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FIVE at FIVE AU: ASX flat, but Australia leads the way in ten-baggers

Published 19/08/2024, 04:08 pm
© Reuters.  FIVE at FIVE AU: ASX flat, but Australia leads the way in ten-baggers
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The ASX is flat today after recovering from an early dip. The S&P/ASX200 is up just 9.20 points or 0.12% to 7,980.30. Over the last five days, the index has gained 2.60% and is currently 2.07% off of its 52-week high.

Once again, Audinate Group Ltd (ASX:AD8) is one of the top performers, up 19.79%. Emerald Resources NL is 4.31% higher.

Looking at the sectors, most were down but Utilities stood out with a 1.59% gain. The worst-performing sectors were Consumer Staples down 0.77% and Energy which lost 0.53%.

Over on the small-cap index, the S&P/XSO gained 0.14% to 3,026.30.

Audinate’s gross profit rises

Audinate Group Ltd reported its financial results for the fiscal year ending June 30, 2024 (FY24).

The company recorded a gross profit increase of 33.2% to US$44.5 million, with a gross margin of 74.3%, up from 72.1% in FY23.

This growth was driven by a 32.6% increase in software sales and a 26.4% rise in sales of chips, cards and modules (CCM). Overall revenue for FY24 grew by 28.4%, reaching US$60.0 million, compared to US$46.7 million in FY23.

Additionally, Australian dollar revenue increased by 31.3% to A$91.5 million, benefiting from favourable A$/US$ currency impacts.

"I am incredibly proud of the exceptional financial results that our entire team at Audinate has worked so diligently to achieve," Audinate co-founder and CEO Aidan Williams said.

"The operating leverage in the cost base continues to be evident in the percentage of incremental revenue that converts into EBITDA.

"On the technology front, we've made significant strides in video, and I'm thrilled about the strategic opportunities we've unlocked with the launch of Dante Director."

Mining stocks dominate ten-baggers

An analysis conducted by eToro has identified 19 Australian companies on the ASX that have delivered 10-fold returns to shareholders over the past decade, referred to as "ten-baggers." Notable among these are Pilbara Minerals, Liontown Resources (ASX:LTR) and Pro Medicus.

“A ten-bagger is the holy grail for many investors and looking locally could be the ticket for finding that stock when compared to other major markets. The complexity of finding and investing in such opportunities requires careful analysis, risk management, and a willingness to take a long-term view, eToro market analyst Josh Gilbert said.

“Psychological factors are also challenging. Riding a stock to a 1,000% gain without taking profit requires serious patience, belief in the business and a strong mentality.”

The study, covering the period from 2013 to 2023, highlights that these ten-baggers are predominantly mining stocks, reflecting the resource-heavy composition of the ASX, with 12 out of the 19 ten-baggers being resource companies.

Pilbara Minerals, a lithium-tantalum producer, saw its share price surge by 35,330%, despite recent challenges due to a significant drop in lithium prices. Liontown Resources, another mining company, experienced an 18,040% rise in share value over the same period. Pro Medicus, a non-mining company, delivered a 13,710% return, boosted by significant contract wins in the imaging IT sector.

In comparison, only two companies in the UK’s FTSE 350 achieved ten-bagger status and 21 companies in the S&P 500 made the list, primarily driven by tech stocks like Nvidia and Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA). The analysis also found that Australian firms are more likely to deliver five-bagger returns compared to their UK counterparts.

“Aside from the US, Australia leads the rest of the world when it comes to finding ten-baggers amongst its largest stocks,” Gilbert said.

“The natural resources sector has proven to be a honey pot for Australian miners and many investors have reaped the rewards over the years. Commodity supercycles have helped drive these stocks, and it may not be the end of ten-baggers in Australia if we are to see another commodity cycle upswing.

"Outside of commodities, key themes such as AI, medical technology, cybersecurity, and electric vehicles are all early front runners, but we will continue to see more megatrends play out over the years ahead.

“The pursuit of ten-bagger stocks will involve risk. Investors must conduct thorough due diligence and maintain a diversified portfolio. As the saying once goes, ‘Don’t look for the needle in the haystack, just buy the haystack’.”

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