strong as 105.88 yen per dollar in Asian time JPY= , the yen traded 0.3 percent lower at 106.12 per dollar.

The dollar was steadier against other major currencies. Flash Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) surveys in the euro zone were the latest to sound more upbeat on the economic fallout of Britain's vote to leave the European Union than had been feared.

The pound inched higher against the euro and the dollar ahead of the UK surveys, due at 0830 GMT.

"It's all about the PMIs this morning," said Kamal Sharma, a strategist with Bank of America Merrill Lynch (NYSE:BAC) in London.

"There's a lot of post-Brexit data coming out in the next couple of weeks. But the inability of the pound to rise tells you that the market is very comfortable selling any rallies at the moment."

The euro traded roughly flat at $1.1022 EUR= , slightly above this week's low of $1.0980 but little changed from late U.S. levels on Thursday and also roughly flat on the week. (Editing by Dale Hudson)

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.