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Fitch Assigns Final Ratings to Driver Australia five Trust

Published 26/04/2018, 05:10 pm
© Reuters.  Fitch Assigns Final Ratings to Driver Australia five Trust
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(The following statement was released by the rating agency) Fitch Ratings-Sydney-April 26: Fitch Ratings has assigned final ratings to Driver Australia five Trust's automotive-backed floating-rate notes. The issuance consists of notes backed by Australian automotive receivables originated by Volkswagen (DE:VOWG_p) Financial Services Australia Pty Ltd (VWFSA), a wholly owned subsidiary of Volkswagen Financial Services AG, itself wholly owned by Volkswagen AG (VW, BBB+/Stable/F2). The ratings are as follows: AUD661.5 million Class A notes: 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable; AUD37.5 million Class B notes: 'AA-sf'; Outlook Stable; AUD43.5 million subordinated loan: 'NRsf' The notes are issued by Perpetual Corporate Trust Limited in its capacity as trustee of Driver Australia five Trust. At the 28 February 2018 cut-off date, the total collateral pool consisted of 26,849 contracts, of new (81.1%) and used (18.9%) motor vehicles, with weighted-average seasoning and remaining term of 13.1 and 46.0 months, respectively. The main products offered within the portfolio are chattel mortgages (37.5%) and consumer loans (62.3%). The portfolio is of similar credit quality to prior pools securitised under the Driver Australia programme. KEY RATING DRIVERS Obligor Default Risk: Obligor default and recovery rates are a key assumption in Fitch's quantitative analysis. Fitch's derived default base-case expectations are lower than those of the most recent Driver Australia issuance, which reflects the improved performance of the underlying assets. Cash Flow Dynamics: The transaction does not benefit from excess spread, a common feature of ABS securitisations; instead, receivables are purchased based on a discount rate method. The aggregate principal of the notes, subordinated loan and overcollaterlisation (OC) equals the purchased receivables discounted at a rate of 8.89%. Structural Risks: Mechanisms, based on various performance triggers, provide increasing levels of OC support for noteholders. The notes will amortise sequentially in order of seniority until certain OC target levels are met. Once these target levels are met for the class A and B notes, any additional principal will be allocated to repay the subordinated loan. Counterparty Risks: An advance mechanism is in place, whereby collections are prepaid and segregated from VWFSA's own funds. Interest rate swaps will be present with triggers that meet Fitch's counterparty criteria. Servicer, Operational Risks: There is no back-up servicer, and the transaction is reliant on VWFSA's operational and credit-assessment capabilities. Fitch believes the transaction documents appropriately address seller- and servicer-related risks, like commingling and set-off. An advance mechanism ensures collections are prepaid and segregated from VWFSA's funds. Balloon Risks: Obligors that are subject to balloon payments are required to make such payments if the balloon payment cannot be refinanced. The pool contains 37.4% contracts that are subject to balloon payments, higher than in peer transactions. RATING SENSITIVITIES Unanticipated increases in the frequency of defaults and loss severity on defaulted receivables could produce loss levels higher than Fitch's base case, which is likely to result in a decline in credit enhancement and remaining loss-coverage levels available to the notes. Fitch has evaluated the sensitivity of the ratings assigned to Driver Australia five Trust to increased gross default levels and decreased recovery rates over the life of the transaction. Impact upon the note rating of increased defaults: Initial rating: AAAsf/AA-sf Increase defaults by 10%: AA+sf/AA-sf Increase defaults by 25%: AA+sf/A+sf Increase defaults by 50%: AA-sf/A-sf Impact upon the note rating of decreased recoveries: Initial rating: AAAsf/AA-sf Reduce recoveries by 10%: AAAsf/AA-sf Reduce recoveries by 25%: AA+sf/A+sf Reduce recoveries by 50%: AA+sf/A+sf Impact upon the note rating of multiple factors: Initial rating: AAAsf/AA-sf Increase defaults by 10%; reduce recoveries by 10%: AA+sf/A+sf Increase defaults by 25%; reduce recoveries by 25%: AAsf/Asf Increase defaults by 50%; reduce recoveries by 50%: Asf/ BBBsf Key rating drivers and rating sensitivities are further discussed in the corresponding new issue report entitled "Driver Australia five Trust", published today. USE OF THIRD-PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G-10 Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by, Fitch in relation to this rating action. REPRESENTATIONS, WARRANTIES AND ENFORCEMENT MECHANISMS A description of the transaction's representations, warranties and enforcement mechanisms (RW&Es) that are disclosed in the offering document and relate to the underlying asset pool is available by accessing the appendix referenced under "Related Research" below. The appendix also