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FIVE at FIVE AU: ASX sheds 1.31% as traders bet on 25 bp rate increase; monthly CPI comes in hot; Nvidia continues sharp growth

Published 31/05/2023, 03:55 pm
© Reuters.  FIVE at FIVE AU: ASX sheds 1.31% as traders bet on 25 bp rate increase; monthly CPI comes in hot; Nvidia continues sharp growth
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The ASX fell sharply today, shedding 1.36% or 98.30 points to 7,111.00 and setting a new 20-day low as traders bumped up to 67% the likelihood of another RBA interest rate rise by August.

Hotter than expected monthly Consumer Price Index data was the core reason for the shift in sentiment, coming in at 6.8% year-on-year compared to the expected 6.4%.

More on that later.

The sectors were largely – understandably – down, although Utilities (+0.21%) escaped mostly unscathed.

The sectors taking the biggest hits today were Energy, down 2.39% and Consumer Discretionary and Materials, down 1.76% and 1.65% respectively.

Commodities were mostly flat, with some outliers in West Texas crude (-4.57%) and palladium (-2.71%) which fell sharply, and tin (+2.03%) which made solid gains.

The worst-performing stocks on the ASX200 today were Bank of Queensland Ltd and Whitehaven Coal (ASX:WHC) Ltd, shedding 5.36% and 5.95%.

In the news

Monthly CPI hotter than expected

IG Group market analyst Tony Sycamore discusses the latest economic movements and indicates high CPI numbers make another interest rate hike likely.

“AU Monthly CPI for April comes in at 6.8% vs 6.4% expected,” Sycamore said.

“The most significant price rises were Housing (+8.9%), Food and non-alcoholic beverages (+7.9%) and Transport (+7.1%).

“This is an ugly number, and despite a run of softer data earlier this month across wages, employment and retail sales, the probability that the RBA raises rates by 25bp to 4.10% at its meeting next week has increased to ~25%.

“Heading into the number, the market was pricing a 10% chance of an RBA rate hike next week.

“The AUD/USD has fallen from .6515/17 to a low of .6492.

“Last week's low was .6490 – the AUD/USD is just holding on.

“The ASX200 has fallen from 7,150, where it was pre the number, to a low of 7,128.

“The ASX200 needs to hold support 7,100 (coming from the 200-day moving average and uptrend support from the October 6,411 low, to avoid a deeper pullback towards 6,900 (Year to Date lows).”

Nvidia continues blistering rise

eToro market analyst Josh Gilbert explains Nvidia’s meteoric rise and why tech stocks like it present a lucrative opportunity.

"Nvidia continues to blow minds and steals the show as the undisputed star of 2023, skyrocketing with an astonishing growth of over 180% since the year began,” Gilbert said.

“It leaves Meta in the dust, claiming the second spot among the S&P 500 stocks with a whopping 119% surge, followed by AMD in third place with an impressive +93%.

“While the overall S&P 500 index barely managed a modest gain of less than 10%, these industry leaders have created a significant distance from the market average.

“But that's not all.

“Nvidia has now crossed the trillion-dollar market capitalisation milestone, joining an elite club of only nine members ever, becoming the first-ever semiconductor company to achieve such a feat.

“Despite the prohibitive valuations, Nvidia continues to surprise and attract investors' attention.

“It has exceeded expectations and shocked analysts with an upward revision for the fiscal year, and has recently unveiled new products at Computex 2023, as well as engaging in the construction of super PCs.

“Despite the high stock price, the enthusiasm surrounding Nvidia shows no signs of diminishing, highlighting the ongoing interest of investors.

“As AI becomes more widespread and computing power continues to surge, the possibilities for businesses and society as a whole are simply mind-blowing.

“But this promises a future of unprecedented innovation, efficiency, and possibilities, but caution is needed not to fly too close to the sun and get burned."

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