Cyber Monday Deal: Up to 60% off InvestingProCLAIM SALE

UPDATE 1-Australia economy gets big boost from exports in Q3

Published 01/12/2015, 12:28 pm
Updated 01/12/2015, 12:30 pm
© Reuters.  UPDATE 1-Australia economy gets big boost from exports in Q3

* Net exports add 1.5 ppt to GDP, current account narrows

* Home building expands, while prices start to cool

* Economy looks to have grown at least 0.7 pct in Q3

* RBA seen almost certain to keep rates at 2 pct

* RBA

By Wayne Cole

SYDNEY, Dec 1 (Reuters) - Australia's economy enjoyed a huge lift last quarter from a rebound in resource exports, helping fill a hole left by slumping business investment and lessening the need for another cut in interest rates.

Tuesday's trade data came as the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is almost certain to hold steady at its last meeting of the year, having already told investors to "chill out" over the Christmas holidays. An announcement is due at 0330 GMT.

Interbank futures 0#YIB: imply almost no chance of a cut in the 2 percent cash rate, marking seven months since the last easing. The odds of a move next year are put around 50-50.

A Reuters poll of analysts found all expected a steady outcome, though many assumed the RBA would again note that low inflation meant there was scope for a move if needed. AU/INT

Policy makers have been encouraged by signs of recovery ranging from strong employment to better business sentiment and a big boost to tourism from a low local dollar.

Data due on Wednesday should show the economy regained some momentum in the third quarter after a lacklustre second quarter.

Net exports alone likely added an eye-popping 1.5 percentage points to growth - their biggest contribution since early 2009 - as export volumes jumped 5 percent while imports fell 2 percent. The country's current account deficit narrowed 12 percent to A$18 billion in the quarter.

The contribution from trade was well timed as it helped offset a drag from government investment which dropped over 9 percent in the third quarter from the previous three months, partly due to a fall in defence spending.

Analysts expect Australia's A$1.6 trillion of gross domestic product (GDP) rose around 0.7 percent in the quarter, lifting growth for the year to 2.3 percent from 2.0 percent. ECONAU

Supporting activity has been a boom in home building which looks to have some time to run yet. Approvals to build new homes surprised by rising 3.9 percent October, with approvals for multi-unit blocks were up almost 30 percent on a year ago.

The expansion of supply is in turn combining with tighter lending rules to take the heat out of house prices. Figures from property consultant CoreLogic RP Data showed Sydney prices slipped 1.4 percent in November, while Melbourne took a 3.5 percent tumble.

Nationally prices eased 1.5 percent for the month while annual growth cooled to 8.2 percent.

That should be a relief to the RBA, which has been worried that excess borrowing for home investment could inflate a bubble, and remove one hurdle to a further rate cut.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.