contains a comparison of these RW&Es to those Fitch considers typical for the asset class as detailed in the Special Report titled "Representations, Warranties and Enforcement Mechanisms in Global Structured Finance Transactions," dated 31 May 2016. DATA ADEQUACY Fitch reviewed a small targeted sample of VWFSA's origination files and found the information contained in the reviewed files to be adequately consistent with the originator's policies and practices and the other information provided to the agency about the asset portfolio. Overall, Fitch's assessment of the asset pool information relied upon for the agency's rating analysis according to its applicable rating methodologies indicates that it is adequately reliable. SOURCES OF INFORMATION The information below was used in the analysis: Loan-by-loan data provided by VWFSA as of 31 March 2018 Historical performance and delinquency data provided by VWFSA as of 31 December 2017 Transaction documents provided by King Wood Mallesons, the issuer's counsel. The issuer has informed Fitch that not all relevant underlying information used in the analysis of the rated notes is public. Contacts: Primary Analyst Marija Buzevska Analyst +612 8256 0340 Fitch Australia Pty Ltd Level 15, 77 King St, Sydney, NSW 2000 Secondary Analyst David Carroll Director +61 2 8256 0333 Committee Chairperson Claire Heaton Senior Director +612 8256 0361 Media Relations: Leslie Tan, Singapore, Tel: +65 67 96 7234, Email: leslie.tan@fitchratings.com. Additional information is available on www.fitchratings.com Applicable Criteria Consumer ABS Rating Criteria (pub. 11 Dec 2017) https://www.fitchratings.com/site/re/907089 Fitch's Interest Rate Stress Assumptions for Structured Finance and Covered Bonds - Excel File (pub. 02 Feb 2018) https://www.fitchratings.com/site/re/10018863 Global Structured Finance Rating Criteria (pub. 03 May 2017) https://www.fitchratings.com/site/re/897411 Structured Finance and Covered Bonds Counterparty Rating Criteria (pub. 23 May 2017) https://www.fitchratings.com/site/re/898537 Structured Finance and Covered Bonds Counterparty Rating Criteria: Derivative Addendum (pub. 23 May 2017) https://www.fitchratings.com/site/re/898538 Structured Finance and Covered Bonds Interest Rate Stresses Rating Criteria (pub. 02 Feb 2018) https://www.fitchratings.com/site/re/10018549 Related Research Representations, Warranties and Enforcement Mechanisms in Global Structured Finance Transactions https://www.fitchratings.com/site/re/882358 Additional Disclosures Dodd-Frank Rating Information Disclosure Form https://www.fitchratings.com/site/dodd-frank-disclosure/10028067 Solicitation Status https://www.fitchratings.com/site/pr/10028067#solicitation Endorsement Policy https://www.fitchratings.com/regulatory ALL FITCH CREDIT RATINGS ARE SUBJECT TO CERTAIN LIMITATIONS AND DISCLAIMERS. PLEASE READ THESE LIMITATIONS AND DISCLAIMERS BY FOLLOWING THIS LINK: HTTPS://WWW.FITCHRATINGS.COM/UNDERSTANDINGCREDITRATINGS. IN ADDITION, RATING DEFINITIONS AND THE TERMS OF USE OF SUCH RATINGS ARE AVAILABLE ON THE AGENCY'S PUBLIC WEB SITE AT WWW.FITCHRATINGS.COM. PUBLISHED RATINGS, CRITERIA, AND METHODOLOGIES ARE AVAILABLE FROM THIS SITE AT ALL TIMES. FITCH'S CODE OF CONDUCT, CONFIDENTIALITY, CONFLICTS OF INTEREST, AFFILIATE FIREWALL, COMPLIANCE, AND OTHER RELEVANT POLICIES AND PROCEDURES ARE ALSO AVAILABLE FROM THE CODE OF CONDUCT SECTION OF THIS SITE. DIRECTORS AND SHAREHOLDERS RELEVANT INTERESTS ARE AVAILABLE AT HTTPS://WWW.FITCHRATINGS.COM/SITE/REGULATORY. FITCH MAY HAVE PROVIDED ANOTHER PERMISSIBLE SERVICE TO THE RATED ENTITY OR ITS RELATED THIRD PARTIES. DETAILS OF THIS SERVICE FOR RATINGS FOR WHICH THE LEAD ANALYST IS BASED IN AN EU-REGISTERED ENTITY CAN BE FOUND ON THE ENTITY SUMMARY PAGE FOR THIS ISSUER ON THE FITCH WEBSITE. Copyright © 2018 by Fitch Ratings, Inc., Fitch Ratings Ltd. and its subsidiaries. 33 Whitehall Street, NY, NY 10004. Telephone: 1-800-753-4824, (212) 908-0500. Fax: (212) 480-4435. Reproduction or retransmission in whole or in part is prohibited except by permission. All rights reserved. In issuing and maintaining its ratings and in making other reports (including forecast information), Fitch relies on factual information it receives from issuers and underwriters and from other sources Fitch believes to be credible. Fitch conducts a reasonable investigation of the factual information relied upon by it in accordance with its ratings methodology, and obtains reasonable verification of that information from independent sources, to the extent such sources are available for a given security or in a given jurisdiction. The manner of Fitch's factual investigation and the scope of the third-party verification it obtains will vary depending on the nature of the rated security and its issuer, the requirements and practices in the jurisdiction in which the rated security is offered and sold and/or the issuer is located, the availability and nature of relevant public information, access to the management of the issuer and its advisers, the availability of pre-existing third-party verifications such as audit reports, agreed-upon procedures