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FOREX-Dollar off six-week lows vs yen, little response to Mueller report

Published 25/03/2019, 11:17 am
© Reuters.  FOREX-Dollar off six-week lows vs yen, little response to Mueller report
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* Graphic: World FX rates in 2019 http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

* Dollar/yen up modestly as curve inversion shock fades

By Shinichi Saoshiro

TOKYO, March 25 (Reuters) - The dollar edged back from a six-week low against the yen early on Monday, as a degree of calm returned to the market gripped by fears of a recession in the United States.

The greenback had tumbled on Friday as the spread between 3-month Treasury bills US3MT=RR and 10-year note yields US10YT=RR inverted for the first time since 2007 following weak U.S. manufacturing PMI data.

An inverted yield curve has historically signalled an impending recession.

Cautious comments from the U.S. Federal Reserve last week had also raised worries about the growth outlook in the United States and the rest of the world.

The dollar was up roughly 0.2 percent at 110.13 yen JPY= after sinking to 109.745 on Friday, its lowest since Feb. 11.

"The dollar's slide on Friday appeared to have been an algo-led reaction to the yield curve inversion and quite simply overdone. Some bargain hunting by market participants emerged to support dollar/yen," said Yukio Ishizuki, senior currency strategist at Daiwa Securities in Tokyo.

"The response, on the other hand, to the Mueller report has been limited."

Special Counsel Robert Mueller found no evidence of collusion between President Donald Trump's campaign team and Russia, and did not present enough evidence to warrant charging Trump with obstruction of justice, U.S. Attorney General William Barr said on Sunday. dollar index .DXY was unchanged at 96.651 after scraping out a gain of 0.15 percent on Friday.

The euro was little changed at $1.1297 EUR= . The common currency has lost roughly 0.7 percent on Friday after a much weaker-than-expected German manufacturing survey raised concerns for Europe's biggest economy and the wider euro zone.

The Australian dollar AUD=D3 , viewed as liquid proxy for global growth, stood little changed at $0.7077.

The pound was 0.1 percent lower at $1.3200 GBP=D3

Sterling had rallied 0.8 percent on Friday, helped by a weaker euro and after European Union leaders gave British Prime Minister Theresa May a two-week reprieve to decide how Britain will leave the European Union. GBP/

(Editing by Shri Navaratnam)

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