Get 40% Off
👀 👁 🧿 All eyes on Biogen, up +4,56% after posting earnings. Our AI picked it in March 2024.
Which stocks will surge next?
Unlock AI-picked Stocks

Citi says Fed will cut by 125bp this year on waning labor market strength

Published 25/03/2024, 11:50 pm
Updated 25/03/2024, 11:50 pm
© Reuters.

Citi analysts said in a recent note that they believe the weakening in labor market data will lead to 125bp of cuts this year.

Following the dovish FOMC meeting, Citi said it increased their confidence that Fed officials were prepared to begin reducing policy rates in June.

The investment bank wrote, "Even if activity data hold up and inflation remains closer to 3% than 2%, the Fed would likely cut 75bp this year."

They believe that an "overly-optimistic" 4% year-end Fed unemployment rate projection sets a low bar for "disappointing" labor market data that "could prompt more or larger cuts."

"While Chair Powell claimed that data do not show signs of a weakening labor market, analysts have a less sanguine view of data like the falling hiring rate," added Citi. "We continue to expect rate cuts to begin in June and that a clearer weakening in labor market data will lead to 125bp of cuts total for this year."

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.