letters, appraisals, actuarial reports, engineering reports, legal opinions and other reports provided by third parties, the availability of independent and competent third- party verification sources with respect to the particular security or in the particular jurisdiction of the issuer, and a variety of other factors. Users of Fitch's ratings and reports should understand that neither an enhanced factual investigation nor any third-party verification can ensure that all of the information Fitch relies on in connection with a rating or a report will be accurate and complete. Ultimately, the issuer and its advisers are responsible for the accuracy of the information they provide to Fitch and to the market in offering documents and other reports. In issuing its ratings and its reports, Fitch must rely on the work of experts, including independent auditors with respect to financial statements and attorneys with respect to legal and tax matters. Further, ratings and forecasts of financial and other information are inherently forward-looking and embody assumptions and predictions about future events that by their nature cannot be verified as facts. As a result, despite any verification of current facts, ratings and forecasts can be affected by future events or conditions that were not anticipated at the time a rating or forecast was issued or affirmed. The information in this report is provided “as is” without any representation or warranty of any kind, and Fitch does not represent or warrant that the report or any of its contents will meet any of the requirements of a recipient of the report. A Fitch rating is an opinion as to the creditworthiness of a security. This opinion and reports made by Fitch are based on established criteria and methodologies that Fitch is continuously evaluating and updating. Therefore, ratings and reports are the collective work product of Fitch and no individual, or group of individuals, is solely responsible for a rating or a report. The rating does not address the risk of loss due to risks other than credit risk, unless such risk is specifically mentioned. Fitch is not engaged in the offer or sale of any security. All Fitch reports have shared authorship. Individuals identified in a Fitch report were involved in, but are not solely responsible for, the opinions stated therein. The individuals are named for contact purposes only. A report providing a Fitch rating is neither a prospectus nor a substitute for the information assembled, verified and presented to investors by the issuer and its agents in connection with the sale of the securities. Ratings may be changed or withdrawn at any time for any reason in the sole discretion of Fitch. Fitch does not provide investment advice of any sort. Ratings are not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Ratings do not comment on the adequacy of market price, the suitability of any security for a particular investor, or the tax-exempt nature or taxability of payments made in respect to any security. Fitch receives fees from issuers, insurers, guarantors, other obligors, and underwriters for rating securities. Such fees generally vary from US$1,000 to US$750,000 (or the applicable currency equivalent) per issue. In certain cases, Fitch will rate all or a number of issues issued by a particular issuer, or insured or guaranteed by a particular insurer or guarantor, for a single annual fee. Such fees are expected to vary from US$10,000 to US$1,500,000 (or the applicable currency equivalent). The assignment, publication, or dissemination of a rating by Fitch shall not constitute a consent by Fitch to use its name as an expert in connection with any registration statement filed under the United States securities laws, the Financial Services and Markets Act of 2000 of the United Kingdom, or the securities laws of any particular jurisdiction. Due to the relative efficiency of electronic publishing and distribution, Fitch research may be available to electronic subscribers up to three days earlier than to print subscribers. For Australia, New Zealand, Taiwan and South Korea only: Fitch Australia Pty Ltd holds an Australian financial services license (AFS license no. 337123) which authorizes it to provide credit ratings to wholesale clients only. Credit ratings information published by Fitch is not intended to be used by persons who are retail clients within the meaning of the Corporations Act 2001 Fitch Ratings, Inc. is registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission as a Nationally Recognized Statistical Rating Organization (the "NRSRO"). While certain of the NRSRO's credit rating subsidiaries are listed on Item 3 of Form NRSRO and as such are authorized to issue credit ratings on behalf of the NRSRO (see https://www.fitchratings.com/site/regulatory), other credit rating subsidiaries are not listed on Form NRSRO (the "non-NRSROs") and therefore credit ratings issued by those subsidiaries are not issued on behalf of the NRSRO. However, non-NRSRO personnel may participate in determining credit ratings issued by or on behalf of the NRSRO.

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