Black Friday Sale! Save huge on InvestingProGet up to 60% off

Australia, NZ dlrs run into resistance, RBA sounds upbeat

Published 04/08/2017, 01:40 pm
Updated 04/08/2017, 01:50 pm
© Reuters.  Australia, NZ dlrs run into resistance, RBA sounds upbeat
AUD/USD
-
NZD/USD
-

By Wayne Cole and Ana Nicolaci da Costa

SYDNEY/WELLINGTON, Aug 4 (Reuters) - The Australian and New Zealand dollars were poised to snap their three-week winning streaks on Friday as the rapid pace of recent gains and the proximity of major chart resistance encouraged a bout of profit-taking.

The Aussie dollar AUD=D4 eased back to $0.7951 having again met offers above the 80-cent barrier, down 0.2 percent for the week. It touched a two-year top of $0.8066 last week after climbing over 7 percent in just two months.

The kiwi dollar NZD=D4 likewise edged back to $0.7428, after repeatedly running into resistance above 75 cents. It was down 1.1 percent for the week, on course for its first weekly fall after three weeks of gains, having hit its highest in over two years last week at $0.7557.

The Aussie drew some support from another upbeat economic outlook from the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), which forecasts growth picking up to around 3 percent for the next two years.

The central bank did caution that further gains in the currency would threaten the outlook, but felt current levels were not a major drag. RBA's confidence was likely bolstered by data on Friday showing real retail sales rose a solid 1.5 percent in the second quarter, the biggest increase in four years.

"Retail trade makes up about 30 percent of household spending, so today's numbers point to decent growth in the June quarter," said Kristina Clifton, an economist at CBA.

"This is a good outcome as there has been some questions to how household spending would hold up given some of the headwinds they are facing."

The rebound in consumption in turn reinforced expectations that economic growth as a whole bounced back in the quarter after a disappointing start to the year.

In New Zealand, the kiwi was undermined by a sharp drop in local bond yields which were down over 7 basis points at the long end of the curve 0#NZTSY= .

The move tracked a fall in yields globally after the Bank of England struck a cautious tone at its policy meeting, offering an economic outlook tainted by the impact of Brexit. less hawkish than expected Bank of England has...driven global bond rates lower," BNZ said in a research note.

Yields were also under pressure on the home front ahead of next week's Reserve Bank of New Zealand meeting.

"Expectations are centred on the RBNZ delivering a neutral statement with some dovish overtones, reflecting the likely downward revision to inflation forecasts," BNZ added.

Australian government bond futures were restrained by the stronger domestic data, and the three-year bond contract YTTc1 stayed flat at 98.060. The 10-year contract YTCc1 edged up 3 ticks to 97.3650. (Editing by Lisa Twaronite & Shri Navaratnam)

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.